cityLouisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance), KY
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+13.6
2008R+3.2
2012R+3.9
2016R+4.2
2020D+3.6
2024D+0.2
net swing · 2004→2024D+13.8R+13.6 → D+0.2
vs. U.S. · 2024D+1.7D+0.2 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 39.0% of 456,764 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
87,843
87,473
2,941
178,257
456,764
39.0%
2020
96,421
89,644
3,431
189,496
457,501
41.4%
2016
77,428
84,481
7,994
169,903
450,639
37.7%
2012
75,698
81,886
2,735
160,319
435,020
36.9%
2008
78,785
84,121
1,809
164,715
410,828
40.1%
2004
68,253
89,973
1,033
159,259
386,636†
41.2%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupLouisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance)KentuckyUnited States
German15.3%12.7%12.5%
Irish11.7%11.0%9.4%
English11.7%14.5%9.5%
American5.6%11.5%5.3%
Italian2.6%2.0%4.8%
Scottish1.8%2.0%1.3%
French1.6%1.1%1.6%
Polish1.1%—2.2%
African American†19.4%6.6%9.9%
African2.0%0.5%0.5%
Nigerian0.2%—0.2%
Somali0.2%——
Haitian0.2%—0.3%
Jamaican0.2%—0.4%
Cuban3.8%0.7%0.7%
Mexican3.0%2.4%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.6%0.5%1.8%
Guatemalan0.4%0.3%0.5%
Honduran0.3%—0.3%
Colombian0.2%—0.4%
Asian Indian0.9%0.3%1.4%
Vietnamese0.5%—0.6%
Filipino0.3%—0.9%
Chinese0.2%—1.3%
Korean0.2%—0.4%
Nepalese0.2%——
Burmese0.2%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance)
Kentucky
United States
Median age
37.7
39.2
39.1
Age 18–24
9.0%
9.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
16.1%
17.3%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance)
Kentucky
United States
Median household income
$66,849
$63,726
$84,427
Poverty rate
15.9%
16.1%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
33.8%
27.7%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance)
Kentucky
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
13.7%
6.8%
22.3%
Spanish
7.6%
3.4%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
1.3%
0.5%
2.0%
Other languages
1.3%
0.5%
0.8%
Religious landscape
Measure
Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance)
Kentucky
United States
Catholic
—
7.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
31.3%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
50.7%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance), Kentucky
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−13.6%
2008
−3.2%
2012
−3.9%
2016
−4.2%
2020
+3.6%
2024
+0.2%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
49.3%Harris87,843
49.1%Trump87,473
1.6%
D+0.2
R+3.4
D+1.7
178,257
D
50.9%Biden96,421
47.3%Trump89,644
1.8%
D+3.6
D+7.7
R+0.9
189,496
R
45.6%Clinton77,428
49.7%Trump84,481
4.7%
R+4.2
R+0.3
R+6.2
169,903
R
47.2%Obama75,698
51.1%Romney81,886
1.7%
R+3.9
R+0.6
R+7.7
160,319
R
47.8%Obama78,785
51.1%McCain84,121
1.1%
R+3.2
D+10.4
R+10.5
164,715
R
42.9%Kerry68,253
56.5%Bush89,973
0.6%
R+13.6
—
R+11.2
159,259
Louisville merged city and county governments in 2003, concentrating over a third of Kentucky's Democratic-leaning urban vote into a single jurisdiction that has backed Democratic presidential candidates by double-digit margins since 2008.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 3.6 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 13.6 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 3.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.2 points.
A population of 631,818, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,849 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Jacksonville and Virginia Beach.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance), Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/2148006/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance), Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance), Kentucky voted a near-tie (D+0.2), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 178,257 votes cast, 87,843 went Democratic and 87,473 went Republican.
When did Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance), Kentucky last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance), Kentucky voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance), Kentucky?
Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance), Kentucky has a population of 631,818 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance), Kentucky?
Median household income in Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance), Kentucky is $66,849 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance), Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance), Kentucky from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 4 went Republican.
