- Lead
- 3,147
- Total
- 12,385
- vs nation
- R+23.9
- Turnout
- 77.9%
Fillmore County, MN
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 77.9% of 16,002 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,750
- Total
- 12,141
- vs nation
- R+27.1
- Turnout
- 77.7%
- Lead
- 2,399
- Total
- 11,055
- vs nation
- R+23.8
- Turnout
- 71.2%
- Lead
- 800
- Total
- 10,892
- vs nation
- D+3.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 928
- Total
- 11,234
- vs nation
- D+1.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 131
- Total
- 11,698
- vs nation
- D+3.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 374
- Total
- 10,223
- vs nation
- D+3.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,266
- Total
- 9,861
- vs nation
- D+4.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+25.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 21,4142024 5-year
- Population density
- 25 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 861 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $77,5122024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 94.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+12.8 in 1996MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+75.4 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Yellow Medicine County, MN · twin score 91.1
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 77.9%12,459 participants ÷ 16,002 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +17.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -2.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 60.4%–65.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12,459 | 16,002 ± 82 | 77.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 9,570 | 15,881 ± 71 | 60.3% | Audited | A/A |
| 12,205 | 15,707 ± 71 | 77.7% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 9,841 | 15,608 ± 61 | 63.1% | Audited | A/A |
| 11,192 | 15,710 ± 53 | 71.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 10,892 | 15,734 | 69.2% | Derived | — | |
| 11,234 | 15,728 | 71.4% | Derived | — | |
| 11,698 | 15,722 extrapolated | 74.4% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Fillmore County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Fillmore County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Show all 7 candidates
Governor contest result
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Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 74 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
74 precincts · 12,385 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -SPRING VALLEYSPRING VALLEY | 466 | 843 | 27 | 1,336 | 34.9% | 63.1% | R+28.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -CHATFIELDCHATFIELD | 411 | 590 | 28 | 1,029 | 39.9% | 57.3% | R+17.4 |
| Precinct -RUSHFORDRUSHFORD | 375 | 605 | 17 | 997 | 37.6% | 60.7% | R+23.1 |
| Precinct -PRESTONPRESTON | 339 | 451 | 12 | 802 | 42.3% | 56.2% | R+14.0 |
| Precinct -HARMONYHARMONY | 282 | 363 | 11 | 656 | 43.0% | 55.3% | R+12.3 |
| Precinct -LANESBOROLANESBORO | 330 | 199 | 10 | 539 | 61.2% | 36.9% | D+24.3 |
| Precinct -RUSHFORD VILLAGERUSHFORD VILLAGE | 185 | 333 | 8 | 526 | 35.2% | 63.3% | R+28.1 |
| Precinct -MABELMABEL | 159 | 205 | 11 | 375 | 42.4% | 54.7% | R+12.3 |
| Precinct -CHATFIELD TWPCHATFIELD TWP | 124 | 241 | 6 | 371 | 33.4% | 65.0% | R+31.5 |
| Precinct -SPRING VALLEY TWPSPRING VALLEY TWP | 120 | 220 | 8 | 348 | 34.5% | 63.2% | R+28.7 |
| Precinct -SUMNER TWPSUMNER TWP | 98 | 201 | 10 | 309 | 31.7% | 65.0% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -FILLMORE TWPFILLMORE TWP | 64 | 206 | 9 | 279 | 22.9% | 73.8% | R+50.9 |
| Precinct -WYKOFFWYKOFF | 77 | 182 | 7 | 266 | 28.9% | 68.4% | R+39.5 |
| Precinct -CARROLTON TWPCARROLTON TWP | 106 | 149 | 5 | 260 | 40.8% | 57.3% | R+16.5 |
| Precinct -FORESTVILLE TWPFORESTVILLE TWP | 63 | 188 | 7 | 258 | 24.4% | 72.9% | R+48.4 |
| Precinct -PILOT MOUND TWPPILOT MOUND TWP | 103 | 146 | 5 | 254 | 40.6% | 57.5% | R+16.9 |
| Precinct -JORDAN TWPJORDAN TWP | 62 | 178 | 5 | 245 | 25.3% | 72.7% | R+47.3 |
| Precinct -FOUNTAINFOUNTAIN | 73 | 157 | 9 | 239 | 30.5% | 65.7% | R+35.1 |
| Precinct -NEWBURG TWPNEWBURG TWP | 50 | 182 | 4 | 236 | 21.2% | 77.1% | R+55.9 |
| Precinct -BLOOMFIELD TWPBLOOMFIELD TWP | 47 | 174 | 4 | 225 | 20.9% | 77.3% | R+56.4 |
| Precinct -NORWAY TWPNORWAY TWP | 72 | 149 | 0 | 221 | 32.6% | 67.4% | R+34.8 |
| Precinct -ARENDAHL TWPARENDAHL TWP | 75 | 140 | 2 | 217 | 34.6% | 64.5% | R+30.0 |
| Precinct -CARIMONA TWPCARIMONA TWP | 82 | 132 | 2 | 216 | 38.0% | 61.1% | R+23.1 |
| Precinct -AMHERST TWPAMHERST TWP | 72 | 137 | 4 | 213 | 33.8% | 64.3% | R+30.5 |
| Precinct -FOUNTAIN TWPFOUNTAIN TWP | 63 | 125 | 10 | 198 | 31.8% | 63.1% | R+31.3 |
| Precinct -HARMONY TWPHARMONY TWP | 61 | 130 | 3 | 194 | 31.4% | 67.0% | R+35.6 |
| Precinct -YORK TWPYORK TWP | 60 | 121 | 2 | 183 | 32.8% | 66.1% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -PRESTON TWPPRESTON TWP | 55 | 116 | 5 | 176 | 31.3% | 65.9% | R+34.7 |
| Precinct -HOLT TWPHOLT TWP | 59 | 111 | 5 | 175 | 33.7% | 63.4% | R+29.7 |
| Precinct -CANTON TWPCANTON TWP | 52 | 115 | 1 | 168 | 31.0% | 68.5% | R+37.5 |
| Precinct -BRISTOL TWPBRISTOL TWP | 49 | 109 | 2 | 160 | 30.6% | 68.1% | R+37.5 |
| Precinct -CANTONCANTON | 43 | 109 | 2 | 154 | 27.9% | 70.8% | R+42.9 |
| Precinct -OSTRANDEROSTRANDER | 36 | 103 | 2 | 141 | 25.5% | 73.0% | R+47.5 |
| Precinct -BEAVER TWPBEAVER TWP | 53 | 80 | 5 | 138 | 38.4% | 58.0% | R+19.6 |
| Precinct -PREBLE TWPPREBLE TWP | 60 | 72 | 1 | 133 | 45.1% | 54.1% | R+9.0 |
| Precinct -PETERSONPETERSON | 46 | 50 | 7 | 103 | 44.7% | 48.5% | R+3.9 |
| Precinct -WHALANWHALAN | 19 | 26 | 0 | 45 | 42.2% | 57.8% | R+15.6 |
