† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupJamestown-Dunkirk, NYNew YorkUnited States
German18.1%8.6%12.5%
English13.3%5.6%9.5%
Italian12.3%10.9%4.8%
Irish11.9%10.5%9.4%
Swedish9.0%——
Polish8.1%3.9%2.2%
American3.9%4.2%5.3%
French2.3%1.3%1.6%
Puerto Rican7.1%5.1%1.8%
Mexican0.6%2.5%11.3%
Dominican0.5%4.6%0.7%
Salvadoran0.3%0.9%0.7%
Venezuelan0.3%——
Cuban0.2%—0.7%
Guatemalan0.2%0.5%0.5%
African American†1.4%8.0%9.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY
New York
United States
Median age
42.9
39.9
39.1
Age 18–24
9.1%
9.0%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
21.4%
18.0%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY
New York
United States
Median household income
$58,351
$85,974
$84,427
Poverty rate
17.4%
14.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
25.1%
40.0%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY
New York
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
9.2%
30.9%
22.3%
Spanish
5.3%
14.8%
13.6%
German or other West Germanic
2.3%
1.5%
0.5%
Religious landscape
Measure
Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY
New York
United States
Catholic
16.4%
30.8%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
9.1%
5.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
62.4%
48.7%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
9.3%
3.8%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−26.2%
1896
−36.0%
1900
−38.2%
1904
−46.5%
1908
−39.9%
1912
−13.5%
1916
−32.1%
1920
−54.0%
1924
−57.9%
1928
−47.5%
1932
−27.0%
1936
−13.0%
1940
−24.4%
1944
−19.5%
1948
−17.8%
1952
−28.4%
1956
−37.1%
1960
−14.7%
1964
+38.4%
1968
−3.6%
1972
−17.2%
1976
−10.2%
1980
−12.3%
1984
−26.5%
1988
−10.1%
1992
+2.3%
1996
+9.9%
2000
−3.5%
2004
−8.5%
2008
+0.9%
2012
−7.9%
2016
−23.1%
2020
−19.9%
2024
−21.9%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
38.9%Harris22,085
60.8%Trump34,528
0.1%Stein59 +7
R+21.9
R+2.1
R+20.5
56,751
All 10 candidates in 2024 · 8 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican60.8%34,528
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic38.9%22,085
Jill SteinIndependent0.1%59
Chase OliverIndependent0.1%44
Peter SonskiIndependent0.0%16
Cornel WestIndependent0.0%9
Chris GarrityIndependent0.0%4
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.0%3
Shiva AyyaduraiIndependent0.0%2
Raymond Anthony ScollinIndependent0.0%1
R
39.0%Biden23,088
58.9%Trump34,853
2.1%
R+19.9
D+3.2
R+24.3
59,196
R
35.2%Clinton19,091
58.3%Trump31,594
6.5%
R+23.1
R+15.2
R+25.1
54,234
R
45.1%Obama23,812
52.9%Romney27,971
2.0%
R+7.9
R+8.8
R+11.7
52,852
D
49.5%Obama29,129
48.6%McCain28,579
1.9%
D+0.9
D+9.4
R+6.3
58,802
R
44.7%Kerry27,257
53.2%Bush32,434
2.1%
R+8.5
R+5.0
R+6.0
60,944
R
46.0%Gore27,016
49.5%Bush29,064
4.5%
R+3.5
R+13.4
R+4.0
58,722
D
47.7%Clinton26,831
37.8%Dole21,261
14.6%
D+9.9
D+7.6
D+1.4
56,290
D
36.1%Clinton22,645
33.8%Bush21,222
30.1%
D+2.3
D+12.3
R+3.3
62,789
R
44.6%Dukakis25,814
54.7%Bush31,642
0.7%
R+10.1
D+16.4
R+2.3
57,867
R
36.6%Mondale22,986
63.1%Reagan39,597
0.2%
R+26.5
R+14.2
R+8.3
62,724
R
38.9%Carter22,871
51.2%Reagan30,081
9.9%
R+12.3
R+2.0
R+2.5
58,756
R
44.7%Carter27,447
54.9%Ford33,730
0.4%
R+10.2
D+6.9
R+12.3
61,436
R
41.3%McGovern26,253
58.4%Nixon37,158
0.3%
R+17.2
R+13.5
D+6.0
63,583
R
45.2%Humphrey26,431
48.8%Nixon28,561
6.0%
R+3.6
R+42.1
R+2.9
58,507
D
