congressional districtFlorida 16th Congressional District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+3.1
2008D+4.3
2012D+0.3
2016R+5.6
2020R+5.5
2024R+13.6
net swing · 2004→2024R+10.6R+3.1 → R+13.6
vs. U.S. · 2024R+12.2R+13.6 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 68.7% of 630,160 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
184,281
243,310
5,407
432,998
630,160
68.7%
2020
199,421
222,816
4,928
427,165
590,684†
72.3%
2016
163,350
183,478
15,476
362,304
536,777†
67.5%
2012
160,059
159,118
3,279
322,456
500,096†
64.5%
2008
164,990
151,332
3,745
320,067
481,969†
66.4%
2004
146,445
155,752
2,547
304,744
463,842†
65.7%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupFL-16FloridaUnited States
German13.6%8.9%12.5%
English12.0%8.2%9.5%
Irish11.4%8.2%9.4%
American8.9%7.7%5.3%
Italian7.1%5.6%4.8%
Polish3.1%2.1%2.2%
French2.6%1.7%1.6%
Scottish2.0%1.3%1.3%
Mexican5.7%3.3%11.3%
Puerto Rican3.5%5.6%1.8%
Cuban1.9%7.3%0.7%
Colombian0.7%2.1%0.4%
Venezuelan0.5%1.6%—
Dominican0.4%1.3%0.7%
Guatemalan0.4%—0.5%
Honduran0.3%0.6%0.3%
African American†9.3%9.5%9.9%
Haitian1.2%2.3%0.3%
Jamaican0.7%1.5%0.4%
African0.6%0.5%0.5%
Vietnamese0.6%0.4%0.6%
Asian Indian0.4%0.9%1.4%
Filipino0.4%0.5%0.9%
Chinese0.4%0.5%1.3%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
FL-16
Florida
United States
Median age
43.1
43.1
39.1
Age 18–24
6.6%
8.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
28.5%
21.3%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
FL-16
Florida
United States
Median household income
$84,737
$74,568
$84,427
Poverty rate
9.7%
12.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
34.1%
34.2%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
FL-16
Florida
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
19.2%
30.7%
22.3%
Spanish
12.7%
22.6%
13.6%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)
1.3%
2.7%
0.7%
Russian, Polish, or other Slavic
1.3%
0.7%
0.7%
Other Indo-European
1.5%
1.9%
2.0%
Religious landscape
Measure
FL-16
Florida
United States
Catholic
—
19.0%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
18.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
53.1%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Florida 16th Congressional District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−3.1%
2008
+4.3%
2012
+0.3%
2016
−5.6%
2020
−5.5%
2024
−13.6%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Congressional elections · 22 House races · 17 Senate races
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
District
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
16
R
40.5%168,625
59.5%247,516
416,141
2022
16
R
37.8%115,575
62.1%189,762
305,358
2020
16
R
44.5%215,683
55.5%269,001
484,684
2018
16
R
45.4%164,463
54.6%197,483
361,946
2016
16
R
40.2%155,262
59.8%230,654
385,916
2014
16
R
38.4%105,483
61.5%169,126
274,829
2012
16
R
46.4%161,929
53.6%187,147
349,076
2010
16
R
33.1%80,327
66.8%162,285
242,763
2008
16
R
39.9%139,373
60.1%209,874
349,247
2006
16
D
49.5%115,832
47.7%111,415
233,773
2004
16
R
32.0%101,247
68.0%215,563
316,810
2002
16
R
0.0%0
78.9%176,171
223,340
2000
16
R
37.2%108,782
60.2%176,153
292,500
1998
16
R
0.0%0
100.0%1
1
1996
16
R
36.0%98,827
64.0%175,714
274,541
1994
16
R
41.9%88,653
58.1%122,760
211,413
1992
16
R
39.2%101,237
60.8%157,322
258,559
1990
16
D
100.0%1
0.0%0
1
1988
16
D
69.4%153,032
30.6%67,461
220,493
1986
16
D
69.7%121,219
30.3%52,809
174,028
1984
16
D
56.4%108,410
43.6%83,903
192,313
1982
16
D
67.9%91,888
32.1%43,458
135,346
U.S. Senate
The statewide Senate race, counted in this district — aggregated from the precinct-level returns that fall inside its boundaries (not a statewide figure).
Votes · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL) precinct returns (CC BY 4.0); aggregated to the district over VEST precinct geometry (CC BY-NC 4.0).
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
42.5%179,085
56.0%235,972
421,609
2022
R
41.3%3,201,522
57.7%4,474,847
7,758,014
2018
R
49.9%4,089,472
50.1%4,099,505
8,188,977
2016
R
44.3%4,122,088
52.0%4,835,191
9,301,716
2012
D
55.2%4,523,451
42.2%3,458,267
8,189,905
2010
R
20.2%1,092,936
48.9%2,645,743
5,411,016
2006
D
60.3%2,890,548
38.1%1,826,127
4,793,440
2004
R
48.3%3,590,201
49.4%3,672,864
7,429,707
2000
D
51.0%2,989,487
46.2%2,705,348
5,856,643
1998
D
62.5%2,436,407
37.5%1,463,755
3,900,162
1994
R
29.5%1,210,577
70.5%2,895,200
4,105,777
1992
D
65.4%3,245,565
34.6%1,716,505
4,962,070
1988
R
49.6%2,016,553
50.4%2,051,071
4,067,624
1986
D
54.7%1,877,543
45.3%1,552,376
3,429,919
1982
D
61.7%1,637,667
38.3%1,015,330
2,652,997
1980
R
48.3%1,705,409
51.7%1,822,460
3,527,869
1976
D
63.0%1,799,518
37.0%1,057,886
2,857,534
2024 U.S. Senate — every candidate counted in this district
Rick Scott · Republican56.0%235,972
Debbie Mucarsel-Powell · Democrat42.5%179,085
Ben Everidge · No Party Affiliation0.5%2,198
Feena Bonoan · Libertarian0.5%2,166
Tuan Tq Nguyen · No Party Affiliation0.4%1,867
Write-In0.1%321
Florida's 16th congressional district, as drawn for the 2026 elections, takes in Manatee and DeSoto counties and parts of Sarasota, Pinellas, and Polk. About 769,200 people live within its 2026 boundaries, with a median age of 43.1.
Measured on those boundaries, the district voted Democratic for president early in the decade and Republican in 2024. The margin was D+0.3 in 2012, R+5.6 in 2016, R+5.5 in 2020, and R+13.6 in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 4.3 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 13.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 8.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 13.6 points.
A population of 769,221, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,737 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 17 and Congressional District 6.
Akashic
Political twins — districts
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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Florida 16th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/1216/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Florida 16th Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Florida 16th Congressional District voted Republican by 13.6 points (R+13.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 432,998 votes cast, 184,281 went Democratic and 243,310 went Republican.
When did Florida 16th Congressional District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Florida 16th Congressional District voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Florida 16th Congressional District?
Florida 16th Congressional District has a population of 769,221 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Florida 16th Congressional District?
Median household income in Florida 16th Congressional District is $84,737 — above the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Florida 16th Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Florida 16th Congressional District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 4 went Republican.
