Bartow, Florida
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −13.8% |
| 2008 | −1.4% |
| 2012 | −8.6% |
| 2016 | −12.2% |
| 2020 | −16.1% |
| 2024 | −25.4% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 36.7%Harris3,454 | 62.2%Trump5,845 | 1.1% | R+25.4 | R+9.3 | R+24.0 | 9,404 | |
| R | 41.2%Biden3,758 | 57.3%Trump5,230 | 1.6% | R+16.1 | R+3.9 | R+20.6 | 9,132 | |
| R | 41.8%Clinton3,334 | 54.1%Trump4,310 | 4.1% | R+12.2 | R+3.6 | R+14.3 | 7,974 | |
| R | 45.2%Obama2,189 | 53.8%Romney2,608 | 1.0% | R+8.6 | R+7.2 | R+12.5 | 4,845 | |
| R | 48.6%Obama3,658 | 50.1%McCain3,765 | 1.3% | R+1.4 | D+12.4 | R+8.7 | 7,520 | |
| R | 43.0%Kerry2,737 | 56.8%Bush3,616 | 0.2% | R+13.8 | — | R+11.4 | 6,363 |
Bartow anchors Florida's phosphate and citrus belt as Polk County's seat of government, drawing a mix of longtime agricultural families and newer residents whose registration patterns have trended increasingly Republican over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 25.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 9.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.4 points.
A population of 20,438, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,178 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Fuller Heights and Hartsville/Trousdale County.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Bartow, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/1203675/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.