Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic46.8%330TrumpRepublican52.2%368OtherAll other candidates1.0%7
R+5.4
Lead
38
Total
705
vs nation
R+3.9
BidenDemocratic58.6%533TrumpRepublican40.8%371OtherAll other candidates0.7%6
D+17.8
Lead
162
Total
910
vs nation
D+13.3
ClintonDemocratic77.6%682TrumpRepublican18.7%164OtherAll other candidates3.8%33
D+58.9
Lead
518
Total
879
vs nation
D+56.8
ObamaDemocratic84.9%320RomneyRepublican14.1%53OtherAll other candidates1.1%4
D+70.8
Lead
267
Total
377
vs nation
D+67.0
ObamaDemocratic81.5%498McCainRepublican17.8%109OtherAll other candidates0.7%4
D+63.7
Lead
389
Total
611
vs nation
D+56.4
KerryDemocratic65.8%363BushRepublican34.2%189OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
D+31.5
Lead
174
Total
552
vs nation
D+34.0
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+5.4MIT Election Lab
Population
3,0052024 5-year
Population density
5,008 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
0.6 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$31,3592024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
0.4%2024 5-year
Black
0.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
98.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+70.8 in 2012MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+5.4 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
43.4%708 participants ÷ 1,630 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+31.3 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state
+12.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
12.2%–20.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%100%
47.3%
43.2%
20042008201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
708
1,630 ± 234
43.4%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
593
1,374 ± 226
43.2%
Audited
E/D
919
1,235 ± 192
74.4%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
768
1,623 ± 191
47.3%
Audited
E/D
887
1,443 ± 159
61.5%
Audited
E/D
377
542
69.6%
Derived
—
611
629
97.1%
Derived
—
552
716 extrapolated
77.1%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
La Villa, TX · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
84.9%
320 votes · D+70.8
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 81.5%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
52.2%
368 votes · R+5.4
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 40.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Hillary Clinton2016
682votes
77.6% of the vote · D+58.9
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 533 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
371votes
40.8% of the vote · D+17.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 368 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+67.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+70.8 · U.S. D+3.9
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · +56.8 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
+3.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+5.4 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · −13.3 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
La Villa · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Hidalgo County, Texas, the county containing La Villa — La Villa’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in La Villa, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
La Villa sits in the heavily Hispanic Rio Grande Valley, where Democratic candidates have historically run strong but shifting margins have drawn renewed attention from both parties in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 70.8 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 5.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 23.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.4 points.
A population of 3,005, a 0% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $31,359 describe the city.
In 2024, La Villa, Texas voted Republican by 5.4 points (R+5.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 705 votes cast, 330 went Democratic and 368 went Republican.
When did La Villa, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which La Villa, Texas voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in La Villa, Texas?
La Villa, Texas has a population of 3,005 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in La Villa, Texas?
Median household income in La Villa, Texas is $31,359 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of La Villa, Texas?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in La Villa, Texas from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 1 went Republican.
