Hardee County, Florida
Precinct data
Results by precinct
12 precincts · 8,161 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -0707 | 304 | 1,297 | 15 | 1,616 | 18.8% | 80.3% | R+61.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -0909 | 200 | 1,071 | 13 | 1,284 | 15.6% | 83.4% | R+67.8 |
| Precinct -1212 | 129 | 897 | 1 | 1,027 | 12.6% | 87.3% | R+74.8 |
| Precinct -0202 | 225 | 471 | 10 | 706 | 31.9% | 66.7% | R+34.8 |
| Precinct -0404 | 131 | 496 | 8 | 635 | 20.6% | 78.1% | R+57.5 |
| Precinct -1010 | 169 | 374 | 7 | 550 | 30.7% | 68.0% | R+37.3 |
| Precinct -1111 | 165 | 347 | 3 | 515 | 32.0% | 67.4% | R+35.3 |
| Precinct -0606 | 105 | 354 | 6 | 465 | 22.6% | 76.1% | R+53.5 |
| Precinct -0505 | 50 | 407 | 5 | 462 | 10.8% | 88.1% | R+77.3 |
| Precinct -0303 | 96 | 348 | 2 | 446 | 21.5% | 78.0% | R+56.5 |
| Precinct -0101 | 26 | 248 | 2 | 276 | 9.4% | 89.9% | R+80.4 |
| Precinct -0808 | 151 | 27 | 1 | 179 | 84.4% | 15.1% | D+69.3 |
Presidential margin, 1924–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1924 | +45.6% |
| 1928 | −42.3% |
| 1932 | +62.9% |
| 1936 | +43.5% |
| 1940 | +57.3% |
| 1944 | +50.6% |
| 1948 | +41.4% |
| 1952 | +6.9% |
| 1956 | +8.7% |
| 1960 | −5.9% |
| 1964 | −9.8% |
| 1968 | −12.7% |
| 1972 | −69.2% |
| 1976 | +9.4% |
| 1980 | −0.1% |
| 1984 | −44.1% |
| 1988 | −35.9% |
| 1992 | −13.7% |
| 1996 | −8.2% |
| 2000 | −22.8% |
| 2004 | −40.0% |
| 2008 | −29.6% |
| 2012 | −30.9% |
| 2016 | −40.8% |
| 2020 | −45.1% |
| 2024 | −56.3% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 26 points more Democratic.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 11,942 | 4,633 | 5,112 | 2,071 | 126 |
| 2018 | 12,257 | 4,442 | 5,457 | 2,311 | 47 |
| 2019 | 12,430 | 4,343 | 5,588 | 2,444 | 55 |
| 2020 | 13,145 | 4,042 | 6,448 | 2,567 | 88 |
| 2021 | 13,272 | 3,919 | 6,497 | 2,763 | 93 |
| 2023 | 12,533 | 3,183 | 6,537 | 2,639 | 174 |
| 2024 | 13,154 | 3,143 | 7,076 | 2,646 | 289 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−295 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −2,794 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $47,297 in average income, against $55,950 for residents who stayed — 15% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+25.4 on average — 31 points more Democratic-leaning than Hardee County, FL itself (R+56.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Polk County, FL112R+20.7
- Highlands County, FL71R+40.8
- Hillsborough County, FL50R+3.1
- Manatee County, FL38R+23.5
- DeSoto County, FL36R+42.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Polk County, FL141
- Highlands County, FL95
- Hillsborough County, FL34
- DeSoto County, FL30
- Manatee County, FL22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −379 |
| 2012 | −559 |
| 2013 | −351 |
| 2014 | −245 |
| 2015 | −279 |
| 2016 | −152 |
| 2017 | −228 |
| 2018 | −129 |
| 2019 | −376 |
| 2021 | −98 |
| 2022 | +272 |
| 2023 | +86 |
| 2024 | −61 |
| 2025 | −295 |
Hardee, a sparsely populated agricultural county in south-central Florida, recorded an R+56.3 presidential margin in 2024 — among the widest gaps in the state — reflecting a largely rural, farming-dependent electorate with limited urban counterweight.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 62.9 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 69.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 11.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 56.3 points.
A population of 25,675, a 46% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,489 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Terry County and Crosby County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Hardee County, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/12049/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.