Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 1992–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic24.8%435TrumpRepublican72.5%1,271OtherAll other candidates2.7%48
R+47.7
Lead
836
Total
1,754
vs nation
R+46.2
BidenDemocratic24.8%482TrumpRepublican73.5%1,429OtherAll other candidates1.7%34
R+48.7
Lead
947
Total
1,945
vs nation
R+53.1
ClintonDemocratic23.5%394TrumpRepublican70.7%1,186OtherAll other candidates5.8%97
R+47.2
Lead
792
Total
1,677
vs nation
R+49.3
ObamaDemocratic27.6%483RomneyRepublican70.0%1,225OtherAll other candidates2.3%41
R+42.4
Lead
742
Total
1,749
vs nation
R+46.3
ObamaDemocratic31.9%511McCainRepublican67.3%1,080OtherAll other candidates0.8%13
R+35.5
Lead
569
Total
1,604
vs nation
R+42.7
KerryDemocratic24.4%405BushRepublican74.8%1,244OtherAll other candidates0.8%14
R+50.5
Lead
839
Total
1,663
vs nation
R+48.0
ClintonDemocratic31.4%471DoleRepublican59.7%895OtherAll other candidates8.8%132
R+28.3
Lead
424
Total
1,498
vs nation
R+36.8
ClintonDemocratic34.2%476BushRepublican45.7%636OtherAll other candidates20.1%280
R+11.5
Lead
160
Total
1,392
vs nation
R+17.1
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+47.7MIT Election Lab
Population
3,2402024 5-year
Population density
70 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
46.4 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$78,5122024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
74.4%2024 5-year
Black
0.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
9.7%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+50.5 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes.
2016–20245 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
64.9%1,769 participants ÷ 2,724 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+27.9 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state
+1.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
37.0%–44.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm
0%20%40%60%80%100%
82.9%
47.0%
20162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
1,769
2,724 ± 404
64.9%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
1,174
2,496 ± 400
47.0%
Audited
E/D
1,963
2,618 ± 304
75.0%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
1,539
1,857 ± 232
82.9%
Audited
E/D
1,745
1,802 ± 242
96.8%
Audited
E/D
Sources and methods
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
presidential history
Party record book
Auberry, CA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1992–2024 · 8 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1992
34.2%
476 votes · R+11.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 31.9%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
74.8%
1,244 votes · R+50.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 73.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
511votes
31.9% of the vote · R+35.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 483 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
1,429votes
73.5% of the vote · R+48.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 1,271 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1992
−17.1pts D vs U.S.
Place R+11.5 · U.S. D+5.6
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · −36.8 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+53.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+48.7 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +49.3 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Auberry · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Fresno County, California, the county containing Auberry — Auberry’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Auberry, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Auberry sits in Fresno County's mountainous northeastern corner, where low-density settlement patterns and timber-adjacent livelihoods have long produced voting margins that diverge sharply from the urban Central Valley floor below.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 50.5 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.0 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 47.7 points.
A population of 3,240, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,512 describe the city.
In 2024, Auberry, California voted Republican by 47.7 points (R+47.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,754 votes cast, 435 went Democratic and 1,271 went Republican.
How many people live in Auberry, California?
Auberry, California has a population of 3,240 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Auberry, California?
Median household income in Auberry, California is $78,512 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Auberry, California?
Akashic tracks 8 presidential elections in Auberry, California from 1992 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 8 went Republican.
