Wailea, Hawaii
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −2.4% |
| 2008 | +35.6% |
| 2012 | +21.9% |
| 2016 | +26.5% |
| 2020 | +32.6% |
| 2024 | +29.7% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 63.9%Harris1,919 | 34.2%Trump1,026 | 1.9% | D+29.7 | R+2.9 | D+31.2 | 3,003 | |
| D | 65.4%Biden2,157 | 32.8%Trump1,082 | 1.8% | D+32.6 | D+6.1 | D+28.2 | 3,297 | |
| D | 59.3%Clinton1,489 | 32.8%Trump823 | 7.9% | D+26.5 | D+4.6 | D+24.4 | 2,510 | |
| D | 59.9%Obama1,456 | 38.0%Romney923 | 2.1% | D+21.9 | R+13.7 | D+18.1 | 2,429 | |
| D | 66.5%Obama1,626 | 30.9%McCain756 | 2.5% | D+35.6 | D+38.0 | D+28.3 | 2,444 | |
| R | 48.0%Kerry1,176 | 50.5%Bush1,236 | 1.5% | R+2.4 | — | ±0.0 | 2,449 |
Wailea's census-designated resort strip on Maui's south shore hosts a small permanent population dwarfed by its hospitality workforce, producing an unusually transient voter base and low registration density relative to its land value.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 35.6 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 2.4 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 29.7 points.
A population of 6,352, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $90,000 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kahaluu-Keauhou and Sedona.
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Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Wailea, Hawaii. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/1576925/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.