Hidalgo County, Texas: New American county. In 2024, voted R+3%. Democratic peak: D+84 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+3MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- New AmericanAkashic typology
- Population
- 891,9772024 5-year
- Median household income
- $54,3382024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 27.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 91.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+84 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+25 in 1952MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Willacy County, TX · similarity 0.99
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | +83.7% |
| 1916 | +66.6% |
| 1920 | +36.6% |
| 1924 | +54.7% |
| 1928 | −3.0% |
| 1932 | +52.6% |
| 1936 | +38.0% |
| 1940 | +21.8% |
| 1944 | +25.9% |
| 1948 | +20.6% |
| 1952 | −24.6% |
| 1956 | −14.9% |
| 1960 | +15.5% |
| 1964 | +31.2% |
| 1968 | +15.2% |
| 1972 | −11.0% |
| 1976 | +29.0% |
| 1980 | +14.2% |
| 1984 | +11.4% |
| 1988 | +29.9% |
| 1992 | +27.5% |
| 1996 | +37.6% |
| 2000 | +22.8% |
| 2004 | +10.1% |
| 2008 | +38.7% |
| 2012 | +41.7% |
| 2016 | +40.2% |
| 2020 | +17.1% |
| 2024 | −2.9% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 104,517 | 110,760 | 217,265 | ||
| D | 128,199 | 90,527 | 220,884 | ||
| D | 118,809 | 48,642 | 174,408 | ||
| D | 97,969 | 39,865 | 139,322 | ||
| D | 90,261 | 39,668 | 130,784 | ||
| D | 62,369 | 50,931 | 113,683 | ||
| D | 61,390 | 38,301 | 101,050 | ||
| D | 56,335 | 24,437 | 84,727 | ||
| D | 51,205 | 26,976 | 88,160 | ||
| D | 54,330 | 29,246 | 83,870 | ||
| D | 44,147 | 35,059 | 79,432 | ||
| D | 34,542 | 25,808 | 61,717 | ||
| D | 35,021 | 19,199 | 54,593 | ||
| R | 18,366 | 22,920 | 41,499 | ||
| D | 20,087 | 14,455 | 37,111 | ||
| D | 22,110 | 11,563 | 33,756 | ||
| D | 18,663 | 13,628 | 32,406 | ||
| R | 9,804 | 13,270 | 23,327 | ||
| R | 9,251 | 15,303 | 24,602 | ||
| D | 9,526 | 6,220 | 16,018 | ||
| D | 7,250 | 4,080 | 12,234 | ||
| D | 7,471 | 4,787 | 12,285 | ||
| D | 6,782 | 2,962 | 10,053 | ||
| D | 9,695 | 2,969 | 12,784 | ||
| R | 4,034 | 4,285 | 8,335 | ||
| D | 3,662 | 996 | 4,872 | ||
| D | 2,409 | 1,108 | 3,559 | ||
| D | 1,364 | 260 | 1,657 | ||
| D | 1,203 | 39 | 1,390 | ||
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Demographics
Hidalgo County, home to McAllen and one of Texas's most populous Latino-majority counties, shifted from a double-digit Democratic margin in 2016 to R+2.9 in 2024, marking a dramatic realignment in a region long considered safely Democratic.
Hidalgo County has leaned Republican in recent presidential elections, reaching a Democratic margin of eighty-four points in 1912. Between 2020 and 2024 it moved twenty points toward the Republican candidate — part of the sharpest rightward shift recorded among any group of places in the country.
Its demographics describe the shift: a 28% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $54,338, and a population of 891,977. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Willacy County and Webb County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Hidalgo County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48215/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
