Madera County, California
Precinct data
Results by precinct
62 precincts · 54,536 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -50605060 | 2,207 | 4,406 | 151 | 6,764 | 32.6% | 65.1% | R+32.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -50425042 | 1,601 | 3,176 | 133 | 4,910 | 32.6% | 64.7% | R+32.1 |
| Precinct -10271027 | 1,256 | 3,018 | 85 | 4,359 | 28.8% | 69.2% | R+40.4 |
| Precinct -10031003 | 1,119 | 1,780 | 68 | 2,967 | 37.7% | 60.0% | R+22.3 |
| Precinct -30013001 | 1,309 | 1,422 | 67 | 2,798 | 46.8% | 50.8% | R+4.0 |
| Precinct -30083008 | 913 | 1,370 | 52 | 2,335 | 39.1% | 58.7% | R+19.6 |
| Precinct -30173017 | 929 | 1,108 | 61 | 2,098 | 44.3% | 52.8% | R+8.5 |
| Precinct -22412241 | 617 | 915 | 29 | 1,561 | 39.5% | 58.6% | R+19.1 |
| Precinct -21312131 | 523 | 1,000 | 30 | 1,553 | 33.7% | 64.4% | R+30.7 |
| Precinct -50485048 | 533 | 942 | 35 | 1,510 | 35.3% | 62.4% | R+27.1 |
| Precinct -50255025 | 556 | 698 | 34 | 1,288 | 43.2% | 54.2% | R+11.0 |
| Precinct -10201020 | 306 | 944 | 33 | 1,283 | 23.9% | 73.6% | R+49.7 |
| Precinct -40424042 | 672 | 570 | 24 | 1,266 | 53.1% | 45.0% | D+8.1 |
| Precinct -50465046 | 464 | 696 | 33 | 1,193 | 38.9% | 58.3% | R+19.4 |
| Precinct -20472047 | 444 | 710 | 21 | 1,175 | 37.8% | 60.4% | R+22.6 |
| Precinct -21192119 | 369 | 725 | 38 | 1,132 | 32.6% | 64.0% | R+31.4 |
| Precinct -21052105 | 291 | 801 | 21 | 1,113 | 26.1% | 72.0% | R+45.8 |
| Precinct -40394039 | 588 | 398 | 33 | 1,019 | 57.7% | 39.1% | D+18.6 |
| Precinct -12211221 | 442 | 496 | 22 | 960 | 46.0% | 51.7% | R+5.6 |
| Precinct -50445044 | 316 | 571 | 28 | 915 | 34.5% | 62.4% | R+27.9 |
| Precinct -21252125 | 321 | 535 | 23 | 879 | 36.5% | 60.9% | R+24.3 |
| Precinct -21282128 | 297 | 508 | 25 | 830 | 35.8% | 61.2% | R+25.4 |
| Precinct -30153015 | 333 | 473 | 22 | 828 | 40.2% | 57.1% | R+16.9 |
| Precinct -30243024 | 389 | 397 | 20 | 806 | 48.3% | 49.3% | R+1.0 |
| Precinct -40214021 | 405 | 346 | 20 | 771 | 52.5% | 44.9% | D+7.7 |
| Precinct -30093009 | 281 | 456 | 17 | 754 | 37.3% | 60.5% | R+23.2 |
| Precinct -51415141 | 185 | 374 | 15 | 574 | 32.2% | 65.2% | R+32.9 |
| Precinct -11011101 | 287 | 235 | 8 | 530 | 54.2% | 44.3% | D+9.8 |
| Precinct -30053005 | 235 | 223 | 14 | 472 | 49.8% | 47.2% | D+2.5 |
| Precinct -11861186 | 264 | 165 | 10 | 439 | 60.1% | 37.6% | D+22.6 |
| Precinct -40204020 | 250 | 160 | 14 | 424 | 59.0% | 37.7% | D+21.2 |
| Precinct -40254025 | 266 | 146 | 8 | 420 | 63.3% | 34.8% | D+28.6 |
| Precinct -11601160 | 178 | 194 | 14 | 386 | 46.1% | 50.3% | R+4.1 |
| Precinct -22662266 | 177 | 176 | 13 | 366 | 48.4% | 48.1% | D+0.3 |
| Precinct -12201220 | 139 | 205 | 8 | 352 | 39.5% | 58.2% | R+18.8 |
| Precinct -12041204 | 165 | 173 | 5 | 343 | 48.1% | 50.4% | R+2.3 |
| Precinct -50435043 | 109 | 227 | 7 | 343 | 31.8% | 66.2% | R+34.4 |
| Precinct -40014001 | 147 | 139 | 12 | 298 | 49.3% | 46.6% | D+2.7 |
| Precinct -20102010 | 99 | 191 | 6 | 296 | 33.4% | 64.5% | R+31.1 |
| Precinct -11881188 | 187 | 92 | 2 | 281 | 66.5% | 32.7% | D+33.8 |
| Precinct -40074007 | 127 | 121 | 5 | 253 | 50.2% | 47.8% | D+2.4 |
| Precinct -11801180 | 129 | 97 | 6 | 232 | 55.6% | 41.8% | D+13.8 |
| Precinct -40534053 | 60 | 118 | 3 | 181 | 33.1% | 65.2% | R+32.0 |
| Precinct -51605160 | 53 | 116 | 0 | 169 | 31.4% | 68.6% | R+37.3 |
| Precinct -22642264 | 70 | 73 | 2 | 145 | 48.3% | 50.3% | R+2.1 |
| Precinct -20532053 | 63 | 73 | 1 | 137 | 46.0% | 53.3% | R+7.3 |
| Precinct -20712071 | 36 | 65 | 2 | 103 | 35.0% | 63.1% | R+28.2 |
| Precinct -10311031 | 19 | 65 | 1 | 85 | 22.4% | 76.5% | R+54.1 |
| Precinct -11891189 | 48 | 25 | 2 | 75 | 64.0% | 33.3% | D+30.7 |
