Sarasota County, Florida: Florida Surge county. In 2024, voted R+18%. Republican peak: R+60 in 1972.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+18MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Florida SurgeAkashic typology
- Population
- 459,5472024 5-year
- Median household income
- $83,4162024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 10.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+48 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+60 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Brevard County, FL · similarity 0.97
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | No data |
| 1916 | No data |
| 1920 | No data |
| 1924 | +3.7% |
| 1928 | −14.9% |
| 1932 | +48.3% |
| 1936 | +39.2% |
| 1940 | +38.6% |
| 1944 | +24.0% |
| 1948 | −17.6% |
| 1952 | −41.5% |
| 1956 | −46.8% |
| 1960 | −41.4% |
| 1964 | −22.3% |
| 1968 | −42.3% |
| 1972 | −60.0% |
| 1976 | −25.0% |
| 1980 | −42.8% |
| 1984 | −48.4% |
| 1988 | −33.4% |
| 1992 | −7.9% |
| 1996 | −3.7% |
| 2000 | −6.4% |
| 2004 | −8.3% |
| 2008 | −0.1% |
| 2012 | −7.4% |
| 2016 | −11.6% |
| 2020 | −10.4% |
| 2024 | −18.2% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 112,593 | 163,188 | 277,757 | ||
| R | 120,110 | 148,370 | 270,575 | ||
| R | 97,870 | 124,438 | 229,063 | ||
| R | 95,119 | 110,504 | 207,480 | ||
| R | 102,686 | 102,897 | 207,353 | ||
| R | 88,442 | 104,692 | 195,652 | ||
| R | 72,869 | 83,117 | 160,977 | ||
| R | 63,665 | 69,213 | 148,986 | ||
| R | 54,552 | 66,855 | 156,352 | ||
| R | 42,099 | 84,602 | 127,409 | ||
| R | 30,525 | 87,771 | 118,365 | ||
| R | 25,621 | 68,065 | 99,265 | ||
| R | 26,293 | 44,157 | 71,478 | ||
| R | 12,235 | 48,939 | 61,210 | ||
| R | 10,127 | 30,160 | 47,328 | ||
| R | 13,937 | 21,917 | 35,854 | ||
| R | 8,287 | 19,995 | 28,282 | ||
| R | 5,052 | 13,937 | 18,989 | ||
| R | 3,945 | 9,538 | 13,483 | ||
| R | 2,302 | 3,559 | 7,125 | ||
| D | 3,443 | 2,109 | 5,552 | ||
| D | 3,773 | 1,672 | 5,445 | ||
| D | 2,418 | 1,055 | 3,473 | ||
| D | 1,912 | 667 | 2,579 | ||
| R | 1,181 | 1,603 | 2,839 | ||
| D | 204 | 187 | 462 | ||
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Demographics
Sarasota's electorate skews older and college-educated, drawing waves of retirees from the Midwest and Northeast whose arrival has historically reinforced its Republican lean, which stood at R+18.2 in the 2024 presidential race.
The Democratic margin here once reached forty-eight points in 1932. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved eight points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was eighteen points.
A population of 459,547, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $83,416 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Brevard County and Polk County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Sarasota County, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/12115/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
