HarrisDemocratic52.1%65,528TrumpRepublican46.4%58,438OliverLibertarian0.8%979
D+5.6- Lead
- 7,090
- Total
- 125,827
- vs nation
- D+7.1
- Turnout
- 64.4%
Akashiccounty
Hays County, TX
Contests in this Place (86 available)
President31 · 1904–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1904–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 64.4% of 195,326 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic54.4%59,524TrumpRepublican43.6%47,680JorgensenLibertarian1.6%1,735
D+10.8- Lead
- 11,844
- Total
- 109,395
- vs nation
- D+6.4
- Turnout
- 68.2%
ClintonDemocratic46.0%33,224TrumpRepublican46.9%33,826JohnsonLibertarian5.0%3,630
R+0.8- Lead
- 602
- Total
- 72,164
- vs nation
- R+2.9
- Turnout
- 55.7%
ObamaDemocratic43.3%25,537RomneyRepublican53.7%31,661GrayLibertarian2.5%1,452
R+10.4- Lead
- 6,124
- Total
- 59,011
- vs nation
- R+14.2
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic48.1%28,431McCainRepublican50.2%29,638OtherAll other candidates1.7%983
R+2.0- Lead
- 1,207
- Total
- 59,052
- vs nation
- R+9.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic42.1%20,110BushRepublican56.5%27,021OtherAll other candidates1.4%692
R+14.5- Lead
- 6,911
- Total
- 47,823
- vs nation
- R+12.0
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic33.2%11,387BushRepublican58.8%20,170NaderGreen7.1%2,451
R+25.6- Lead
- 8,783
- Total
- 34,317
- vs nation
- R+26.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic43.1%11,580DoleRepublican47.9%12,865PerotReform7.4%1,990
R+4.8- Lead
- 1,285
- Total
- 26,840
- vs nation
- R+13.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+5.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 268,6382024 5-year
- Population density
- 397 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 677 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $89,0972024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 50.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 39.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+82.5 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+30.2 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Garfield County, CO · twin score 93.2
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 64.4%125,827 participants ÷ 195,326 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +17.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -1.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 47.0%–55.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125,827 | 195,326 ± 1,964 | 64.4% | Audited | C/A | |
| 2022Mid | 89,968 | 177,268 ± 1,828 | 50.8% | Audited | A/A |
| 109,357 | 160,428 ± 1,717 | 68.2% | Audited | C/A | |
| 2018Mid | 80,548 | 145,929 ± 1,448 | 55.2% | Audited | A/A |
| 74,016 | 132,915 ± 1,203 | 55.7% | Audited | A/A | |
| 59,011 | 112,555 | 52.4% | Derived | — | |
| 59,052 | 102,597 | 57.6% | Derived | — | |
| 47,823 | 92,639 extrapolated | 51.6% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Hays County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Hays County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
ANDREW WHITE0—
ANGELA "TIAANGIE" VILLESCAZ0—
BOBBY COLE0—
CARLTON W. HART0—
CHRIS BELL0—
GINA HINOJOSA0—
Show all 9 candidates
JOSE NAVARRO BALBUENA0—
PATRICIA ABREGO0—
ZACH VANCE0—
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 78 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
78 precincts · 125,827 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 228Precinct 228 | 1,852 | 1,319 | 48 | 3,219 | 57.5% | 41.0% | D+16.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 435Precinct 435 | 1,448 | 1,459 | 49 | 2,956 | 49.0% | 49.4% | R+0.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 446Precinct 446 | 1,321 | 1,430 | 55 | 2,806 | 47.1% | 51.0% | R+3.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 335Precinct 335 | 1,193 | 1,562 | 26 | 2,781 | 42.9% | 56.2% | R+13.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 452Precinct 452 | 1,176 | 1,541 | 41 | 2,758 | 42.6% | 55.9% | R+13.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 442Precinct 442 | 1,357 | 1,238 | 55 | 2,650 | 51.2% | 46.7% | D+4.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 221Precinct 221 | 1,512 | 1,078 | 47 | 2,637 | 57.3% | 40.9% | D+16.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 314Precinct 314 | 988 | 1,565 | 33 | 2,586 | 38.2% | 60.5% | R+22.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 337Precinct 337 | 973 | 1,566 | 39 | 2,578 | 37.7% | 60.7% | R+23.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 344Precinct 344 | 927 | 1,569 | 30 | 2,526 | 36.7% | 62.1% | R+25.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 443Precinct 443 | 1,170 | 1,312 | 32 | 2,514 | 46.5% | 52.2% | R+5.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 316Precinct 316 | 1,554 | 835 | 59 | 2,448 | 63.5% | 34.1% | D+29.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 231Precinct 231 | 1,399 | 969 | 39 | 2,407 | 58.1% | 40.3% | D+17.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 220Precinct 220 | 1,329 | 1,037 | 40 | 2,406 | 55.2% | 43.1% | D+12.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 115Precinct 115 | 1,479 | 886 | 29 | 2,394 | 61.8% | 37.0% | D+24.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 336Precinct 336 | 1,283 | 1,060 | 44 | 2,387 | 53.7% | 44.4% | D+9.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 371Precinct 371 | 1,263 | 1,040 | 31 | 2,334 | 54.1% | 44.6% | D+9.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 342Precinct 342 | 1,063 | 1,193 | 28 | 2,284 | 46.5% | 52.2% | R+5.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 449Precinct 449 | 867 | 1,383 | 26 | 2,276 | 38.1% | 60.8% | R+22.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 142Precinct 142 | 1,696 | 550 | 24 | 2,270 | 74.7% | 24.2% | D+50.