Erie County, New York: Industrial Catholic Metro county. In 2024, voted D+10%. Democratic peak: D+46 in 1964.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+10MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 950,6222024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,8392024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 73.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 12.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+46 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+38 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Providence County, RI · similarity 0.99
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Erie CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Erie County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +0.1% |
| 1896 | −19.8% |
| 1900 | −5.7% |
| 1904 | −14.7% |
| 1908 | −7.0% |
| 1912 | +16.8% |
| 1916 | −7.8% |
| 1920 | −37.6% |
| 1924 | −37.2% |
| 1928 | −6.5% |
| 1932 | −3.6% |
| 1936 | +9.1% |
| 1940 | +1.6% |
| 1944 | +2.6% |
| 1948 | +5.9% |
| 1952 | −12.8% |
| 1956 | −27.4% |
| 1960 | +13.3% |
| 1964 | +46.4% |
| 1968 | +18.1% |
| 1972 | −8.1% |
| 1976 | +2.0% |
| 1980 | +11.0% |
| 1984 | +3.2% |
| 1988 | +11.6% |
| 1992 | +14.8% |
| 1996 | +22.5% |
| 2000 | +18.8% |
| 2004 | +15.0% |
| 2008 | +17.5% |
| 2012 | +16.3% |
| 2016 | +6.4% |
| 2020 | +14.7% |
| 2024 | +9.5% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 248,651 | 204,774 | 459,926 | ||
| D | 267,270 | 197,552 | 473,418 | ||
| D | 215,456 | 188,303 | 423,625 | ||
| D | 237,356 | 169,675 | 414,195 | ||
| D | 256,299 | 178,815 | 441,985 | ||
| D | 251,090 | 184,423 | 445,138 | ||
| D | 240,176 | 160,176 | 424,654 | ||
| D | 224,554 | 132,343 | 410,234 | ||
| D | 196,233 | 129,444 | 451,496 | ||
| D | 238,779 | 188,796 | 430,792 | ||
| D | 237,631 | 222,882 | 461,671 | ||
| D | 215,283 | 169,209 | 420,473 | ||
| D | 229,397 | 220,310 | 452,843 | ||
| R | 218,105 | 256,462 | 476,023 | ||
| D | 250,054 | 167,853 | 453,165 | ||
| D | 344,910 | 125,962 | 471,576 | ||
| D | 277,203 | 211,957 | 489,564 | ||
| R | 166,930 | 292,657 | 459,587 | ||
| R | 196,378 | 253,927 | 451,249 | ||
| D | 197,618 | 175,118 | 383,372 | ||
| D | 195,905 | 185,975 | 383,235 | ||
| D | 189,779 | 183,664 | 374,435 | ||
| D | 183,555 | 152,312 | 342,208 | ||
| R | 131,012 | 141,059 | 282,930 | ||
| R | 126,449 | 144,726 | 281,789 | ||
| R | 40,780 | 112,070 | 191,480 | ||
| R | 40,436 | 99,762 | 157,796 | ||
| R | 45,622 | 53,638 | 102,460 | ||
| D | 33,518 | 19,185 | 85,113 | ||
| R | 45,185 | 52,182 | 99,660 | ||
| R | 36,582 | 49,669 | 89,132 | ||
| R | 39,833 | 44,767 | 86,657 | ||
| R | 30,172 | 45,612 | 77,879 | ||
| D | 32,431 | 32,340 | 68,403 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
21.0%
Irish
15.7%
Polish
14.5%
Italian
14.2%
English
7.3%
American
3.0%
French
1.7%
African American
10.0%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$72,839
Erie County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Erie County$72,839
New York$85,974
United States$80,734
Erie County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
13.9%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1818.5%
Working age (18–64)12.8%
Seniors (65+)11.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
88.7%
speak English only
Other Indo-European4.2%
Spanish3.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.9%
Other languages1.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 32.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Erie County anchors western New York with nearly a million residents and has tracked a steady rightward shift in presidential margins over the past decade, even as Democrats retain a comfortable edge in the region's largest city.
Its margins are typically close. The Democratic margin reached forty-six points in 1964; the Republican margin reached thirty-eight points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved five points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was ten points.
Its demographics sit near national norms: a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $72,839, and a 14% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Providence County and Hampden County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Erie County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36029/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in New York
More industrial catholic metro counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Erie County, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Erie County, New York voted Democratic by 9.5 points (D+10), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 459,926 votes cast, 248,651 went Democratic and 204,774 went Republican.
What is Erie County, New York's political typology?
Akashic places Erie County, New York in the "Industrial Catholic Metro" typology — Mid-size industrial metros with Catholic ethnic roots — among the most competitive, swing-prone ground in the country. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 22 times, Republican 12 times, and other 0 times.
When did Erie County, New York last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Erie County, New York voted Republican was 1972.
How many people live in Erie County, New York?
Erie County, New York has a population of 950,622 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Erie County, New York?
Median household income in Erie County, New York is $72,839 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Erie County, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Erie County, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 12 went Republican. The county's typology — "Industrial Catholic Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.