69.2%Johnson42,924
30.7%Goldwater19,069
0.1%
D+38.4
D+53.1
D+15.9
62,056
R
42.6%Kennedy28,143
57.3%Nixon37,836
0.1%
R+14.7
D+22.4
R+14.8
66,031
R
31.5%Stevenson20,269
68.5%Eisenhower44,149
0.0%
R+37.1
R+8.7
R+21.7
64,418
R
35.7%Stevenson23,427
64.1%Eisenhower42,043
0.2%
R+28.4
R+10.6
R+17.6
65,620
R
39.7%Truman20,683
57.5%Dewey29,969
2.9%
R+17.8
D+1.7
R+22.3
52,144
R
40.0%Roosevelt22,086
59.5%Dewey32,824
0.5%
R+19.5
D+5.0
R+27.0
55,174
R
37.6%Roosevelt21,524
62.0%Willkie35,536
0.4%
R+24.4
R+11.4
R+34.4
57,316
R
42.4%Roosevelt23,283
55.4%Landon30,435
2.2%
R+13.0
D+14.0
R+37.3
54,927
R
33.6%Roosevelt16,914
60.6%Hoover30,479
5.7%
R+27.0
D+20.6
R+44.8
50,275
R
25.1%Smith13,223
72.7%Hoover38,220
2.2%
R+47.5
D+10.4
R+30.1
52,584
R
13.3%Davis5,560
71.3%Coolidge29,757
15.4%
R+57.9
R+3.9
R+32.8
41,764
R
17.6%Cox6,781
71.6%Harding27,618
10.9%
R+54.0
R+21.9
R+27.8
38,587
R
30.1%Wilson7,153
62.2%Hughes14,782
7.7%
R+32.1
R+18.6
R+35.2
23,770
O
22.7%Wilson4,954
36.2%Taft7,899
41.2%
Roosevelt +5.0
D+26.5
R+33.0
21,844
R
25.7%Bryan6,158
65.6%Taft15,739
8.7%
R+39.9
D+6.6
R+30.4
23,985
R
23.2%Parker5,295
69.8%Roosevelt15,891
7.0%
R+46.5
R+8.3
R+26.9
22,775
R
29.4%Bryan6,660
67.6%McKinley15,318
3.0%
R+38.2
R+2.2
R+30.7
22,652
R
30.6%Bryan6,581
66.6%McKinley14,325
2.8%
R+36.0
R+9.8
R+29.9
21,507
R
32.2%Cleveland6,397
58.4%Harrison11,595
9.4%
R+26.2
—
R+27.8
19,866
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
42.4%23,438
57.2%31,622
55,277
2022
R
38.8%16,782
60.7%26,217
43,202
2018
R
48.2%20,810
51.8%22,361
43,184
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+7.7
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+21.9
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 14 points more Democratic.
Domestic migration in Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY in Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−570
2012
−1,108
2013
−614
2014
−1,418
2015
−1,351
2016
−1,484
2017
−821
2018
−945
2019
−471
2021
−425
2022
−358
2023
−166
2024
−188
2025
−332
Chautauqua County anchors this small metro along Lake Erie's southern shore, where manufacturing decline has redrawn political loyalties over two decades and countywide margins have swung sharply in presidential cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 38.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 57.9 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 2.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.9 points.
A population of 125,544, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,351 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Amsterdam, NY and Hemlock Farms, PA.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/27460/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York voted Republican by 21.9 points (R+21.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 56,751 votes cast, 22,085 went Democratic and 34,528 went Republican.
When did Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York?
Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York has a population of 125,544 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York?
Median household income in Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York is $58,351 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY, New York from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 29 went Republican.
