Pinellas County, Florida: Florida Surge county. In 2024, voted R+5%. Democratic peak: D+54 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+5MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Florida SurgeAkashic typology
- Population
- 963,4812024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,6462024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 73.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+54 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- St. Lucie County, FL · similarity 0.98
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | +54.0% |
| 1916 | +39.0% |
| 1920 | +5.5% |
| 1924 | −4.0% |
| 1928 | −50.2% |
| 1932 | +15.9% |
| 1936 | +19.2% |
| 1940 | +17.4% |
| 1944 | +15.4% |
| 1948 | −20.6% |
| 1952 | −42.7% |
| 1956 | −45.1% |
| 1960 | −27.4% |
| 1964 | +10.0% |
| 1968 | −19.4% |
| 1972 | −39.8% |
| 1976 | −2.7% |
| 1980 | −13.7% |
| 1984 | −30.3% |
| 1988 | −16.0% |
| 1992 | +0.3% |
| 1996 | +8.7% |
| 2000 | +4.0% |
| 2004 | −0.0% |
| 2008 | +8.3% |
| 2012 | +5.6% |
| 2016 | −1.1% |
| 2020 | +0.2% |
| 2024 | −5.2% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 242,385 | 269,447 | 516,981 | ||
| D | 277,450 | 276,209 | 559,715 | ||
| R | 233,701 | 239,201 | 492,403 | ||
| D | 239,104 | 213,258 | 457,702 | ||
| D | 248,299 | 210,066 | 463,282 | ||
| R | 225,460 | 225,686 | 455,357 | ||
| D | 200,657 | 184,849 | 398,526 | ||
| D | 184,748 | 152,155 | 376,272 | ||
| D | 160,528 | 159,121 | 422,851 | ||
| R | 152,420 | 211,049 | 365,370 | ||
| R | 128,574 | 240,612 | 369,249 | ||
| R | 138,428 | 185,728 | 345,003 | ||
| R | 141,879 | 150,003 | 295,569 | ||
| R | 77,197 | 179,541 | 257,116 | ||
| R | 68,209 | 109,235 | 211,258 | ||
| D | 98,381 | 80,414 | 178,795 | ||
| R | 58,054 | 101,779 | 159,833 | ||
| R | 28,113 | 74,314 | 102,427 | ||
| R | 22,365 | 55,691 | 78,056 | ||
| R | 15,724 | 24,900 | 44,524 | ||
| D | 19,574 | 14,340 | 33,914 | ||
| D | 18,941 | 13,327 | 32,268 | ||
| D | 12,072 | 8,183 | 20,255 | ||
| D | 9,670 | 7,024 | 16,694 | ||
| R | 3,439 | 10,545 | 14,151 | ||
| R | 2,633 | 2,872 | 6,043 | ||
| D | 2,848 | 2,529 | 5,819 | ||
| D | 1,503 | 555 | 2,428 | ||
| D | 853 | 87 | 1,418 | ||
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Demographics
Pinellas County, home to St. Petersburg and Clearwater, delivered margins within 5 points of the national result in four consecutive presidential cycles before moving to R+5.2 in 2024, reflecting broader suburban realignment along Florida's Gulf Coast.
The Democratic margin here once reached fifty-four points in 1912. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved five points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was five points.
A population of 963,481, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,646 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of St. Lucie County and Montgomery County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Pinellas County, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/12103/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
