Chautauqua County, New York: Industrial Catholic Metro county. In 2024, voted R+22%. Republican peak: R+58 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+22MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 125,5442024 5-year
- Median household income
- $58,3512024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+38 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Chippewa County, MI · similarity 0.99
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −26.2% |
| 1896 | −36.0% |
| 1900 | −38.2% |
| 1904 | −46.5% |
| 1908 | −39.9% |
| 1912 | −13.5% |
| 1916 | −32.1% |
| 1920 | −54.0% |
| 1924 | −57.9% |
| 1928 | −47.5% |
| 1932 | −27.0% |
| 1936 | −13.0% |
| 1940 | −24.4% |
| 1944 | −19.5% |
| 1948 | −17.8% |
| 1952 | −28.4% |
| 1956 | −37.1% |
| 1960 | −14.7% |
| 1964 | +38.4% |
| 1968 | −3.6% |
| 1972 | −17.2% |
| 1976 | −10.2% |
| 1980 | −12.3% |
| 1984 | −26.5% |
| 1988 | −10.1% |
| 1992 | +2.3% |
| 1996 | +9.9% |
| 2000 | −3.5% |
| 2004 | −8.5% |
| 2008 | +0.9% |
| 2012 | −7.9% |
| 2016 | −23.1% |
| 2020 | −19.9% |
| 2024 | −21.8% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 22,085 | 34,528 | 57,046 | ||
| R | 23,088 | 34,853 | 59,196 | ||
| R | 19,091 | 31,594 | 54,234 | ||
| R | 23,812 | 27,971 | 52,852 | ||
| D | 29,129 | 28,579 | 58,802 | ||
| R | 27,257 | 32,434 | 60,944 | ||
| R | 27,016 | 29,064 | 58,722 | ||
| D | 26,831 | 21,261 | 56,290 | ||
| D | 22,645 | 21,222 | 62,789 | ||
| R | 25,814 | 31,642 | 57,867 | ||
| R | 22,986 | 39,597 | 62,724 | ||
| R | 22,871 | 30,081 | 58,756 | ||
| R | 27,447 | 33,730 | 61,436 | ||
| R | 26,253 | 37,158 | 63,583 | ||
| R | 26,431 | 28,561 | 58,507 | ||
| D | 42,924 | 19,069 | 62,056 | ||
| R | 28,143 | 37,836 | 66,031 | ||
| R | 20,269 | 44,149 | 64,418 | ||
| R | 23,427 | 42,043 | 65,620 | ||
| R | 20,683 | 29,969 | 52,144 | ||
| R | 22,086 | 32,824 | 55,174 | ||
| R | 21,524 | 35,536 | 57,316 | ||
| R | 23,283 | 30,435 | 54,927 | ||
| R | 16,914 | 30,479 | 50,275 | ||
| R | 13,223 | 38,220 | 52,584 | ||
| R | 5,560 | 29,757 | 41,764 | ||
| R | 6,781 | 27,618 | 38,587 | ||
| R | 7,153 | 14,782 | 23,770 | ||
| O | 4,954 | 7,899 | 21,844 | ||
| R | 6,158 | 15,739 | 23,985 | ||
| R | 5,295 | 15,891 | 22,775 | ||
| R | 6,660 | 15,318 | 22,652 | ||
| R | 6,581 | 14,325 | 21,507 | ||
| R | 6,397 | 11,595 | 19,866 | ||
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Demographics
Chautauqua County's manufacturing decline and rural demographic weight have driven a decades-long realignment: a county that backed Bill Clinton twice now delivers Republican presidential margins above 20 points.
Its margins are typically close. The Democratic margin reached thirty-eight points in 1964; the Republican margin reached fifty-eight points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-two points.
Its demographics sit near national norms: a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $58,351, and a 17% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chippewa County and Cheboygan County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Chautauqua County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36013/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
