Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic55.6%452TrumpRepublican43.1%350OtherAll other candidates1.4%11
D+12.5
Lead
102
Total
813
vs nation
D+14.0
BidenDemocratic52.0%428TrumpRepublican45.7%376OtherAll other candidates2.3%19
D+6.3
Lead
52
Total
823
vs nation
D+1.9
ClintonDemocratic45.6%324TrumpRepublican49.0%348OtherAll other candidates5.4%38
R+3.4
Lead
24
Total
710
vs nation
R+5.5
ObamaDemocratic54.8%332RomneyRepublican43.4%263OtherAll other candidates1.8%11
D+11.4
Lead
69
Total
606
vs nation
D+7.5
ObamaDemocratic56.2%379McCainRepublican41.8%282OtherAll other candidates1.9%13
D+14.4
Lead
97
Total
674
vs nation
D+7.1
KerryDemocratic49.5%294BushRepublican48.3%287OtherAll other candidates2.2%13
D+1.2
Lead
7
Total
594
vs nation
D+3.6
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+12.5MIT Election Lab
Population
2,8122024 5-year
Population density
9,373 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
0.3 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$63,9272024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
59.2%2024 5-year
Black
6.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
21.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+14.4 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+3.4 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
41.0%813 participants ÷ 1,985 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+11.0 ptsPersistently low turnout
Drop-off vs state
-5.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
29.9%–31.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%
42.8%
36.8%
20042008201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
813
1,985 ± 296
41.0%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
648
1,762 ± 260
36.8%
Audited
E/D
823
1,722 ± 278
47.8%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
589
1,376 ± 185
42.8%
Audited
E/D
713
1,421 ± 163
50.2%
Audited
E/D
606
1,234
49.1%
Derived
—
674
1,187
56.8%
Derived
—
594
1,140 extrapolated
52.1%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
North York, PA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
56.2%
379 votes · D+14.4
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 55.6%
Republican
Donald Trump2016
49.0%
348 votes · R+3.4
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 48.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
452votes
55.6% of the vote · D+12.5
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 428 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
376votes
45.7% of the vote · D+6.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 350 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+14.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+12.5 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +7.5 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+5.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+3.4 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · −1.9 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
North York · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are York County, Pennsylvania, the county containing North York — North York’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in North York, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
North York sits just across the borough line from York city, giving it a dense, walkable character uncommon in surrounding townships. Its small electorate amplifies the impact of individual precincts in county-level contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 14.4 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 3.4 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 6.2 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.5 points.
A population of 2,812, a 59% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,927 describe the city.
In 2024, North York, Pennsylvania voted Democratic by 12.5 points (D+12.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 813 votes cast, 452 went Democratic and 350 went Republican.
When did North York, Pennsylvania last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which North York, Pennsylvania voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in North York, Pennsylvania?
North York, Pennsylvania has a population of 2,812 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in North York, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in North York, Pennsylvania is $63,927 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of North York, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in North York, Pennsylvania from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 1 went Republican.
