† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
4 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupHarlingen-Weslaco-Brownsville-McAllenTexasUnited States
Mexican86.4%32.1%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.4%0.8%1.8%
Salvadoran0.2%1.2%0.7%
Spaniard0.2%0.3%—
American2.2%4.6%5.3%
German1.8%8.3%12.5%
English1.4%7.9%9.5%
Irish1.1%6.0%9.4%
Italian0.5%1.9%4.8%
French0.3%1.5%1.6%
Scottish0.2%1.3%1.3%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Harlingen-Weslaco-Brownsville-McAllen
Texas
United States
Median age
31.2
35.7
39.1
Age 18–24
11.1%
9.7%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
12.5%
13.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Harlingen-Weslaco-Brownsville-McAllen
Texas
United States
Median household income
$53,023
$78,476
$84,427
Poverty rate
26.4%
13.8%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
20.6%
33.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Harlingen-Weslaco-Brownsville-McAllen
Texas
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
77.9%
35.2%
22.3%
Spanish
76.9%
28.2%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Harlingen-Weslaco-Brownsville-McAllen
Texas
United States
Catholic
44.6%
20.1%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
10.5%
23.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
40.2%
45.2%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Harlingen-Weslaco-Brownsville-McAllen, Texas
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1912–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1912
+75.8%
1916
+59.3%
1920
+28.2%
1924
+46.7%
1928
+0.4%
1932
+57.0%
1936
+45.5%
1940
+27.8%
1944
+19.1%
1948
+24.0%
1952
−20.6%
1956
−9.5%
1960
+18.7%
1964
+31.6%
1968
+17.0%
1972
−14.1%
1976
+28.2%
1980
+12.0%
1984
+6.8%
1988
+25.5%
1992
+25.8%
1996
+36.6%
2000
+19.5%
2004
+8.0%
2008
+36.7%
2012
+39.8%
2016
+38.4%
2020
+15.1%
2024
−4.4%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
47.4%Harris168,310
51.8%Trump184,094
0.4%Stein1,593 +2
R+4.4
R+19.6
R+3.0
355,402
All 5 candidates in 2024 · 3 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican51.8%184,094
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic47.4%168,310
Jill SteinIndependent0.4%1,593
Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%1,301
OtherAll other candidates0.0%104
D
57.1%Biden204,493
41.9%Trump150,247
1.0%
D+15.1
R+23.3
D+10.7
358,325
D
67.2%Clinton190,922
28.8%Trump81,885
3.9%
D+38.4
R+1.4
D+36.3
283,908
D
69.4%Obama161,804
29.6%Romney68,927
1.0%
D+39.8
D+3.1
D+36.0
233,164
D
68.0%Obama150,424
31.3%McCain69,287
0.6%
D+36.7
D+28.7
D+29.4
221,136
D
53.8%Kerry106,300
45.8%Bush90,493
0.4%
D+8.0
R+11.5
D+10.5
197,582
D
59.1%Gore104,327
39.5%Bush69,801
1.4%
D+19.5
R+17.1
D+19.0
176,633
D
65.8%Clinton101,327
29.2%Dole44,959
4.9%
D+36.6
D+10.8
D+28.1
153,891
D
56.6%Clinton91,667
30.7%Bush49,798
12.7%
D+25.8
D+0.3
D+20.3
161,988
D
62.5%Dukakis95,425
37.0%Bush56,477
0.4%
D+25.5
D+18.7
D+33.3
152,573
D
53.2%Mondale78,625
46.5%Reagan68,602
0.3%
D+6.8
R+5.2
D+25.0
147,662
D
54.9%Carter65,571
42.9%Reagan51,233
2.1%
D+12.0
R+16.2
D+21.7
119,363
D
63.8%Carter67,961
35.5%Ford37,853
0.7%
D+28.2
D+42.4
D+26.2
106,586
R
42.7%McGovern36,410
56.8%Nixon48,442
0.5%
R+14.1
R+31.1
D+9.0
85,242
D
55.1%Humphrey41,665
38.1%Nixon28,831
6.8%
D+17.0
R+14.7
D+17.7
75,643
D
65.7%Johnson44,374
34.1%Goldwater23,002
0.3%
D+31.6
D+12.9
D+9.1
67,545
D
59.2%Kennedy37,239
40.5%Nixon25,465
0.3%
D+18.7
D+28.2
D+18.6
62,866
R
44.7%Stevenson22,621
