† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
10 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupTampa-St. Petersburg (Sarasota)FloridaUnited States
German11.5%8.9%12.5%
English9.9%8.2%9.5%
Irish9.8%8.2%9.4%
American8.9%7.7%5.3%
Italian6.6%5.6%4.8%
Polish2.7%2.1%2.2%
French2.1%1.7%1.6%
Scottish1.8%1.3%1.3%
Puerto Rican6.3%5.6%1.8%
Mexican4.6%3.3%11.3%
Cuban3.7%7.3%0.7%
Colombian1.2%2.1%0.4%
Dominican1.0%1.3%0.7%
Venezuelan0.8%1.6%—
Spaniard0.3%——
Guatemalan0.3%—0.5%
African American†7.9%9.5%9.9%
Haitian0.8%2.3%0.3%
Jamaican0.7%1.5%0.4%
African0.4%0.5%0.5%
Asian Indian1.0%0.9%1.4%
Vietnamese0.6%0.4%0.6%
Filipino0.5%0.5%0.9%
Chinese0.4%0.5%1.3%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Tampa-St. Petersburg (Sarasota)
Florida
United States
Median age
44.7
43.1
39.1
Age 18–24
7.5%
8.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
23.1%
21.3%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Tampa-St. Petersburg (Sarasota)
Florida
United States
Median household income
$73,629
$74,568
$84,427
Poverty rate
12.1%
12.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
33.0%
34.2%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Tampa-St. Petersburg (Sarasota)
Florida
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
22.3%
30.7%
22.3%
Spanish
15.6%
22.6%
13.6%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)
1.1%
2.7%
0.7%
Other Indo-European
1.7%
1.9%
2.0%
Religious landscape
Measure
Tampa-St. Petersburg (Sarasota)
Florida
United States
Catholic
20.2%
19.0%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
17.9%
18.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
52.8%
53.1%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Tampa-St. Petersburg (Sarasota), Florida
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+88.5%
1896
+58.3%
1900
+66.7%
1904
+57.0%
1908
+61.2%
1912
+63.5%
1916
+55.6%
1920
+26.7%
1924
+25.0%
1928
−23.0%
1932
+44.8%
1936
+41.8%
1940
+43.9%
1944
+36.6%
1948
+1.4%
1952
−20.5%
1956
−25.2%
1960
−14.7%
1964
+4.2%
1968
−16.7%
1972
−46.3%
1976
−0.5%
1980
−17.6%
1984
−33.8%
1988
−22.1%
1992
−3.4%
1996
+4.1%
2000
−2.5%
2004
−8.2%
2008
+0.8%
2012
−1.9%
2016
−8.5%
2020
−8.1%
2024
−15.8%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
41.6%Harris1,095,263
57.4%Trump1,511,537
0.4%Stein10,722 +5
R+15.8
R+7.7
R+14.3
2,632,171
All 8 candidates in 2024 · 6 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican57.4%1,511,537
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic41.6%1,095,263
Jill SteinIndependent0.4%10,722
Chase OliverLibertarian0.3%8,376
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.1%2,980
Peter SonskiIndependent0.1%1,768
Randall TerryIndependent0.1%1,459
OtherAll other candidates0.0%66
R
45.4%Biden1,212,062
53.5%Trump1,427,930
1.0%
R+8.1
D+0.4
R+12.5
2,667,322
R
44.0%Clinton989,936
52.4%Trump1,180,217
3.6%
R+8.5
R+6.5
R+10.5
2,250,302
R
48.5%Obama984,979
50.4%Romney1,023,790
1.1%
R+1.9
R+2.7
R+5.8
2,030,303
D
49.9%Obama1,004,313
49.1%McCain988,732
0.9%
D+0.8
D+9.0
R+6.5
2,011,894
R
45.4%Kerry844,014
53.7%Bush997,123
0.9%
R+8.2
R+5.7
R+5.8
1,858,357
R
47.3%Gore711,801
49.8%Bush750,131
2.9%
R+2.5
R+6.6
R+3.1
1,505,471
D
46.6%Clinton635,027
42.5%Dole579,193
10.8%
D+4.1
D+7.5
R+4.4
1,361,637
R
36.8%Clinton517,149
40.2%Bush564,755
23.0%
R+3.4
D+18.7
R+8.9
1,404,443
R
38.7%Dukakis446,191
60.7%Bush700,543
0.6%
R+22.1
D+11.7
R+14.3
1,153,165
R
33.1%Mondale374,121
66.9%Reagan755,445
0.0%
R+33.8
R+16.2
R+15.5
1,129,797
R
38.6%Carter378,687
56.2%Reagan551,188
5.2%
R+17.6
R+17.1
R+7.8
980,958
R
49.1%Carter395,142
49.6%Ford398,780
1.3%
R+0.5
D+45.8
R+2.5
804,284
R
26.8%McGovern178,366
73.0%Nixon486,449
0.2%
R+46.3
R+29.5
R+23.1
666,125
R
28.7%Humphrey161,244
45.4%Nixon255,323
25.9%
R+16.7
R+20.9
R+16.0
562,052
D
52.1%Johnson245,153
47.9%Goldwater225,340
0.0%
D+4.2
D+18.9
R+18.4
470,493
R
42.6%Kennedy175,326
57.4%Nixon235,928
0.0%
R+14.7
D+10.4
R+14.9
411,254
R
37.4%Stevenson107,124
62.6%Eisenhower179,161
0.0%
R+25.2
R+4.6
R+9.8
286,285
R
39.7%Stevenson94,520
60.3%Eisenhower143,318
0.0%
R+20.5
R+22.0
R+9.8
237,838
D
43.2%Truman59,948
