Sullivan County, New York: Florida Surge county. In 2024, voted R+17%. Republican peak: R+35 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+17MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Florida SurgeAkashic typology
- Population
- 79,7212024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,3822024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 69.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 19.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+35 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+35 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Westmoreland County, VA · similarity 0.96
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Sullivan CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Sullivan County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −1.3% |
| 1896 | −19.3% |
| 1900 | −9.4% |
| 1904 | −10.6% |
| 1908 | −7.8% |
| 1912 | +10.2% |
| 1916 | −8.3% |
| 1920 | −35.4% |
| 1924 | −27.0% |
| 1928 | −24.5% |
| 1932 | +7.4% |
| 1936 | +0.8% |
| 1940 | −9.6% |
| 1944 | −12.0% |
| 1948 | −17.0% |
| 1952 | −27.5% |
| 1956 | −27.9% |
| 1960 | −8.9% |
| 1964 | +35.2% |
| 1968 | −3.3% |
| 1972 | −26.7% |
| 1976 | +1.7% |
| 1980 | −20.3% |
| 1984 | −26.4% |
| 1988 | −14.8% |
| 1992 | +7.3% |
| 1996 | +20.3% |
| 2000 | +5.8% |
| 2004 | −0.9% |
| 2008 | +9.5% |
| 2012 | +9.0% |
| 2016 | −11.2% |
| 2020 | −9.2% |
| 2024 | −16.6% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 14,549 | 20,386 | 35,062 | ||
| R | 15,489 | 18,665 | 34,647 | ||
| R | 12,568 | 15,931 | 29,955 | ||
| D | 15,268 | 12,705 | 28,415 | ||
| D | 16,850 | 13,900 | 31,183 | ||
| R | 15,034 | 15,319 | 30,966 | ||
| D | 14,348 | 12,703 | 28,528 | ||
| D | 15,052 | 9,321 | 28,244 | ||
| D | 13,717 | 11,396 | 31,635 | ||
| R | 11,635 | 15,713 | 27,568 | ||
| R | 10,475 | 18,037 | 28,590 | ||
| R | 9,553 | 15,089 | 27,218 | ||
| D | 14,189 | 13,709 | 28,096 | ||
| R | 9,847 | 17,035 | 26,938 | ||
| R | 10,860 | 11,657 | 24,198 | ||
| D | 16,728 | 8,006 | 24,775 | ||
| R | 11,486 | 13,744 | 25,279 | ||
| R | 8,937 | 15,845 | 24,782 | ||
| R | 8,421 | 14,926 | 23,626 | ||
| R | 7,654 | 11,253 | 21,152 | ||
| R | 8,836 | 11,258 | 20,167 | ||
| R | 9,785 | 11,877 | 21,738 | ||
| D | 9,908 | 9,757 | 19,982 | ||
| D | 9,656 | 8,294 | 18,517 | ||
| R | 6,207 | 10,331 | 16,861 | ||
| R | 4,057 | 7,734 | 13,604 | ||
| R | 3,623 | 8,029 | 12,458 | ||
| R | 3,659 | 4,340 | 8,181 | ||
| D | 3,864 | 3,039 | 8,092 | ||
| R | 3,911 | 4,593 | 8,746 | ||
| R | 3,582 | 4,452 | 8,189 | ||
| R | 3,625 | 4,393 | 8,148 | ||
| R | 3,073 | 4,589 | 7,864 | ||
| R | 3,567 | 3,664 | 7,589 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
14.0%
German
13.5%
Italian
10.4%
English
6.8%
American
5.1%
Polish
4.0%
French
1.9%
African American
7.4%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 41.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$72,382
Sullivan County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Sullivan County$72,382
New York$85,974
United States$80,734
Sullivan County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
15.9%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1823.5%
Working age (18–64)14.1%
Seniors (65+)9.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
77.9%
speak English only
Spanish12.9%
Other Indo-European6.8%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.2%
Other languages1.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 66.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Once a Democratic stronghold anchored by Borscht Belt tourism and labor voters, Sullivan County now votes Republican by double digits, reflecting a rural realignment visible across the broader Catskills region.
The Democratic margin here once reached thirty-five points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved seven points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was seventeen points.
A population of 79,721, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,382 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Westmoreland County and Cayuga County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Sullivan County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36105/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in New York
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Frequently asked questions
How did Sullivan County, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Sullivan County, New York voted Republican by 16.6 points (R+17), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 35,062 votes cast, 14,549 went Democratic and 20,386 went Republican.
What is Sullivan County, New York's political typology?
Akashic places Sullivan County, New York in the "Florida Surge" typology — Florida coastal and retiree counties that moved sharply Republican across the Trump era. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 10 times, Republican 24 times, and other 0 times.
When did Sullivan County, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Sullivan County, New York voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Sullivan County, New York?
Sullivan County, New York has a population of 79,721 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Sullivan County, New York?
Median household income in Sullivan County, New York is $72,382 — below the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Sullivan County, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Sullivan County, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican. The county's typology — "Florida Surge" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.