Manatee County, Florida
Precinct data
Results by precinct
71 precincts · 229,812 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -519519 | 2,685 | 5,588 | 81 | 8,354 | 32.1% | 66.9% | R+34.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -507507 | 2,528 | 5,374 | 79 | 7,981 | 31.7% | 67.3% | R+35.7 |
| Precinct -105105 | 2,519 | 5,182 | 85 | 7,786 | 32.4% | 66.6% | R+34.2 |
| Precinct -119119 | 2,154 | 5,316 | 89 | 7,559 | 28.5% | 70.3% | R+41.8 |
| Precinct -121121 | 1,767 | 4,600 | 85 | 6,452 | 27.4% | 71.3% | R+43.9 |
| Precinct -505505 | 2,094 | 4,126 | 67 | 6,287 | 33.3% | 65.6% | R+32.3 |
| Precinct -111111 | 2,114 | 3,765 | 50 | 5,929 | 35.7% | 63.5% | R+27.8 |
| Precinct -103103 | 2,263 | 3,531 | 79 | 5,873 | 38.5% | 60.1% | R+21.6 |
| Precinct -521521 | 2,040 | 3,649 | 82 | 5,771 | 35.3% | 63.2% | R+27.9 |
| Precinct -513513 | 2,023 | 3,438 | 62 | 5,523 | 36.6% | 62.2% | R+25.6 |
| Precinct -311311 | 1,961 | 3,363 | 64 | 5,388 | 36.4% | 62.4% | R+26.0 |
| Precinct -517517 | 2,180 | 3,130 | 62 | 5,372 | 40.6% | 58.3% | R+17.7 |
| Precinct -101101 | 1,746 | 3,047 | 48 | 4,841 | 36.1% | 62.9% | R+26.9 |
| Precinct -109109 | 1,550 | 3,031 | 44 | 4,625 | 33.5% | 65.5% | R+32.0 |
| Precinct -315315 | 1,960 | 2,568 | 56 | 4,584 | 42.8% | 56.0% | R+13.3 |
| Precinct -515515 | 1,759 | 2,723 | 64 | 4,546 | 38.7% | 59.9% | R+21.2 |
| Precinct -503503 | 1,670 | 2,737 | 53 | 4,460 | 37.4% | 61.4% | R+23.9 |
| Precinct -425425 | 2,073 | 2,342 | 43 | 4,458 | 46.5% | 52.5% | R+6.0 |
| Precinct -323323 | 1,750 | 2,504 | 45 | 4,299 | 40.7% | 58.2% | R+17.5 |
| Precinct -419419 | 1,931 | 2,250 | 53 | 4,234 | 45.6% | 53.1% | R+7.5 |
| Precinct -107107 | 1,444 | 2,597 | 52 | 4,093 | 35.3% | 63.4% | R+28.2 |
| Precinct -501501 | 1,561 | 2,467 | 48 | 4,076 | 38.3% | 60.5% | R+22.2 |
| Precinct -523523 | 1,527 | 2,271 | 50 | 3,848 | 39.7% | 59.0% | R+19.3 |
| Precinct -509509 | 1,148 | 2,546 | 50 | 3,744 | 30.7% | 68.0% | R+37.3 |
| Precinct -327327 | 1,369 | 2,240 | 46 | 3,655 | 37.5% | 61.3% | R+23.8 |
| Precinct -117117 | 1,206 | 2,328 | 35 | 3,569 | 33.8% | 65.2% | R+31.4 |
| Precinct -511511 | 1,377 | 2,145 | 42 | 3,564 | 38.6% | 60.2% | R+21.5 |
| Precinct -225225 | 1,424 | 2,082 | 47 | 3,553 | 40.1% | 58.6% | R+18.5 |
| Precinct -217217 | 1,452 | 1,920 | 43 | 3,415 | 42.5% | 56.2% | R+13.7 |
| Precinct -417417 | 1,442 | 1,867 | 50 | 3,359 | 42.9% | 55.6% | R+12.7 |
| Precinct -409409 | 1,210 | 2,028 | 26 | 3,264 | 37.1% | 62.1% | R+25.1 |
| Precinct -401401 | 1,462 | 1,664 | 41 | 3,167 | 46.2% | 52.5% | R+6.4 |
| Precinct -203203 | 1,067 | 2,003 | 45 | 3,115 | 34.3% | 64.3% | R+30.0 |
| Precinct -115115 | 1,059 | 2,008 | 24 | 3,091 | 34.3% | 65.0% | R+30.7 |
| Precinct -329329 | 1,373 | 1,518 | 30 | 2,921 | 47.0% | 52.0% | R+5.0 |
| Precinct -321321 | 1,413 | 1,346 | 50 | 2,809 | 50.3% | 47.9% | D+2.4 |
