Fresno County, California: New American county. In 2024, voted R+4%. Democratic peak: D+57 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+4MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- New AmericanAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,016,7252024 5-year
- Median household income
- $74,2012024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 35.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 54.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+57 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+31 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Merced County, CA · similarity 0.87
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | +48.2% |
| 1880 | +29.6% |
| 1884 | +12.4% |
| 1888 | +6.6% |
| 1892 | +42.3% |
| 1896 | +16.5% |
| 1900 | +0.1% |
| 1904 | −23.9% |
| 1908 | −13.1% |
| 1912 | +43.0% |
| 1916 | +8.9% |
| 1920 | −19.0% |
| 1924 | −31.0% |
| 1928 | −10.0% |
| 1932 | +43.8% |
| 1936 | +56.8% |
| 1940 | +39.3% |
| 1944 | +28.3% |
| 1948 | +21.3% |
| 1952 | +2.3% |
| 1956 | +13.1% |
| 1960 | +10.9% |
| 1964 | +31.2% |
| 1968 | +3.8% |
| 1972 | −4.1% |
| 1976 | +1.6% |
| 1980 | −10.7% |
| 1984 | −9.6% |
| 1988 | −1.2% |
| 1992 | +1.5% |
| 1996 | −2.1% |
| 2000 | −10.1% |
| 2004 | −15.7% |
| 2008 | +2.1% |
| 2012 | +1.8% |
| 2016 | +6.0% |
| 2020 | +7.8% |
| 2024 | −4.4% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 151,628 | 165,924 | 325,994 | ||
| D | 193,025 | 164,464 | 364,917 | ||
| D | 141,341 | 124,049 | 287,062 | ||
| D | 129,129 | 124,490 | 259,697 | ||
| D | 136,706 | 131,015 | 273,452 | ||
| R | 103,154 | 141,988 | 247,463 | ||
| R | 95,059 | 117,342 | 220,835 | ||
| R | 94,448 | 98,813 | 208,393 | ||
| D | 92,418 | 89,137 | 219,161 | ||
| R | 92,635 | 94,835 | 189,870 | ||
| R | 86,315 | 104,757 | 192,936 | ||
| R | 65,254 | 82,515 | 161,386 | ||
| D | 74,958 | 72,533 | 150,805 | ||
| R | 72,682 | 79,051 | 156,719 | ||
| D | 65,153 | 59,901 | 137,396 | ||
| D | 89,375 | 46,792 | 136,308 | ||
| D | 72,164 | 57,930 | 130,702 | ||
| D | 67,234 | 51,611 | 119,115 | ||
| D | 54,541 | 52,025 | 107,376 | ||
| D | 47,762 | 30,379 | 81,665 | ||
| D | 40,769 | 22,668 | 63,862 | ||
| D | 48,866 | 21,079 | 70,750 | ||
| D | 42,859 | 11,545 | 55,126 | ||
| D | 32,528 | 12,134 | 46,537 | ||
| R | 16,884 | 20,687 | 38,098 | ||
| R | 4,610 | 15,635 | 35,527 | ||
| R | 9,613 | 14,621 | 26,413 | ||
| D | 14,241 | 11,707 | 28,508 | ||
| O | 8,891 | 0 | 20,696 | ||
| R | 4,743 | 6,384 | 12,545 | ||
| R | 2,815 | 4,929 | 8,836 | ||
| D | 3,590 | 3,585 | 7,573 | ||
| D | 3,790 | 2,686 | 6,679 | ||
| D | 3,453 | 3 | 8,153 | ||
| D | 2,822 | 2,461 | 5,492 | ||
| D | 1,704 | 1,314 | 3,137 | ||
| D | 1,133 | 613 | 1,754 | ||
| D | 968 | 338 | 1,306 |
Demographics
Fresno County's mix of agricultural flatlands and a mid-size urban core produces competitive margins; the 2024 presidential result landed R+4.4, continuing a decade-long rightward drift driven partly by Latino voter realignment in farm-dependent communities.
Fresno County has leaned Republican in recent presidential elections, reaching a Democratic margin of fifty-seven points in 1936. Between 2020 and 2024 it moved twelve points toward the Republican candidate — part of the sharpest rightward shift recorded among any group of places in the country.
Its demographics describe the shift: a 36% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $74,201, and a population of 1,016,725. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Merced County and Lancaster County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Fresno County, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/06019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