54.2%Eisenhower27,425
1.0%
R+9.5
D+11.1
D+5.9
50,571
R
39.6%Stevenson21,189
60.2%Eisenhower32,185
0.1%
R+20.6
R+44.6
R+9.8
53,453
D
60.8%Truman19,439
36.8%Dewey11,764
2.5%
D+24.0
D+4.9
D+19.5
31,989
D
56.6%Roosevelt15,406
37.5%Dewey10,211
5.9%
D+19.1
R+8.7
D+11.6
27,212
D
63.8%Roosevelt15,879
36.0%Willkie8,965
0.2%
D+27.8
R+17.8
D+17.8
24,906
D
71.6%Roosevelt15,960
26.1%Landon5,818
2.2%
D+45.5
R+11.4
D+21.3
22,276
D
78.1%Roosevelt18,637
21.1%Hoover5,045
0.7%
D+57.0
D+56.5
D+39.2
23,857
D
50.1%Smith8,368
49.7%Hoover8,297
0.2%
D+0.4
R+46.3
D+17.9
16,692
D
71.3%Davis6,950
24.6%Coolidge2,395
4.2%
D+46.7
D+18.5
D+71.9
9,752
D
63.6%Cox3,800
35.4%Harding2,115
1.0%
D+28.2
R+31.1
D+54.4
5,974
D
78.8%Wilson3,250
19.5%Hughes805
1.7%
D+59.3
R+16.5
D+56.1
4,124
D
85.0%Wilson4,125
9.2%Taft445
5.9%
D+75.8
—
D+56.3
4,854
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voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Harlingen-Weslaco-Brownsville-McAllen
Year
Total registered
2016
579,410
2018
614,604
2020
657,073
2022
690,465
2024
732,755
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−3,870 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −72,827 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Harlingen-Weslaco-Brownsville-McAllen in Harlingen-Weslaco-Brownsville-McAllen: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−243
2012
−5,469
2013
−8,318
2014
−6,966
2015
−9,616
2016
−8,292
2017
−7,913
2018
−7,813
2019
−6,000
2021
−306
2022
−2,034
2023
−2,381
2024
−3,606
2025
−3,870
This South Texas media market is among the most heavily Hispanic in the United States, with Democratic margins historically wide but showing measurable rightward shifts in recent cycles as working-class border communities reassess party allegiances.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 75.8 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 20.6 points in 1952. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 19.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.4 points.
A population of 1,404,303, a 7% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,023 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Laredo and El Paso (Las Cruces).
Akashic
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Harlingen-Weslaco-Brownsville-McAllen, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/636/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Harlingen-Weslaco-Brownsville-McAllen, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Harlingen-Weslaco-Brownsville-McAllen, Texas voted Republican by 4.4 points (R+4.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 355,402 votes cast, 168,310 went Democratic and 184,094 went Republican.
When did Harlingen-Weslaco-Brownsville-McAllen, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Harlingen-Weslaco-Brownsville-McAllen, Texas voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Harlingen-Weslaco-Brownsville-McAllen, Texas?
Harlingen-Weslaco-Brownsville-McAllen, Texas has a population of 1,404,303 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Harlingen-Weslaco-Brownsville-McAllen, Texas?
Median household income in Harlingen-Weslaco-Brownsville-McAllen, Texas is $53,023 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Harlingen-Weslaco-Brownsville-McAllen, Texas?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Harlingen-Weslaco-Brownsville-McAllen, Texas from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 25 went Democratic and 4 went Republican.