† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupMonticello, NYNew YorkUnited States
Irish14.0%10.5%9.4%
German13.5%8.6%12.5%
Italian10.4%10.9%4.8%
English6.8%5.6%9.5%
American5.1%4.2%5.3%
Polish4.0%3.9%2.2%
Russian2.2%1.2%—
Dutch2.0%——
Puerto Rican6.9%5.1%1.8%
Honduran2.1%0.3%0.3%
Dominican1.6%4.6%0.7%
Mexican1.5%2.5%11.3%
Salvadoran1.3%0.9%0.7%
Guatemalan0.9%0.5%0.5%
Colombian0.9%0.9%0.4%
Spanish0.9%——
African American†6.0%8.0%9.9%
Jamaican0.9%1.6%0.4%
African0.6%0.6%0.5%
Haitian0.3%0.9%0.3%
Guyanese0.2%0.7%—
Chinese0.9%3.6%1.3%
Asian Indian0.7%1.9%1.4%
Korean0.2%0.6%0.4%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Monticello, NY
New York
United States
Median age
41.7
39.9
39.1
Age 18–24
8.2%
9.0%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
19.2%
18.0%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Monticello, NY
New York
United States
Median household income
$72,382
$85,974
$84,427
Poverty rate
15.9%
14.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
30.1%
40.0%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Monticello, NY
New York
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
22.1%
30.9%
22.3%
Spanish
12.9%
14.8%
13.6%
German or other West Germanic
2.7%
1.5%
0.5%
Russian, Polish, or other Slavic
1.6%
2.0%
0.7%
Other Indo-European
1.8%
4.0%
2.0%
Religious landscape
Measure
Monticello, NY
New York
United States
Catholic
16.9%
30.8%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
1.8%
5.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
66.5%
48.7%
51.5%
Jewish
5.3%
3.8%
0.6%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Monticello, NY
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−1.3%
1896
−19.3%
1900
−9.4%
1904
−10.6%
1908
−7.8%
1912
+10.2%
1916
−8.3%
1920
−35.4%
1924
−27.0%
1928
−24.5%
1932
+7.4%
1936
+0.8%
1940
−9.6%
1944
−12.0%
1948
−17.0%
1952
−27.5%
1956
−27.9%
1960
−8.9%
1964
+35.2%
1968
−3.3%
1972
−26.7%
1976
+1.7%
1980
−20.3%
1984
−26.4%
1988
−14.8%
1992
+7.3%
1996
+20.3%
2000
+5.8%
2004
−0.9%
2008
+9.5%
2012
+9.0%
2016
−11.2%
2020
−9.2%
2024
−16.6%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
41.5%Harris14,549
58.1%Trump20,386
0.3%Stein91 +4
R+16.6
R+7.5
R+15.2
35,062
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican58.1%20,386
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic41.5%14,549
Jill SteinIndependent0.3%91
Chase OliverIndependent0.0%13
Cornel WestIndependent0.0%10
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.0%9
Peter SonskiIndependent0.0%4
R
44.7%Biden15,489
53.9%Trump18,665
1.4%
R+9.2
D+2.1
R+13.6
34,647
R
42.0%Clinton12,568
53.2%Trump15,931
4.9%
R+11.2
R+20.2
R+13.3
29,955
D
53.7%Obama15,268
44.7%Romney12,705
1.6%
D+9.0
R+0.4
D+5.2
28,415
D
54.0%Obama16,850
44.6%McCain13,900
1.4%
D+9.5
D+10.4
D+2.2
31,183
R
48.6%Kerry15,034
49.5%Bush15,319
2.0%
R+0.9
R+6.7
D+1.5
30,966
D
50.3%Gore14,348
44.5%Bush12,703
5.2%
D+5.8
R+14.5
D+5.2
28,528
D
53.3%Clinton15,052
33.0%Dole9,321
13.7%
D+20.3
D+13.0
D+11.8
28,244
D
43.4%Clinton13,717
36.0%Bush11,396
20.6%
D+7.3
D+22.1
D+1.8
31,635
R
42.2%Dukakis11,635
57.0%Bush15,713
0.8%
R+14.8
D+11.7
R+7.1
27,568
R
36.6%Mondale10,475
63.1%Reagan18,037
0.3%
R+26.4
R+6.1
R+8.2
28,590
R
35.1%Carter9,553
55.4%Reagan15,089
9.5%
R+20.3
R+22.0
R+10.6
27,218
D
50.5%Carter14,189
48.8%Ford13,709
0.7%
D+1.7
D+28.4
R+0.4
28,096
R
36.6%McGovern9,847
63.2%Nixon17,035
0.2%
R+26.7
R+23.4
R+3.5
26,938
R
44.9%Humphrey10,860
48.2%Nixon11,657
6.9%
R+3.3
R+38.5
R+2.6
24,198
D
67.5%Johnson16,728
