- Lead
- 1,240
- Total
- 6,499
- vs nation
- R+17.6
- Turnout
- 60.8%
Ketchikan Gateway Borough, AK
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.8% of 10,695 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,209
- Total
- 7,294
- vs nation
- R+21.0
- Turnout
- 69.8%
- Lead
- 1,461
- Total
- 6,500
- vs nation
- R+24.6
- Turnout
- 63.9%
- Lead
- 1,004
- Total
- 5,906
- vs nation
- R+20.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,338
- Total
- 6,526
- vs nation
- R+27.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,360
- Total
- 6,360
- vs nation
- R+34.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,397
- Total
- 6,656
- vs nation
- R+51.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,709
- Total
- 6,610
- vs nation
- R+49.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+19.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 13,7682024 5-year
- Population density
- 2.8 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 4,857 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $92,8852024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 60.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+24.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.0 in 2000MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Kodiak Island Borough, AK · twin score 79.0
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 60.8%6,499 participants ÷ 10,695 CVAP
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6,499 | 10,695 ± 157 | 60.8% | Audited | C/A | |
| 7,294 | 10,444 ± 119 | 69.8% | Audited | C/A | |
| 6,500 | 10,166 ± 132 | 63.9% | Audited | C/A | |
| 5,906 | 9,958 | 59.3% | Derived | — | |
| 6,526 | 9,625 | 67.8% | Derived | — | |
| 6,360 | 9,292 extrapolated | 68.4% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2020, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 17 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
17 precincts · 0 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| 36-600 Ketchikan No. 1600 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36-610 Ketchikan No. 2610 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 36-620 Ketchikan No. 3620 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 36-640 North Tongass No. 1640 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 36-650 North Tongass No. 2650 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 36-660 Saxman660 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 36-670 South Tongass670 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Angoon Precinct (Part; Also See Parts In Four Other Boroughs and Census Areas)500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ketchikan No. 1 Precinct110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ketchikan No. 2 Precinct120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ketchikan No. 3 Precinct130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Metlakatla Precinct (Part; Also See Part In Prince of Wales-Hyder Census Area)540 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Tongass No. 1 Precinct140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| North Tongass No. 2 Precinct150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Saxman Precinct160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| South Tongass Precinct170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Thorne Bay Precinct (Part; Also See Parts In Wrangell Borough and Prince of Wales-Hyder Census Area)180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Ketchikan Gateway Borough, AK · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1960–2024 · 17 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
62.5%
2,275 votes · D+24.9
Runner-up · John F. Kennedy, 1960 · 47.5%
Republican
George W. Bush2000
70.3%
4,681 votes · R+51.0
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 66.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
2,890votes
39.6% of the vote · R+16.6
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 2,497 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2000
4,681votes
70.3% of the vote · R+51.0
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 4,231 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+2.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+24.9 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · George McGovern, 1972 · −0.1 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2000
+51.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+51.0 · U.S. D+0.5
Runner-up · Bob Dole, 1996 · +49.5 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Ketchikan Gateway Borough, AK. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 4.8 points more Republican than the rolls.
12,028 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−146 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,272 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $64,813 in average income, against $99,377 for residents who stayed — 35% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+1.4 on average — 20 points more Democratic-leaning than Ketchikan Gateway Borough, AK itself (R+19.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Anchorage Municipality, AK20D+1.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Anchorage Municipality, AK22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −22 |
| 2012 | −79 |
| 2013 | −155 |
| 2014 | −19 |
| 2015 | −201 |
| 2016 | −105 |
| 2017 | +19 |
| 2018 | −75 |
| 2019 | −42 |
| 2021 | −159 |
| 2022 | −124 |
| 2023 | −77 |
| 2024 | −87 |
| 2025 | −146 |
Ketchikan Gateway Borough, accessible only by air or sea, anchors its economy in commercial fishing, tourism, and a legacy timber industry — a resource-dependent profile that has correlated with Republican margins exceeding 15 points in recent presidential cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 24.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 51.0 points in 2000. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.1 points.
A population of 13,768, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $92,885 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kodiak Island Borough and Chugach Census Area.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Ketchikan Gateway Borough, Alaska. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/02130/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.