Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupEl Cerro MissionNew MexicoUnited States
Mexican50.6%32.4%11.3%
Spaniard6.5%3.6%—
Spanish6.5%4.2%—
Puerto Rican0.7%0.5%1.8%
English7.7%8.5%9.5%
German7.4%8.7%12.5%
Irish5.6%6.9%9.4%
American4.7%3.9%5.3%
Italian2.1%2.4%4.8%
Scottish1.1%1.7%1.3%
French1.0%1.4%1.6%
Swedish0.8%——
Navajo4.5%5.8%—
Hopi2.1%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
El Cerro Mission
New Mexico
United States
Median age
34.9
39.7
39.1
Age 18–24
8.4%
9.4%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
13.5%
19.2%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
El Cerro Mission
New Mexico
United States
Median household income
$49,470
$64,059
$84,427
Poverty rate
25.0%
17.9%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
6.1%
30.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
El Cerro Mission
New Mexico
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
49.6%
31.4%
22.3%
Spanish
48.0%
24.5%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
El Cerro Mission
New Mexico
United States
Catholic
—
29.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
12.9%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
47.5%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
El Cerro Mission, New Mexico
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−3.8%
2008
+16.1%
2012
+16.4%
2016
+9.6%
2020
−0.3%
2024
−8.8%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
44.5%Harris559
53.2%Trump669
2.3%
R+8.8
R+8.4
R+7.3
1,257
R
48.3%Biden601
48.6%Trump605
3.1%
R+0.3
R+10.0
R+4.8
1,245
D
47.7%Clinton549
38.1%Trump438
14.2%
D+9.6
R+6.7
D+7.6
1,151
D
55.7%Obama592
39.3%Romney418
5.0%
D+16.4
D+0.2
D+12.5
1,063
D
57.8%Obama616
41.7%McCain444
0.6%
D+16.1
D+20.0
D+8.9
1,066
R
47.8%Kerry449
51.6%Bush485
0.6%
R+3.8
—
R+1.4
940
El Cerro Mission sits in the desert Southwest. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 16.4 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 8.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 8.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 8.8 points.
A population of 5,323, a 19% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,470 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sinton and Los Fresnos.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
How did El Cerro Mission, New Mexico vote in 2024?
In 2024, El Cerro Mission, New Mexico voted Republican by 8.8 points (R+8.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,257 votes cast, 559 went Democratic and 669 went Republican.
When did El Cerro Mission, New Mexico last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which El Cerro Mission, New Mexico voted Democratic was 2016.
How many people live in El Cerro Mission, New Mexico?
El Cerro Mission, New Mexico has a population of 5,323 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in El Cerro Mission, New Mexico?
Median household income in El Cerro Mission, New Mexico is $49,470 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of El Cerro Mission, New Mexico?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in El Cerro Mission, New Mexico from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 3 went Republican.