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 205Precinct 205 | 1,210 | 980 | 26 | 2,216 | 54.6% | 44.2% | D+10.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 426Precinct 426 | 1,114 | 997 | 28 | 2,139 | 52.1% | 46.6% | D+5.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 333Precinct 333 | 836 | 1,187 | 31 | 2,054 | 40.7% | 57.8% | R+17.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 206Precinct 206 | 1,100 | 925 | 28 | 2,053 | 53.6% | 45.1% | D+8.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 445Precinct 445 | 942 | 1,072 | 35 | 2,049 | 46.0% | 52.3% | R+6.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 203Precinct 203 | 1,171 | 810 | 29 | 2,010 | 58.3% | 40.3% | D+18.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 436Precinct 436 | 777 | 1,202 | 23 | 2,002 | 38.8% | 60.0% | R+21.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 120Precinct 120 | 1,185 | 762 | 39 | 1,986 | 59.7% | 38.4% | D+21.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 254Precinct 254 | 1,146 | 767 | 25 | 1,938 | 59.1% | 39.6% | D+19.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 424Precinct 424 | 984 | 926 | 28 | 1,938 | 50.8% | 47.8% | D+3.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 227Precinct 227 | 1,137 | 776 | 21 | 1,934 | 58.8% | 40.1% | D+18.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 338Precinct 338 | 848 | 1,056 | 26 | 1,930 | 43.9% | 54.7% | R+10.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 253Precinct 253 | 1,113 | 748 | 30 | 1,891 | 58.9% | 39.6% | D+19.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 110Precinct 110 | 1,007 | 849 | 30 | 1,886 | 53.4% | 45.0% | D+8.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 432Precinct 432 | 783 | 1,040 | 36 | 1,859 | 42.1% | 55.9% | R+13.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 136Precinct 136 | 1,038 | 786 | 21 | 1,845 | 56.3% | 42.6% | D+13.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 441Precinct 441 | 687 | 1,131 | 23 | 1,841 | 37.3% | 61.4% | R+24.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 140Precinct 140 | 1,376 | 419 | 23 | 1,818 | 75.7% | 23.0% | D+52.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 223Precinct 223 | 1,007 | 764 | 25 | 1,796 | 56.1% | 42.5% | D+13.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 332Precinct 332 | 1,073 | 613 | 32 | 1,718 | 62.5% | 35.7% | D+26.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 121Precinct 121 | 1,270 | 385 | 30 | 1,685 | 75.4% | 22.8% | D+52.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 252Precinct 252 | 959 | 697 | 21 | 1,677 | 57.2% | 41.6% | D+15.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 448Precinct 448 | 616 | 916 | 22 | 1,554 | 39.6% | 58.9% | R+19.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 134Precinct 134 | 895 | 619 | 24 | 1,538 | 58.2% | 40.2% | D+17.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 320Precinct 320 | 598 | 925 | 13 | 1,536 | 38.9% | 60.2% | R+21.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 347Precinct 347 | 791 | 700 | 24 | 1,515 | 52.2% | 46.2% | D+6.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 315Precinct 315 | 735 | 755 | 22 | 1,512 | 48.6% | 49.9% | R+1.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 423Precinct 423 | 797 | 644 | 16 | 1,457 | 54.7% | 44.2% | D+10.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 340Precinct 340 | 915 | 479 | 25 | 1,419 | 64.5% | 33.8% | D+30.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 113Precinct 113 | 913 | 406 | 21 | 1,340 | 68.1% | 30.3% | D+37.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 112Precinct 112 | 943 | 359 | 32 | 1,334 | 70.7% | 26.9% | D+43.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 319Precinct 319 | 633 | 647 | 17 | 1,297 | 48.8% | 49.9% | R+1.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 128Precinct 128 | 666 | 597 | 22 | 1,285 | 51.8% | 46.5% | D+5.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 422Precinct 422 | 651 | 491 | 25 | 1,167 | 55.8% | 42.1% | D+13.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 440Precinct 440 | 429 | 715 | 13 | 1,157 | 37.1% | 61.8% | R+24.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 125Precinct 125 | 634 | 502 | 13 | 1,149 | 55.2% | 43.7% | D+11.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 451Precinct 451 | 579 | 543 | 19 | 1,141 | 50.7% | 47.6% | D+3.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 430Precinct 430 | 548 | 549 | 12 | 1,109 | 49.4% | 49.5% | R+0.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 204Precinct 204 | 581 | 492 | 12 | 1,085 | 53.5% | 45.3% | D+8.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 339Precinct 339 | 398 | 664 | 9 | 1,071 | 37.2% | 62.0% | R+24.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 450Precinct 450 | 373 | 676 | 16 | 1,065 | 35.0% | 63.5% | R+28.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 114Precinct 114 | 620 | 332 | 18 | 970 | 63.9% | 34.2% | D+29.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 444Precinct 444 | 385 | 515 | 11 | 911 | 42.3% | 56.5% | R+14.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 351Precinct 351 | 618 | 261 | 12 | 891 | 69.4% | 29.3% | D+40.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 425Precinct 425 | 292 | 429 | 7 | 728 | 40.1% | 58.9% | R+18.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 219Precinct 219 | 343 | 286 | 4 | 633 | 54.2% | 45.2% | D+9.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 141Precinct 141 | 486 | 132 | 13 | 631 | 77.0% | 20.9% | D+56.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 132Precinct 132 | 313 | 145 | 20 | 478 | 65.5% | 30.3% | D+35.