HarrisDemocratic32.9%4,108TrumpRepublican64.8%8,095KennedyIndependent1.1%137
R+31.9- Lead
- 3,987
- Total
- 12,484
- vs nation
- R+30.5
- Turnout
- 81.4%
Akashiccounty
Dodge County, MN
Contests in this Place (87 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 81.4% of 15,428 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic33.5%4,079TrumpRepublican63.9%7,783JorgensenLibertarian1.4%167
R+30.4- Lead
- 3,704
- Total
- 12,187
- vs nation
- R+34.8
- Turnout
- 81.4%
ClintonDemocratic29.1%3,102TrumpRepublican61.3%6,527JohnsonLibertarian4.3%454
R+32.1- Lead
- 3,425
- Total
- 10,654
- vs nation
- R+34.2
- Turnout
- 74.1%
ObamaDemocratic43.4%4,487RomneyRepublican53.5%5,522GRAYLibertarian1.5%158
R+10.0- Lead
- 1,035
- Total
- 10,327
- vs nation
- R+13.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic43.7%4,463McCainRepublican53.5%5,468OtherAll other candidates2.8%283
R+9.8- Lead
- 1,005
- Total
- 10,214
- vs nation
- R+17.1
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic41.7%4,117BushRepublican56.7%5,593OtherAll other candidates1.6%158
R+15.0- Lead
- 1,476
- Total
- 9,868
- vs nation
- R+12.5
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic41.9%3,370BushRepublican52.3%4,213NaderGreen4.1%327
R+10.5- Lead
- 843
- Total
- 8,050
- vs nation
- R+11.0
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic43.5%3,233DoleRepublican38.8%2,888PerotReform16.4%1,223
D+4.6- Lead
- 345
- Total
- 7,435
- vs nation
- R+3.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+31.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 21,0452024 5-year
- Population density
- 48 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 439 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $95,7392024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+13.1 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+70.7 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Steele County, MN · twin score 86.6
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 81.4%12,555 participants ÷ 15,428 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +19.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -0.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 62.3%–65.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12,555 | 15,428 ± 114 | 81.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 9,451 | 15,155 ± 155 | 62.4% | Audited | A/A |
| 12,228 | 15,016 ± 135 | 81.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 9,209 | 14,828 ± 107 | 62.1% | Audited | A/A |
| 10,764 | 14,531 ± 80 | 74.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 10,327 | 14,062 | 73.4% | Derived | — | |
| 10,214 | 13,675 | 74.7% | Derived | — | |
| 9,868 | 13,288 extrapolated | 74.3% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Dodge County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Dodge County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Amy Klobuchar and Ben Schierer0—
Bill E Gates J.R. and Leah Harris0—
Kobey J Layne and Paul Ference0—
Mohammad Wazwaz and Murad Alshlool0—
Ole "Viking" Savior and Ashley "Skol" Johnson0—
Po Vang and Mark Frascone0—
Show all 7 candidates
Thomas Evenstad and Jason Haarsager0—
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 41 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
41 precincts · 12,484 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -KASSON P-2KASSON P-2 | 920 | 1,513 | 66 | 2,499 | 36.8% | 60.5% | R+23.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -MANTORVILLE TWPMANTORVILLE TWP | 479 | 805 | 30 | 1,314 | 36.5% | 61.3% | R+24.8 |
| Precinct -DODGE CENTER P-1DODGE CENTER P-1 | 378 | 744 | 21 | 1,143 | 33.1% | 65.1% | R+32.0 |
| Precinct -KASSON P-3KASSON P-3 | 405 | 635 | 27 | 1,067 | 38.0% | 59.5% | R+21.6 |
| Precinct -HAYFIELDHAYFIELD | 267 | 474 | 12 | 753 | 35.5% | 62.9% | R+27.5 |
| Precinct -MANTORVILLEMANTORVILLE | 281 | 452 | 19 | 752 | 37.4% | 60.1% | R+22.7 |
| Precinct -WASIOJA TWPWASIOJA TWP | 121 | 408 | 17 | 546 | 22.2% | 74.7% | R+52.6 |
| Precinct -MILTON TWPMILTON TWP | 149 | 323 | 5 | 477 | 31.2% | 67.7% | R+36.5 |
| Precinct -WEST CONCORDWEST CONCORD | 122 | 315 | 7 | 444 | 27.5% | 70.9% | R+43.5 |
| Precinct -VERNON TWPVERNON TWP | 132 | 299 | 8 | 439 | 30.1% | 68.1% | R+38.0 |
| Precinct -CANISTEO TWPCANISTEO TWP | 125 | 307 | 6 | 438 | 28.5% | 70.1% | R+41.6 |
| Precinct -KASSON P-1KASSON P-1 | 151 | 239 | 9 | 399 | 37.8% | 59.9% | R+22.1 |
| Precinct -CONCORD TWPCONCORD TWP | 88 | 267 | 16 | 371 | 23.7% | 72.0% | R+48.2 |
| Precinct -HAYFIELD TWPHAYFIELD TWP | 88 | 208 | 4 | 300 | 29.3% | 69.3% | R+40.0 |
| Precinct -DODGE CENTER P-2DODGE CENTER P-2 | 78 | 206 | 3 | 287 | 27.2% | 71.8% | R+44.6 |
| Precinct -WESTFIELD TWPWESTFIELD TWP | 71 | 193 | 4 | 268 | 26.5% | 72.0% | R+45.5 |
| Precinct -CLAREMONT TWPCLAREMONT TWP | 73 | 188 | 4 | 265 | 27.5% | 70.9% | R+43.4 |
| Precinct -CLAREMONTCLAREMONT | 75 | 168 | 10 | 253 | 29.6% | 66.4% | R+36.8 |
| Precinct -ASHLAND TWPASHLAND TWP | 53 | 129 | 9 | 191 | 27.7% | 67.5% | R+39.8 |
| Precinct -ELLINGTON TWPELLINGTON TWP | 36 | 126 | 4 | 166 | 21.7% | 75.9% | R+54.2 |
| Precinct -RIPLEY TWPRIPLEY TWP | 16 | 96 | 0 | 112 | 14.3% | 85.7% | R+71.4 |
