congressional districtMinnesota 1st Congressional District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+2.9
2008D+4.5
2012D+1.8
2016R+13.9
2020R+9.2
2024R+12.0
net swing · 2004→2024R+9.1R+2.9 → R+12.0
vs. U.S. · 2024R+10.5R+12.0 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 73.0% of 533,445 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
167,185
213,799
8,577
389,561
533,445
73.0%
2020
172,285
208,056
9,378
389,719
516,826†
75.4%
2016
137,504
186,978
32,621
357,103
510,908†
69.9%
2012
178,222
171,618
9,545
359,385
505,565†
71.1%
2008
184,668
168,343
10,458
363,469
495,556†
73.3%
2004
170,262
180,420
5,319
356,001
485,546†
73.3%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupMN-1MinnesotaUnited States
German35.9%29.2%12.5%
Norwegian14.6%12.1%—
Irish9.4%9.9%9.4%
English6.4%6.6%9.5%
American4.3%2.3%5.3%
Swedish3.9%6.5%—
Polish2.5%3.7%2.2%
French1.0%1.8%1.6%
Mexican4.7%3.9%11.3%
Guatemalan0.6%0.2%0.5%
Salvadoran0.3%0.2%0.7%
Puerto Rican0.3%0.3%1.8%
African American†1.9%3.8%9.9%
Somali0.7%1.1%—
Ethiopian0.3%0.5%—
African0.3%0.5%0.5%
Sudanese0.2%——
Burmese0.4%0.2%—
Vietnamese0.4%0.4%0.6%
Chinese0.4%0.5%1.3%
Asian Indian0.3%0.8%1.4%
Cambodian0.2%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
MN-1
Minnesota
United States
Median age
39.2
39
39.1
Age 18–24
10.4%
8.8%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
18.7%
17.2%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
MN-1
Minnesota
United States
Median household income
$79,637
$89,062
$84,427
Poverty rate
10.1%
9.3%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
32.6%
39.4%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
MN-1
Minnesota
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
10.0%
12.5%
22.3%
Spanish
4.7%
4.2%
13.6%
Other Asian & Pacific Island
1.2%
2.3%
1.1%
Other languages
1.4%
2.6%
0.8%
Religious landscape
Measure
MN-1
Minnesota
United States
Catholic
—
19.5%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
11.8%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
50.6%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Minnesota 1st Congressional District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−2.9%
2008
+4.5%
2012
+1.8%
2016
−13.9%
2020
−9.2%
2024
−12.0%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Congressional elections · 25 House races · 17 Senate races
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
District
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
1
R
41.4%156,375
58.5%220,929
377,601
2022
1
R
42.3%125,457
53.8%159,621
296,547
2020
1
R
45.5%167,890
48.6%179,234
368,856
2018
1
R
49.7%144,885
50.1%146,200
291,661
2016
1
D
50.3%169,071
49.6%166,524
335,873
2014
1
D
54.2%122,851
45.7%103,536
226,695
2012
1
D
57.5%193,211
42.3%142,164
335,880
2010
1
D
49.3%122,365
44.0%109,242
248,005
2008
1
D
62.5%207,753
32.9%109,453
332,400
2006
1
D
52.7%141,556
47.1%126,486
268,421
2004
1
R
35.5%115,088
59.6%193,132
324,055
2002
1
R
34.7%92,165
61.5%163,570
265,982
2000
1
R
41.6%117,946
56.4%159,835
283,221
1998
1
R
45.2%108,420
54.7%131,233
239,903
1996
1
R
47.2%123,147
52.7%137,486
261,062
1994
1
R
44.7%95,328
55.2%117,613
213,218
1992
1
D
73.9%206,369
25.9%72,367
279,430
1990
1
D
78.1%156,749
21.9%43,856
200,663
1988
1
D
70.1%161,118
29.5%67,709
229,813
1986
1
D
72.4%125,115
27.6%47,750
172,877
1984
1
D
57.0%140,095
43.0%105,723
245,837
1982
1
D
51.2%109,257
47.9%102,298
213,520
1980
1
R
28.2%67,279
71.8%171,099
238,380
1978
1
R
42.5%83,271
56.2%110,090
195,929
1976
1
R
30.5%70,630
68.2%158,177
231,773
U.S. Senate
The statewide Senate race, counted in this district — aggregated from the precinct-level returns that fall inside its boundaries (not a statewide figure).
Votes · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL) precinct returns (CC BY 4.0); aggregated to the district over VEST precinct geometry (CC BY-NC 4.0).
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
49.3%188,283
47.5%181,605
382,204
2020
D
48.8%1,566,522
43.5%1,398,145
3,211,995
2018
D
60.3%1,566,174
36.2%940,437
2,595,948
2014
D
53.2%1,053,205
42.9%850,227
1,980,647
2012
D
65.3%1,854,595
30.6%867,974
2,840,625
2008
D
42.0%1,212,629
42.0%1,212,317
2,885,281
2006
D
58.1%1,278,849
38.0%835,653
2,201,818
2002
R
47.9%1,078,627
49.6%1,116,697
2,252,836
2000
D
48.8%1,181,553
43.3%1,047,474
2,419,516
1996
D
50.3%1,098,430
41.3%901,194
2,181,775
1994
R
44.2%781,860
49.1%869,653
1,770,315
1990
D
50.5%911,999
47.9%864,375
1,806,194
1988
R
40.9%856,694
56.2%1,176,210
2,093,538
1984
R
41.3%852,844
58.1%1,199,926
2,066,143
1982
R
46.6%840,401
52.6%949,207
1,804,675
1978
R
40.4%638,375
56.6%894,092
1,580,550
1976
D
67.5%1,290,736
25.0%478,602
1,912,020
2024 U.S. Senate — every candidate counted in this district
Covering most of southern Minnesota's farm country and small cities like Rochester, MN-01 gave the Republican presidential candidate a 13-point margin in 2024 — a dramatic reversal from when the district regularly backed Democrats just ten years ago.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 4.5 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 13.9 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.0 points.
A population of 713,298, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,637 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 7 and Congressional District 8.
Akashic
Political twins — districts
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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Minnesota 1st Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2701/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Minnesota 1st Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Minnesota 1st Congressional District voted Republican by 12.0 points (R+12.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 389,561 votes cast, 167,185 went Democratic and 213,799 went Republican.
When did Minnesota 1st Congressional District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Minnesota 1st Congressional District voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Minnesota 1st Congressional District?
Minnesota 1st Congressional District has a population of 713,298 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Minnesota 1st Congressional District?
Median household income in Minnesota 1st Congressional District is $79,637 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Minnesota 1st Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Minnesota 1st Congressional District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 4 went Republican.
