† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
2 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupFresno, CACaliforniaUnited States
Mexican51.1%32.3%11.3%
Salvadoran1.2%2.0%0.7%
Puerto Rican0.4%0.6%1.8%
Spaniard0.4%0.3%—
Guatemalan0.3%1.3%0.5%
Spanish0.3%0.3%—
Honduran0.2%—0.3%
German6.5%6.8%12.5%
English4.8%6.3%9.5%
Irish4.6%5.9%9.4%
Italian2.4%3.4%4.8%
American1.6%2.8%5.3%
Portuguese1.0%——
Armenian0.9%——
Scottish0.9%0.9%1.3%
Hmong3.2%0.3%—
Asian Indian2.1%2.3%1.4%
Filipino1.3%3.3%0.9%
Chinese0.6%3.9%1.3%
Cambodian0.5%——
Laotian0.4%——
Vietnamese0.4%1.7%0.6%
Japanese0.3%0.6%0.2%
African American†3.6%4.4%9.9%
African0.2%0.3%0.5%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Fresno, CA
California
United States
Median age
33.7
37.9
39.1
Age 18–24
9.6%
9.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
13.1%
15.6%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Fresno, CA
California
United States
Median household income
$74,533
$99,122
$84,427
Poverty rate
18.4%
12.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
23.4%
36.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Fresno, CA
California
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
44.0%
44.4%
22.3%
Spanish
34.6%
28.4%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
2.9%
3.4%
2.0%
Other Asian & Pacific Island
3.4%
2.0%
1.1%
Religious landscape
Measure
Fresno, CA
California
United States
Catholic
23.2%
26.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
11.8%
9.0%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
56.7%
55.2%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Fresno, CA
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+42.3%
1896
+17.6%
1900
−0.2%
1904
−22.1%
1908
−12.0%
1912
+43.5%
1916
+9.7%
1920
−19.0%
1924
−30.9%
1928
−10.1%
1932
+43.9%
1936
+56.4%
1940
+39.0%
1944
+27.5%
1948
+21.2%
1952
+2.2%
1956
+13.3%
1960
+11.4%
1964
+31.6%
1968
+3.9%
1972
−4.4%
1976
+1.9%
1980
−11.1%
1984
−10.8%
1988
−2.2%
1992
+0.4%
1996
−4.0%
2000
−12.2%
2004
−17.5%
2008
+0.0%
2012
−0.7%
2016
+3.3%
2020
+5.3%
2024
−6.7%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
45.3%Harris172,609
52.1%Trump198,268
1.2%Kennedy4,600 +4
R+6.7
R+12.1
R+5.3
380,618
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican52.1%198,268
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic45.3%172,609
Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent1.2%4,600
Jill SteinIndependent0.6%2,250
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.4%1,585
Chase OliverLibertarian0.3%1,298
OtherAll other candidates0.0%8
D
51.6%Biden216,193
46.3%Trump193,842
2.1%
D+5.3
D+2.0
D+0.9
418,649
D
47.9%Clinton158,370
44.6%Trump147,406
7.5%
D+3.3
D+4.0
D+1.2
330,569
R
48.4%Obama145,147
49.2%Romney147,342
2.4%
R+0.7
R+0.8
R+4.6
299,630
D
49.0%Obama154,658
48.9%McCain154,598
2.1%
D+0.02
D+17.6
R+7.3
315,926
R
40.7%Kerry116,635
58.3%Bush166,859
1.0%
R+17.5
R+5.4
R+15.1
286,313
R
42.0%Gore106,709
54.1%Bush137,625
3.9%
R+12.2
R+8.1
R+12.7
254,230
R
44.2%Clinton105,702
48.2%Dole115,323
7.5%
R+4.0
R+4.5
R+12.5
239,055
D
41.4%Clinton103,281
41.0%Bush102,203
17.6%
D+0.4
D+2.7
R+5.1
249,406
R
48.2%Dukakis103,277
50.5%Bush108,090
1.3%
R+2.2
D+8.6
D+5.5
214,151
R
44.1%Mondale95,309
54.9%Reagan118,711
1.0%
R+10.8
D+0.3
D+7.4
216,177
R
40.3%Carter73,037
51.4%Reagan93,114
8.3%
R+11.1
R+13.0
R+1.3
181,166
D
49.8%Carter82,583
47.9%Ford79,377
2.3%
D+1.9
D+6.4
R+0.1
165,697
R
46.2%McGovern79,262
50.6%Nixon86,886
3.2%
R+4.4
R+8.4
D+18.7
171,611
D
47.5%Humphrey72,085
43.6%Nixon66,130
8.9%
D+3.9
R+27.7
D+4.6
151,699
D
65.8%Johnson98,766
34.1%Goldwater51,253
0.1%
D+31.6
D+20.2
D+9.1
150,170