| Ashland Twp. Voting District27_270390005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Blooming Prairie Voting District27_270390007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Canisteo Twp. Voting District27_270390010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Claremont Twp. Voting District27_270390020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Claremont Voting District27_270390015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Concord Twp. Voting District27_270390025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dodge Center Voting District27_270390030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ellington Twp. Voting District27_270390035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hayfield Twp. Voting District27_270390045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hayfield Voting District27_270390040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kasson P-East27_270390051 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kasson P-West27_270390050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mantorville Twp. Voting District27_270390060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mantorville Voting District27_270390055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Milton Twp. Voting District27_270390065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ripley Twp. Voting District27_270390070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Vernon Twp. Voting District27_270390075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wasioja Twp. Voting District27_270390080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| West Concord Voting District27_270390085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Westfield Twp. Voting District27_270390090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Dodge County, MN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
55.8%
3,138 votes · D+11.8
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 54.7%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
83.4%
3,386 votes · R+70.7
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 75.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
4,487votes
43.4% of the vote · R+10.0
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 4,463 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
8,095votes
64.8% of the vote · R+31.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 7,783 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Harry S. Truman1948
−1.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+2.9 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · −3.9 pts
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
+44.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+70.7 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · +40.0 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RCarla NelsonState Senate · 24
RDuane QuamState House · 24A
Seats representing Dodge County, MN. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 31.6%3,847 | 68.4%8,319 | 12,166 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 12,439 |
| 2018 | 12,418 |
| 2020 | 13,689 |
| 2022 | 13,576 |
| 2024 | 14,529 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−47 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −474 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $57,840 in average income, against $93,626 for residents who stayed — 38% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+2.4 on average — 34 points more Democratic-leaning than Dodge County, MN itself (R+31.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Olmsted County, MN246D+10.6
- Goodhue County, MN40R+16.4
- Steele County, MN34R+24.4
- Mower County, MN29R+10.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Olmsted County, MN207
- Steele County, MN40
- Mower County, MN32
- Goodhue County, MN24
- Hennepin County, MN21
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −109 |
| 2012 | −81 |
| 2013 | −49 |
| 2014 | −68 |
| 2015 | −90 |
| 2016 | +10 |
| 2017 | +70 |
| 2018 | −21 |
| 2019 | +66 |
| 2021 | −28 |
| 2022 | −68 |
| 2023 | −40 |
| 2024 | −19 |
| 2025 | −47 |
Dodge County's small-town and agricultural character anchors one of southeast Minnesota's more reliably one-sided presidential electorates, with the 2024 margin of R+31.9 continuing a pattern of double-digit Republican advantages since at least 2012.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 13.1 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 70.7 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 31.9 points.
A population of 21,045, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $95,739 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Steele County and Goodhue County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Steele County
Minnesota
86.6twin score
Norwegian ancestry% unaffiliatedmedian income≠ French ancestry
Goodhue County
Minnesota
83.3twin score
Norwegian ancestry% Whitemedian income≠ Swedish ancestry
Pope County
Minnesota
82.8twin score
Norwegian ancestry% White12-yr trend≠ median age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Dodge County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27039/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Cities & towns in Dodge County
Minnesota at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Dodge County, Minnesota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Dodge County, Minnesota voted Republican by 31.9 points (R+31.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 12,484 votes cast, 4,108 went Democratic and 8,095 went Republican.
When did Dodge County, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Dodge County, Minnesota voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Dodge County, Minnesota?
Dodge County, Minnesota has a population of 21,045 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Dodge County, Minnesota?
Median household income in Dodge County, Minnesota is $95,739 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Dodge County, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Dodge County, Minnesota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 28 went Republican.