| Precinct -20202020 | 22 | 52 | 1 | 75 | 29.3% | 69.3% | R+40.0 |
| Precinct -22222222 | 21 | 51 | 0 | 72 | 29.2% | 70.8% | R+41.7 |
| Precinct -21452145 | 14 | 57 | 0 | 71 | 19.7% | 80.3% | R+60.6 |
| Precinct -51835183 | 23 | 41 | 4 | 68 | 33.8% | 60.3% | R+26.5 |
| Precinct -30403040 | 8 | 58 | 0 | 66 | 12.1% | 87.9% | R+75.8 |
| Precinct -20702070 | 13 | 25 | 3 | 41 | 31.7% | 61.0% | R+29.3 |
| Precinct -52035203 | 15 | 19 | 4 | 38 | 39.5% | 50.0% | R+10.5 |
| Precinct -11851185 | 25 | 11 | 1 | 37 | 67.6% | 29.7% | D+37.8 |
| Precinct -22262226 | 7 | 26 | 0 | 33 | 21.2% | 78.8% | R+57.6 |
| Precinct -21072107 | 16 | 14 | 0 | 30 | 53.3% | 46.7% | D+6.7 |
| Precinct -20132013 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 21 | 23.8% | 76.2% | R+52.4 |
| Precinct -52205220 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 13 | 23.1% | 76.9% | R+53.8 |
| Precinct -30413041 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
Presidential margin, 1896–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1896 | +23.7% |
| 1900 | −1.8% |
| 1904 | −11.5% |
| 1908 | −1.7% |
| 1912 | +47.7% |
| 1916 | +16.0% |
| 1920 | −19.8% |
| 1924 | −30.0% |
| 1928 | −10.7% |
| 1932 | +44.9% |
| 1936 | +53.1% |
| 1940 | +36.4% |
| 1944 | +19.6% |
| 1948 | +20.2% |
| 1952 | +0.9% |
| 1956 | +15.5% |
| 1960 | +16.1% |
| 1964 | +35.6% |
| 1968 | +4.9% |
| 1972 | −8.4% |
| 1976 | +5.2% |
| 1980 | −14.2% |
| 1984 | −21.3% |
| 1988 | −10.8% |
| 1992 | −7.3% |
| 1996 | −17.1% |
| 2000 | −25.9% |
| 2004 | −29.3% |
| 2008 | −13.3% |
| 2012 | −17.1% |
| 2016 | −14.5% |
| 2020 | −11.6% |
| 2024 | −20.8% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 14 points more Democratic.
76,676 registered voters · 2024 · up from 72,189 in 2022
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+863 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,785 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $63,185 in average income, against $65,490 for residents who stayed — 4% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+3.6 on average — 24 points more Democratic-leaning than Madera County, CA itself (R+20.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Fresno County, CA1,318R+4.4
- Merced County, CA221R+4.4
- Santa Clara County, CA164D+40.0
- Los Angeles County, CA150D+32.9
- Stanislaus County, CA83R+11.0
- Tulare County, CA68R+20.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Fresno County, CA1,151
- Merced County, CA172
- Los Angeles County, CA85
- Santa Clara County, CA76
- Stanislaus County, CA66
- Tulare County, CA59
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −674 |
| 2012 | −1,461 |
| 2013 | −1,491 |
| 2014 | +884 |
| 2015 | −1,158 |
| 2016 | −894 |
| 2017 | +492 |
| 2018 | +502 |
| 2019 | −464 |
| 2021 | +2,048 |
| 2022 | +623 |
| 2023 | +1,845 |
| 2024 | +670 |
| 2025 | +863 |
Madera County's economy is anchored by farming, dairies, and timber in the Sierra Nevada foothills, and its majority-Hispanic, rural electorate has nonetheless returned Republican presidential margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 53.1 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 30.0 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 9.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 20.8 points.
A population of 160,940, a 30% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,627 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Tulare County and Kings County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Madera County, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/06039/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.