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 325Precinct 325 | 186 | 232 | 3 | 421 | 44.2% | 55.1% | R+10.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 438Precinct 438 | 271 | 128 | 12 | 411 | 65.9% | 31.1% | D+34.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 216Precinct 216 | 172 | 185 | 6 | 363 | 47.4% | 51.0% | R+3.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 225Precinct 225 | 160 | 190 | 2 | 352 | 45.5% | 54.0% | R+8.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 373Precinct 373 | 115 | 198 | 4 | 317 | 36.3% | 62.5% | R+26.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 374Precinct 374 | 98 | 133 | 3 | 234 | 41.9% | 56.8% | R+15.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 372Precinct 372 | 107 | 51 | 4 | 162 | 66.0% | 31.5% | D+34.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 376Precinct 376 | 37 | 30 | 0 | 67 | 55.2% | 44.8% | D+10.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 375Precinct 375 | 14 | 27 | 0 | 41 | 34.1% | 65.9% | R+31.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 146Precinct 146 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 75.0% | 25.0% | D+50.0 |
presidential history
Party record book
Hays County, TX · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1904–2024 · 31 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
88.9%
1,822 votes · D+78.1
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1912 · 88.2%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
65.0%
12,467 votes · R+30.2
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 63.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
65,528votes
52.1% of the vote · D+5.6
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 59,524 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
58,438votes
46.4% of the vote · D+5.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 47,680 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+86.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+66.8 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +83.7 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2000
+26.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+25.6 · U.S. D+0.5
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +14.2 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DJudith ZaffiriniState Senate · 21
RDonna CampbellState Senate · 25
DErin ZwienerState House · 45
RCarrie IsaacState House · 73
Seats representing Hays County, TX. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 2 congressional, 2 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 123,954 |
| 2018 | 127,029 |
| 2020 | 152,840 |
| 2022 | 167,750 |
| 2024 | 186,198 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+7,545 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +103,677 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $90,404 in average income, against $109,820 for residents who stayed — 18% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+14.2 on average — 8.5 points more Democratic-leaning than Hays County, TX itself (D+5.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Travis County, TX5,064D+39.3
- Williamson County, TX717R+2.4
- Bexar County, TX671D+9.7
- Harris County, TX497D+5.5
- Comal County, TX425R+45.5
- Guadalupe County, TX354R+29.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Travis County, TX2,606
- Comal County, TX701
- Bexar County, TX680
- Guadalupe County, TX577
- Williamson County, TX516
- Caldwell County, TX495
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +3,692 |
| 2012 | +3,730 |
| 2013 | +5,941 |
| 2014 | +6,976 |
| 2015 | +7,691 |
| 2016 | +7,984 |
| 2017 | +8,419 |
| 2018 | +6,200 |
| 2019 | +5,751 |
| 2021 | +11,259 |
| 2022 | +10,491 |
| 2023 | +9,166 |
| 2024 | +8,832 |
| 2025 | +7,545 |
Hays County has nearly doubled in population since 2010 as Austin's sprawl pushes south, and that demographic churn pushed the 2024 presidential margin to D+5.6 — a notable shift in a county that leaned Republican as recently as 2016.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 82.5 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 30.2 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.6 points.
A population of 268,638, a 51% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $89,097 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Garfield County and San Luis Obispo County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Garfield County
Colorado
93.2twin score
12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectory% Latino
San Luis Obispo County
California
89.3twin score
12-yr trend2016–2024 trajectory≠ median age
Santa Barbara County
California
88.0twin score
12-yr trend% Latino2020–2024 trajectory≠ 2000 margin
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Hays County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48209/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Hays County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Hays County, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Hays County, Texas voted Democratic by 5.6 points (D+5.6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 125,827 votes cast, 65,528 went Democratic and 58,438 went Republican.
When did Hays County, Texas last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Hays County, Texas voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in Hays County, Texas?
Hays County, Texas has a population of 268,638 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hays County, Texas?
Median household income in Hays County, Texas is $89,097 — above the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Hays County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Hays County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.