Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 1992–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic46.5%862TrumpRepublican51.1%947OtherAll other candidates2.5%46
R+4.6
Lead
85
Total
1,855
vs nation
R+3.1
BidenDemocratic45.6%936TrumpRepublican52.1%1,069OtherAll other candidates2.2%46
R+6.5
Lead
133
Total
2,051
vs nation
R+10.9
ClintonDemocratic40.8%708TrumpRepublican54.7%950OtherAll other candidates4.5%79
R+13.9
Lead
242
Total
1,737
vs nation
R+16.0
ObamaDemocratic31.3%570RomneyRepublican66.2%1,206OtherAll other candidates2.5%46
R+34.9
Lead
636
Total
1,822
vs nation
R+38.8
ObamaDemocratic38.2%587McCainRepublican61.5%944OtherAll other candidates0.3%5
R+23.2
Lead
357
Total
1,536
vs nation
R+30.5
KerryDemocratic30.4%466BushRepublican68.3%1,049OtherAll other candidates1.3%20
R+38.0
Lead
583
Total
1,535
vs nation
R+35.5
ClintonDemocratic19.6%255DoleRepublican69.6%908OtherAll other candidates10.8%141
R+50.1
Lead
653
Total
1,304
vs nation
R+58.6
ClintonDemocratic17.5%204BushRepublican54.5%634OtherAll other candidates28.0%326
R+36.9
Lead
308
Total
1,164
vs nation
R+42.5
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+4.6MIT Election Lab
Population
2,7032024 5-year
Population density
530 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
5.1 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$250,0012024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
52.6%2024 5-year
Black
0.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
5.5%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+50.1 in 1996MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes.
2016–20223 cycles · 3 audited
2022 turnout
70.5%1,339 participants ÷ 1,899 CVAP
2016→2018 drop-off
+4.3 ptsHigh-turnout, durable
Drop-off vs state
-0.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm
0%20%40%60%80%100%
84.2%
70.5%
201620182022
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
2022Mid
1,339
1,899 ± 529
70.5%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
1,647
1,955 ± 439
84.2%
Audited
E/D
1,816
2,050 ± 354
88.6%
Audited
E/D
Sources and methods
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
presidential history
Party record book
Fairbanks Ranch, CA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1992–2024 · 8 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
46.5%
862 votes · R+4.6
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 45.6%
Republican
Bob Dole1996
69.6%
908 votes · R+50.1
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 68.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
936votes
45.6% of the vote · R+6.5
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 862 votes
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
1,206votes
66.2% of the vote · R+34.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,069 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
−3.1pts D vs U.S.
Place R+4.6 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · −10.9 pts
Republican
Bob Dole1996
+58.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+50.1 · U.S. D+8.5
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1992 · +42.5 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Fairbanks Ranch · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are San Diego County, California, the county containing Fairbanks Ranch — Fairbanks Ranch’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Fairbanks Ranch, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Fairbanks Ranch is a gated community in the Rancho Santa Fe area where median household incomes rank among the state's highest, producing a low-density, high-wealth electorate that has historically leaned Republican in a predominantly Democratic state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 50.1 points in 1996. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.9 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.6 points.
A population of 2,703, a 53% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $250,001 describe the city.
In 2024, Fairbanks Ranch, California voted Republican by 4.6 points (R+4.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,855 votes cast, 862 went Democratic and 947 went Republican.
How many people live in Fairbanks Ranch, California?
Fairbanks Ranch, California has a population of 2,703 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Fairbanks Ranch, California?
Median household income in Fairbanks Ranch, California is $250,001 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Fairbanks Ranch, California?
Akashic tracks 8 presidential elections in Fairbanks Ranch, California from 1992 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 8 went Republican.