| Amherst Twp. Voting District27_270450005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Arendahl Twp. Voting District27_270450010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Beaver Twp. Voting District27_270450015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bloomfield Twp. Voting District27_270450020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Bristol Twp. Voting District27_270450025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Canton Twp. Voting District27_270450035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Canton Voting District27_270450030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Carimona Twp. Voting District27_270450040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Carrolton Twp. Voting District27_270450045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chatfield Twp. Voting District27_270450055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Chatfield Voting District27_270450050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fillmore Twp. Voting District27_270450060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Forestville Twp. Voting District27_270450065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fountain Twp. Voting District27_270450075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fountain Voting District27_270450070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Harmony Twp. Voting District27_270450085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Harmony Voting District27_270450080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Holt Twp. Voting District27_270450090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Jordan Twp. Voting District27_270450095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lanesboro Voting District27_270450100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mabel Voting District27_270450105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Newburg Twp. Voting District27_270450110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Norway Twp. Voting District27_270450115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ostrander Voting District27_270450120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Peterson Voting District27_270450125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pilot Mound Twp. Voting District27_270450130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Preble Twp. Voting District27_270450135 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Preston Twp. Voting District27_270450150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Preston Voting District27_270450140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rushford Village Voting District27_270450160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rushford Voting District27_270450155 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Spring Valley Twp. Voting District27_270450175 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Spring Valley Voting District27_270450165 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sumner Twp. Voting District27_270450180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Whalan Voting District27_270450185 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Wykoff Voting District27_270450190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| York Twp. Voting District27_270450195 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Fillmore County, MN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
54.6%
5,813 votes · D+9.3
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 52.7%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
85.9%
7,341 votes · R+75.4
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 80.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
5,921votes
52.7% of the vote · D+8.3
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 5,825 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
8,405votes
76.0% of the vote · R+52.4
Runner-up · Wendell Willkie, 1940 · 7,839 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1996
+4.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+12.8 · U.S. D+8.5
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · +3.6 pts
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
+49.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+75.4 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · +46.8 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Fillmore County, MN. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 34.5%4,170 | 65.5%7,918 | 12,088 |
| 2020 | R | 44.1%4,959 | 55.9%6,294 | 11,253 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 13,091 |
| 2018 | 12,718 |
| 2020 | 13,675 |
| 2022 | 13,619 |
| 2024 | 14,361 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+78 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +212 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $58,291 in average income, against $75,147 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+2.7 on average — 28 points more Democratic-leaning than Fillmore County, MN itself (R+25.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Olmsted County, MN142D+10.6
- Winona County, MN42R+4.9
- Houston County, MN28R+16.5
- Mower County, MN20R+10.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Olmsted County, MN111
- Winona County, MN45
- Mower County, MN30
- Houston County, MN22
- Hennepin County, MN20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −43 |
| 2012 | −14 |
| 2013 | −111 |
| 2014 | −46 |
| 2015 | −63 |
| 2016 | +127 |
| 2017 | +2 |
| 2018 | +17 |
| 2019 | −11 |
| 2021 | +80 |
| 2022 | +115 |
| 2023 | +57 |
| 2024 | +24 |
| 2025 | +78 |
Fillmore County's rolling karst terrain and small agricultural towns anchor a voting pattern that shifted roughly 10 points toward Republicans between 2012 and 2024, reflecting broader rural realignment across southeastern Minnesota.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 12.8 points in 1996 and a Republican high of 75.4 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.4 points.
A population of 21,414, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,512 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Yellow Medicine County and Chippewa County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Fillmore County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.