D
55.5%Kennedy80,290
44.1%Nixon63,799
0.5%
D+11.4
R+1.9
D+11.2
144,759
D
56.6%Stevenson74,396
43.2%Eisenhower56,850
0.2%
D+13.3
D+11.1
D+28.7
131,554
D
50.7%Stevenson60,583
48.5%Eisenhower57,958
0.8%
D+2.2
R+19.0
D+13.0
119,467
D
58.5%Truman52,988
37.3%Dewey33,795
4.3%
D+21.2
R+6.3
D+16.7
90,647
D
63.4%Roosevelt45,045
35.9%Dewey25,533
0.7%
D+27.5
R+11.5
D+20.0
71,052
D
68.9%Roosevelt54,615
29.9%Willkie23,732
1.1%
D+39.0
R+17.5
D+29.0
79,253
D
77.5%Roosevelt47,505
21.1%Landon12,932
1.3%
D+56.4
D+12.5
D+32.2
61,260
D
69.9%Roosevelt35,985
26.0%Hoover13,377
4.1%
D+43.9
D+54.0
D+26.1
51,465
R
44.3%Smith18,780
54.4%Hoover23,041
1.3%
R+10.1
D+20.9
D+7.4
42,387
R
12.9%Davis5,060
43.9%Coolidge17,153
43.2%
R+30.9
R+11.9
R+5.8
39,085
R
36.3%Cox10,758
55.4%Harding16,400
8.3%
R+19.0
R+28.7
D+7.1
29,621
D
50.4%Wilson16,121
40.7%Hughes13,030
8.9%
D+9.7
R+33.8
D+6.5
31,989
O
43.5%Wilson10,045
0.0%Taft0
56.5%
Roosevelt +13.1
D+55.4
D+23.9
23,115
R
38.3%Bryan5,317
50.3%Taft6,980
11.4%
R+12.0
D+10.1
R+2.4
13,874
R
33.1%Parker3,425
55.2%Roosevelt5,713
11.7%
R+22.1
R+21.9
R+2.4
10,348
R
47.5%Bryan4,327
47.7%McKinley4,349
4.8%
R+0.2
R+17.9
D+7.3
9,114
D
57.4%Bryan4,529
39.8%McKinley3,138
2.8%
D+17.6
R+24.7
D+23.7
7,890
D
42.4%Cleveland3,453
0.0%Harrison3
57.6%
D+42.3
—
D+40.7
8,153
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
45.9%168,934
54.1%199,126
368,060
2022
R
45.7%114,981
54.3%136,359
251,340
2018
D
100.0%249,364
0.0%0
249,364
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024D+3.7
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+6.7
Fresno, CA registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 10-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
588,389 registered voters · 2024 · up from 570,228 in 2022
Domestic migration in Fresno, CA in Fresno, CA: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−4,194
2012
−6,110
2013
−5,209
2014
−835
2015
−3,095
2016
−4,105
2017
+54
2018
−507
2019
−812
2021
+4
2022
−3,251
2023
−4,657
2024
−6,295
2025
−3,685
Fresno's San Joaquin Valley core has trended more competitive in recent cycles, driven by a growing Latino majority and an agricultural economy that shapes voter priorities around water rights, labor, and land use.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 56.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 30.9 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 12.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.7 points.
A population of 1,177,665, a 27% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,533 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA and Modesto, CA.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Fresno, CA, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/23420/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
In 2024, Fresno, CA, California voted Republican by 6.7 points (R+6.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 380,618 votes cast, 172,609 went Democratic and 198,268 went Republican.
When did Fresno, CA, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Fresno, CA, California voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Fresno, CA, California?
Fresno, CA, California has a population of 1,177,665 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Fresno, CA, California?
Median household income in Fresno, CA, California is $74,533 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Fresno, CA, California?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Fresno, CA, California from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 18 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.