| Precinct -221221 | 1,089 | 1,656 | 29 | 2,774 | 39.3% | 59.7% | R+20.4 |
| Precinct -333333 | 958 | 1,683 | 25 | 2,666 | 35.9% | 63.1% | R+27.2 |
| Precinct -313313 | 885 | 1,701 | 25 | 2,611 | 33.9% | 65.1% | R+31.3 |
| Precinct -429429 | 1,285 | 1,281 | 33 | 2,599 | 49.4% | 49.3% | D+0.2 |
| Precinct -325325 | 1,011 | 1,570 | 14 | 2,595 | 39.0% | 60.5% | R+21.5 |
| Precinct -317317 | 928 | 1,562 | 39 | 2,529 | 36.7% | 61.8% | R+25.1 |
| Precinct -427427 | 1,029 | 1,247 | 27 | 2,303 | 44.7% | 54.1% | R+9.5 |
| Precinct -423423 | 999 | 1,259 | 29 | 2,287 | 43.7% | 55.1% | R+11.4 |
| Precinct -403403 | 958 | 1,239 | 29 | 2,226 | 43.0% | 55.7% | R+12.6 |
| Precinct -219219 | 734 | 1,453 | 24 | 2,211 | 33.2% | 65.7% | R+32.5 |
| Precinct -207207 | 795 | 1,321 | 23 | 2,139 | 37.2% | 61.8% | R+24.6 |
| Precinct -125125 | 330 | 1,787 | 14 | 2,131 | 15.5% | 83.9% | R+68.4 |
| Precinct -413413 | 847 | 1,244 | 17 | 2,108 | 40.2% | 59.0% | R+18.8 |
| Precinct -411411 | 949 | 1,076 | 34 | 2,059 | 46.1% | 52.3% | R+6.2 |
| Precinct -305305 | 783 | 1,222 | 28 | 2,033 | 38.5% | 60.1% | R+21.6 |
| Precinct -405405 | 754 | 1,127 | 21 | 1,902 | 39.6% | 59.3% | R+19.6 |
| Precinct -127127 | 291 | 1,557 | 16 | 1,864 | 15.6% | 83.5% | R+67.9 |
| Precinct -309309 | 770 | 1,031 | 19 | 1,820 | 42.3% | 56.6% | R+14.3 |
| Precinct -415415 | 841 | 842 | 16 | 1,699 | 49.5% | 49.6% | R+0.1 |
| Precinct -201201 | 503 | 1,149 | 20 | 1,672 | 30.1% | 68.7% | R+38.6 |
| Precinct -227227 | 767 | 855 | 13 | 1,635 | 46.9% | 52.3% | R+5.4 |
| Precinct -223223 | 978 | 623 | 31 | 1,632 | 59.9% | 38.2% | D+21.8 |
| Precinct -213213 | 889 | 715 | 17 | 1,621 | 54.8% | 44.1% | D+10.7 |
| Precinct -211211 | 452 | 1,013 | 19 | 1,484 | 30.5% | 68.3% | R+37.8 |
| Precinct -303303 | 567 | 875 | 11 | 1,453 | 39.0% | 60.2% | R+21.2 |
| Precinct -215215 | 724 | 551 | 26 | 1,301 | 55.6% | 42.4% | D+13.3 |
| Precinct -319319 | 381 | 751 | 13 | 1,145 | 33.3% | 65.6% | R+32.3 |
| Precinct -421421 | 389 | 585 | 13 | 987 | 39.4% | 59.3% | R+19.9 |
| Precinct -407407 | 407 | 543 | 9 | 959 | 42.4% | 56.6% | R+14.2 |
| Precinct -209209 | 693 | 202 | 23 | 918 | 75.5% | 22.0% | D+53.5 |
| Precinct -205205 | 656 | 140 | 9 | 805 | 81.5% | 17.4% | D+64.1 |
| Precinct -301301 | 298 | 386 | 7 | 691 | 43.1% | 55.9% | R+12.7 |
| Precinct -113113 | 203 | 420 | 4 | 627 | 32.4% | 67.0% | R+34.6 |
| Precinct -307307 | 178 | 276 | 5 | 459 | 38.8% | 60.1% | R+21.4 |
| Precinct -123123 | 52 | 250 | 0 | 302 | 17.2% | 82.8% | R+65.6 |
Presidential margin, 1884–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1884 | +51.2% |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +83.3% |
| 1896 | +54.3% |
| 1900 | +69.0% |
| 1904 | +58.6% |
| 1908 | +60.6% |
| 1912 | +63.4% |
| 1916 | +48.1% |
| 1920 | +31.6% |
| 1924 | +22.5% |
| 1928 | −29.1% |
| 1932 | +38.7% |
