Big Flats, New York
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −20.0% |
| 2008 | −10.1% |
| 2012 | −13.3% |
| 2016 | −15.0% |
| 2020 | −6.3% |
| 2024 | −8.3% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 45.6%Harris1,451 | 53.8%Trump1,714 | 0.6% | R+8.3 | R+1.9 | R+6.8 | 3,185 | |
| R | 45.9%Biden1,549 | 52.3%Trump1,763 | 1.8% | R+6.3 | D+8.6 | R+10.8 | 3,372 | |
| R | 39.4%Clinton1,216 | 54.4%Trump1,679 | 6.3% | R+15.0 | R+1.7 | R+17.1 | 3,088 | |
| R | 42.5%Obama1,264 | 55.8%Romney1,660 | 1.7% | R+13.3 | R+3.2 | R+17.2 | 2,975 | |
| R | 44.3%Obama1,361 | 54.4%McCain1,671 | 1.2% | R+10.1 | D+9.9 | R+17.4 | 3,070 | |
| R | 39.3%Kerry1,224 | 59.4%Bush1,847 | 1.3% | R+20.0 | — | R+17.6 | 3,111 |
Big Flats sits in the Southern Tier's Chemung Valley, where a mix of light industrial employment and suburban residential growth shapes a working-class electorate that has tracked competitive in county-level races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 20.0 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 8.3 points.
A population of 5,651, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $89,286 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Horseheads and Kirtland.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Big Flats, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/3606464/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.