Tomball, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −63.2% |
| 2008 | −60.4% |
| 2012 | −63.8% |
| 2016 | −56.6% |
| 2020 | −50.3% |
| 2024 | −47.2% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 25.6%Harris1,482 | 72.8%Trump4,212 | 1.5% | R+47.2 | D+3.1 | R+45.7 | 5,783 | |
| R | 24.1%Biden1,206 | 74.4%Trump3,719 | 1.5% | R+50.3 | D+6.3 | R+54.7 | 4,998 | |
| R | 19.4%Clinton798 | 76.0%Trump3,126 | 4.5% | R+56.6 | D+7.2 | R+58.7 | 4,111 | |
| R | 17.5%Obama648 | 81.2%Romney3,015 | 1.3% | R+63.8 | R+3.4 | R+67.6 | 3,711 | |
| R | 19.5%Obama695 | 79.9%McCain2,845 | 0.6% | R+60.4 | D+2.8 | R+67.7 | 3,560 | |
| R | 18.1%Kerry588 | 81.3%Bush2,646 | 0.6% | R+63.2 | — | R+60.8 | 3,255 |
Tomball sits at the northwestern edge of the Houston metro, where rapid residential expansion has layered new subdivisions over a historic railroad-town core — a tension that shapes both its demographics and its local political priorities.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 63.8 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 3.1 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 47.2 points.
A population of 13,655, a 64% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,562 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Piedmont and Mustang.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Tomball, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4873316/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.