Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic61.6%1,030TrumpRepublican37.1%620OtherAll other candidates1.3%21
D+24.5
Lead
410
Total
1,671
vs nation
D+26.0
BidenDemocratic61.5%1,053TrumpRepublican36.0%616OtherAll other candidates2.5%43
D+25.5
Lead
437
Total
1,712
vs nation
D+21.1
ClintonDemocratic54.0%788TrumpRepublican37.0%539OtherAll other candidates9.0%131
D+17.1
Lead
249
Total
1,458
vs nation
D+15.0
ObamaDemocratic52.1%725RomneyRepublican45.7%636OtherAll other candidates2.2%30
D+6.4
Lead
89
Total
1,391
vs nation
D+2.5
ObamaDemocratic54.4%789McCainRepublican43.1%625OtherAll other candidates2.5%36
D+11.3
Lead
164
Total
1,450
vs nation
D+4.0
KerryDemocratic48.4%704BushRepublican49.6%722OtherAll other candidates2.0%29
R+1.2
Lead
18
Total
1,455
vs nation
D+1.2
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+24.5MIT Election Lab
Population
2,7532024 5-year
Population density
1,449 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
1.9 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$92,8572024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
84.6%2024 5-year
Black
3.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
5.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+25.5 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+1.2 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
75.6%1,757 participants ÷ 2,324 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+13.4 ptsVolatile
Drop-off vs state
-8.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
62.2%–65.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%
52.3%
57.3%
20042008201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
1,757
2,324 ± 158
75.6%
Audited
E/A
2022Mid
1,346
2,351 ± 162
57.3%
Audited
E/A
1,727
2,443 ± 176
70.7%
Audited
E/A
2018Mid
1,288
2,463 ± 193
52.3%
Audited
E/A
1,471
2,495 ± 140
59.0%
Audited
E/A
1,391
2,335
59.6%
Derived
—
1,450
2,321
62.5%
Derived
—
1,455
2,307 extrapolated
63.1%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
Cazenovia, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
61.6%
1,030 votes · D+24.5
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 61.5%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
49.6%
722 votes · R+1.2
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 45.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
1,053votes
61.5% of the vote · D+25.5
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 1,030 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
722votes
49.6% of the vote · R+1.2
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 636 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+26.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+24.5 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +21.1 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
−1.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+1.2 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · −2.5 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Cazenovia · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Madison County, New York, the county containing Cazenovia — Cazenovia’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Cazenovia, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Cazenovia sits in reliably Republican Madison County but hosts Cazenovia College, a dynamic that historically lifts Democratic margins within the village relative to its surrounding township.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 25.5 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 1.2 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 24.5 points.
A population of 2,753, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $92,857 describe the city.
In 2024, Cazenovia, New York voted Democratic by 24.5 points (D+24.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,671 votes cast, 1,030 went Democratic and 620 went Republican.
When did Cazenovia, New York last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Cazenovia, New York voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Cazenovia, New York?
Cazenovia, New York has a population of 2,753 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Cazenovia, New York?
Median household income in Cazenovia, New York is $92,857 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Cazenovia, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Cazenovia, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 1 went Republican.
