Buda, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −16.8% |
| 2008 | −3.2% |
| 2012 | −12.1% |
| 2016 | −7.3% |
| 2020 | +8.2% |
| 2024 | +6.0% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 52.2%Harris3,832 | 46.2%Trump3,390 | 1.6% | D+6.0 | R+2.2 | D+7.5 | 7,338 | |
| D | 53.2%Biden3,790 | 45.0%Trump3,207 | 1.9% | D+8.2 | D+15.4 | D+3.7 | 7,129 | |
| R | 42.6%Clinton1,947 | 49.8%Trump2,279 | 7.6% | R+7.3 | D+4.9 | R+9.4 | 4,572 | |
| R | 42.4%Obama1,251 | 54.5%Romney1,609 | 3.1% | R+12.1 | R+8.9 | R+16.0 | 2,951 | |
| R | 48.1%Obama1,220 | 51.2%McCain1,301 | 0.7% | R+3.2 | D+13.6 | R+10.5 | 2,539 | |
| R | 40.7%Kerry753 | 57.5%Bush1,063 | 1.7% | R+16.8 | — | R+14.3 | 1,848 |
Buda's population roughly tripled between 2010 and 2020 as Austin-area sprawl pushed south, making it a bellwether for how rapid in-migration reshapes suburban Texas precincts.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 8.2 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 16.8 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 2.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.0 points.
A population of 15,859, a 63% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $123,766 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hutto and Bee Cave.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Buda, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4811080/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.