Harrisburg-Lancaster-Lebanon-York · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.
Presidential nominating contests in Harrisburg-Lancaster-Lebanon-York, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+20.3
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+20.4
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 0.1 points.
Domestic migration in Harrisburg-Lancaster-Lebanon-York in Harrisburg-Lancaster-Lebanon-York: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−744
2012
−1,791
2013
−974
2014
−1,035
2015
−97
2016
−954
2017
+2,430
2018
+1,817
2019
+1,501
2021
+14,665
2022
+4,434
2023
+5,396
2024
+5,051
2025
+4,933
Stretching across south-central Pennsylvania's mix of mid-sized cities and deep-rural townships, this market has historically leaned Republican but seen competitive tightening as Lancaster and York suburbs diversify and commuter populations grow.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 11.9 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 62.6 points in 1928. The 2024 margin was 20.4 points.
A population of 2,102,110, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $82,708 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lincoln & Hastings-Kearney and Harrisonburg.
Akashic
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Harrisburg-Lancaster-Lebanon-York, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/566/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Harrisburg-Lancaster-Lebanon-York, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Harrisburg-Lancaster-Lebanon-York, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 20.4 points (R+20.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,114,515 votes cast, 438,156 went Democratic and 664,998 went Republican.
When did Harrisburg-Lancaster-Lebanon-York, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Harrisburg-Lancaster-Lebanon-York, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Harrisburg-Lancaster-Lebanon-York, Pennsylvania?
Harrisburg-Lancaster-Lebanon-York, Pennsylvania has a population of 2,102,110 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Harrisburg-Lancaster-Lebanon-York, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Harrisburg-Lancaster-Lebanon-York, Pennsylvania is $82,708 — above the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Harrisburg-Lancaster-Lebanon-York, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Harrisburg-Lancaster-Lebanon-York, Pennsylvania from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 31 went Republican.
