Hays County, Texas: New American county. In 2024, voted D+6%. Democratic peak: D+83 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+6MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- New AmericanAkashic typology
- Population
- 268,6382024 5-year
- Median household income
- $89,0972024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 60.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 39.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+83 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+30 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Deschutes County, OR · similarity 0.93
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | +82.5% |
| 1916 | +77.0% |
| 1920 | +50.3% |
| 1924 | +58.5% |
| 1928 | −27.4% |
| 1932 | +78.1% |
| 1936 | +74.3% |
| 1940 | +67.8% |
| 1944 | +49.2% |
| 1948 | +56.4% |
| 1952 | −1.5% |
| 1956 | +3.7% |
| 1960 | +28.9% |
| 1964 | +49.4% |
| 1968 | +25.1% |
| 1972 | −14.1% |
| 1976 | +10.0% |
| 1980 | −3.8% |
| 1984 | −30.2% |
| 1988 | −2.3% |
| 1992 | +3.1% |
| 1996 | −4.8% |
| 2000 | −25.6% |
| 2004 | −14.5% |
| 2008 | −2.0% |
| 2012 | −10.4% |
| 2016 | −0.8% |
| 2020 | +10.8% |
| 2024 | +5.6% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 65,528 | 58,438 | 125,827 | ||
| D | 59,524 | 47,680 | 109,395 | ||
| R | 33,224 | 33,826 | 72,164 | ||
| R | 25,537 | 31,661 | 59,011 | ||
| R | 28,431 | 29,638 | 59,052 | ||
| R | 20,110 | 27,021 | 47,823 | ||
| R | 11,387 | 20,170 | 34,317 | ||
| R | 11,580 | 12,865 | 26,840 | ||
| D | 10,842 | 10,008 | 27,267 | ||
| R | 11,187 | 11,716 | 23,264 | ||
| R | 6,663 | 12,467 | 19,187 | ||
| R | 6,013 | 6,517 | 13,289 | ||
| D | 7,005 | 5,714 | 12,875 | ||
| R | 4,068 | 5,406 | 9,519 | ||
| D | 3,546 | 1,993 | 6,183 | ||
| D | 3,780 | 1,279 | 5,064 | ||
| D | 2,916 | 1,606 | 4,529 | ||
| D | 2,017 | 1,873 | 3,904 | ||
| R | 2,070 | 2,135 | 4,208 | ||
| D | 2,239 | 555 | 2,987 | ||
| D | 1,690 | 495 | 2,428 | ||
| D | 2,371 | 453 | 2,828 | ||
| D | 1,964 | 286 | 2,259 | ||
| D | 1,822 | 220 | 2,050 | ||
| R | 620 | 1,088 | 1,708 | ||
| D | 1,616 | 394 | 2,089 | ||
| D | 1,075 | 242 | 1,656 | ||
| D | 995 | 123 | 1,133 | ||
| D | 939 | 60 | 1,065 | ||
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Demographics
Hays County has nearly doubled in population since 2010 as Austin's sprawl pushes south, and that demographic churn pushed the 2024 presidential margin to D+5.6 — a notable shift in a county that leaned Republican as recently as 2016.
Hays County has leaned Democratic in recent presidential elections, reaching a Democratic margin of eighty-three points in 1912. Between 2020 and 2024 it moved five points toward the Republican candidate — part of the sharpest rightward shift recorded among any group of places in the country.
Its demographics describe the shift: a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $89,097, and a population of 268,638. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Deschutes County and Haines Borough.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Hays County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48209/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