| 1936 | +41.1% |
| 1940 | +44.3% |
| 1944 | +34.4% |
| 1948 | −8.0% |
| 1952 | −32.8% |
| 1956 | −37.6% |
| 1960 | −30.3% |
| 1964 | −13.5% |
| 1968 | −28.7% |
| 1972 | −60.1% |
| 1976 | −9.1% |
| 1980 | −28.8% |
| 1984 | −45.5% |
| 1988 | −31.4% |
| 1992 | −8.9% |
| 1996 | −2.3% |
| 2000 | −8.0% |
| 2004 | −14.0% |
| 2008 | −7.0% |
| 2012 | −12.5% |
| 2016 | −17.2% |
| 2020 | −16.0% |
| 2024 | −23.5% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 0.6 points.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 233,092 | 71,132 | 101,179 | 59,733 | 1,048 |
| 2018 | 247,288 | 75,261 | 106,780 | 63,268 | 1,979 |
| 2019 | 252,202 | 76,739 | 108,472 | 64,306 | 2,685 |
| 2020 | 273,980 | 83,246 | 119,045 | 67,491 | 4,198 |
| 2021 | 273,614 | 80,679 | 119,403 | 68,626 | 4,906 |
| 2023 | 264,339 | 70,025 | 123,849 | 64,098 | 6,367 |
| 2024 | 287,238 | 72,147 | 137,964 | 68,454 | 8,673 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+8,418 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +131,581 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $121,903 in average income, against $105,343 for residents who stayed — 16% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+1.8 on average — 22 points more Democratic-leaning than Manatee County, FL itself (R+23.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Sarasota County, FL3,150R+18.2
- Hillsborough County, FL1,204R+3.1
- Pinellas County, FL1,037R+5.2
- Lee County, FL303R+28.4
- Broward County, FL249D+17.0
- Miami-Dade County, FL227R+11.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Sarasota County, FL2,429
- Hillsborough County, FL1,308
- Pinellas County, FL686
- Polk County, FL217
- Orange County, FL210
- Pasco County, FL196
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +3,291 |
| 2012 | +5,300 |
| 2013 | +6,998 |
| 2014 | +8,056 |
| 2015 | +10,508 |
| 2016 | +11,768 |
| 2017 | +9,213 |
| 2018 | +8,532 |
| 2019 | +8,954 |
| 2021 | +14,134 |
| 2022 | +15,047 |
| 2023 | +10,918 |
| 2024 | +10,444 |
| 2025 | +8,418 |
Manatee's R+23.5 margin in 2024 reflects a long migration of retirees and transplants from the Midwest and Northeast, gradually transforming what was once a more competitive coastal county into a reliably Republican stronghold.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 83.3 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 60.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 7.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 23.5 points.
A population of 429,792, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,457 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Brevard County and Lee County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Manatee County, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/12081/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.