32.3%Goldwater8,006
0.2%
D+35.2
D+44.1
D+12.6
24,775
R
45.4%Kennedy11,486
54.4%Nixon13,744
0.2%
R+8.9
D+18.9
R+9.1
25,279
R
36.1%Stevenson8,937
63.9%Eisenhower15,845
0.0%
R+27.9
R+0.3
R+12.5
24,782
R
35.6%Stevenson8,421
63.2%Eisenhower14,926
1.2%
R+27.5
R+10.5
R+16.8
23,626
R
36.2%Truman7,654
53.2%Dewey11,253
10.6%
R+17.0
R+5.0
R+21.5
21,152
R
43.8%Roosevelt8,836
55.8%Dewey11,258
0.4%
R+12.0
R+2.4
R+19.5
20,167
R
45.0%Roosevelt9,785
54.6%Willkie11,877
0.3%
R+9.6
R+10.4
R+19.6
21,738
D
49.6%Roosevelt9,908
48.8%Landon9,757
1.6%
D+0.8
R+6.6
R+23.5
19,982
D
52.1%Roosevelt9,656
44.8%Hoover8,294
3.1%
D+7.4
D+31.8
R+10.4
18,517
R
36.8%Smith6,207
61.3%Hoover10,331
1.9%
R+24.5
D+2.6
R+7.0
16,861
R
29.8%Davis4,057
56.9%Coolidge7,734
13.3%
R+27.0
D+8.3
R+1.9
13,604
R
29.1%Cox3,623
64.4%Harding8,029
6.5%
R+35.4
R+27.0
R+9.2
12,458
R
44.7%Wilson3,659
53.0%Hughes4,340
2.2%
R+8.3
R+18.5
R+11.5
8,181
D
47.8%Wilson3,864
37.6%Taft3,039
14.7%
D+10.2
D+18.0
R+9.3
8,092
R
44.7%Bryan3,911
52.5%Taft4,593
2.8%
R+7.8
D+2.8
D+1.8
8,746
R
43.7%Parker3,582
54.4%Roosevelt4,452
1.9%
R+10.6
R+1.2
D+9.0
8,189
R
44.5%Bryan3,625
53.9%McKinley4,393
1.6%
R+9.4
D+9.9
R+1.9
8,148
R
39.1%Bryan3,073
58.4%McKinley4,589
2.6%
R+19.3
R+18.0
R+13.2
7,864
R
47.0%Cleveland3,567
48.3%Harrison3,664
4.7%
R+1.3
—
R+2.9
7,589
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
47.7%15,755
51.8%17,122
33,053
2022
R
44.4%10,800
55.0%13,385
24,345
2018
D
53.3%12,937
46.6%11,319
24,270
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026D+0.6
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+16.6
Monticello, NY registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 17-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
Domestic migration in Monticello, NY in Monticello, NY: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−685
2012
−382
2013
−324
2014
−1,549
2015
−1,065
2016
−128
2017
−181
2018
+151
2019
+40
2021
+1,255
2022
−179
2023
−86
2024
−420
2025
−753
Sullivan County's county seat anchors a small metro long shaped by its Borscht Belt past; recent decades have brought Hasidic Jewish community growth that has measurably shifted local electoral coalitions and school-board politics.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 35.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 35.4 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 7.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 16.6 points.
A population of 79,721, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,382 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of East Stroudsburg, PA and Vineland, NJ.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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In 2024, Monticello, NY, New York voted Republican by 16.6 points (R+16.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 35,062 votes cast, 14,549 went Democratic and 20,386 went Republican.
When did Monticello, NY, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Monticello, NY, New York voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Monticello, NY, New York?
Monticello, NY, New York has a population of 79,721 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Monticello, NY, New York?
Median household income in Monticello, NY, New York is $72,382 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Monticello, NY, New York?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Monticello, NY, New York from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.