41.8%Dewey57,952
15.0%
D+1.4
R+35.1
R+3.0
138,759
D
68.3%Roosevelt80,981
31.7%Dewey37,613
0.0%
D+36.6
R+7.3
D+29.1
118,594
D
71.9%Roosevelt86,850
28.1%Willkie33,860
0.0%
D+43.9
D+2.1
D+34.0
120,710
D
70.9%Roosevelt57,370
29.1%Landon23,535
0.0%
D+41.8
R+3.0
D+17.6
80,905
D
72.4%Roosevelt51,902
27.6%Hoover19,800
0.0%
D+44.8
D+67.8
D+27.0
71,702
R
37.6%Smith24,981
60.6%Hoover40,253
1.8%
R+23.0
R+48.0
R+5.5
66,424
D
56.3%Davis14,196
31.3%Coolidge7,893
12.5%
D+25.0
R+1.8
D+50.2
25,235
D
59.0%Cox17,971
32.2%Harding9,823
8.8%
D+26.7
R+28.9
D+52.9
30,474
D
70.4%Wilson11,563
14.8%Hughes2,433
14.8%
D+55.6
R+7.8
D+52.5
16,418
D
68.4%Wilson6,900
4.9%Taft496
26.7%
D+63.5
D+2.3
D+43.9
10,092
D
73.1%Bryan5,665
11.9%Taft921
15.1%
D+61.2
D+4.2
D+70.7
7,753
D
70.8%Parker4,431
13.8%Roosevelt861
15.5%
D+57.0
R+9.7
D+76.7
6,261
D
76.1%Bryan4,932
9.4%McKinley608
14.5%
D+66.7
D+8.4
D+74.2
6,483
D
76.4%Bryan4,810
18.1%McKinley1,140
5.5%
D+58.3
R+30.3
D+64.3
6,299
D
88.5%Cleveland4,949
0.0%Harrison0
11.5%
D+88.5
—
D+86.9
5,589
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024R+12.0
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+15.8
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 3.8 points more Democratic.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
Voter registration in Tampa-St. Petersburg (Sarasota)
Year
Total registered
Democratic
Republican
Unaffiliated
Other
2017
3,061,518
1,060,657
1,137,074
846,941
16,846
2018
3,202,409
1,105,927
1,183,786
884,223
28,473
2019
3,239,694
1,108,522
1,196,352
897,610
37,210
2020
3,501,034
1,193,246
1,313,100
937,915
56,773
2021
3,424,130
1,136,292
1,286,828
937,547
63,463
2023
3,152,448
960,959
1,281,978
831,928
77,583
2024
3,389,809
997,421
1,403,768
881,069
107,551
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+36,926 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +964,125 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Tampa-St. Petersburg (Sarasota) in Tampa-St. Petersburg (Sarasota): net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+22,182
2012
+31,039
2013
+42,769
2014
+58,095
2015
+76,422
2016
+88,099
2017
+79,687
2018
+75,095
2019
+75,206
2021
+115,657
2022
+123,740
2023
+87,983
2024
+51,225
2025
+36,926
Spanning Hillsborough, Pinellas, and Sarasota counties, this market blends a blue-leaning urban core with fast-growing suburban and retirement communities, making it a consistent battleground for statewide races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 88.5 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 46.3 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 7.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 15.8 points.
A population of 5,278,573, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,629 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Orlando-Daytona Beach-Melbourne and West Palm Beach-Fort Pierce.
Akashic
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Tampa-St. Petersburg (Sarasota), Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/539/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Tampa-St. Petersburg (Sarasota), Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Tampa-St. Petersburg (Sarasota), Florida voted Republican by 15.8 points (R+15.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,632,171 votes cast, 1,095,263 went Democratic and 1,511,537 went Republican.
When did Tampa-St. Petersburg (Sarasota), Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Tampa-St. Petersburg (Sarasota), Florida voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Tampa-St. Petersburg (Sarasota), Florida?
Tampa-St. Petersburg (Sarasota), Florida has a population of 5,278,573 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Tampa-St. Petersburg (Sarasota), Florida?
Median household income in Tampa-St. Petersburg (Sarasota), Florida is $73,629 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Tampa-St. Petersburg (Sarasota), Florida?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Tampa-St. Petersburg (Sarasota), Florida from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.
