Contra Costa County, California: New American county. In 2024, voted D+38%. Republican peak: R+48 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+38MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- New AmericanAkashic typology
- Population
- 1,165,0122024 5-year
- Median household income
- $127,2292024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 41.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 8.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 27.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+46 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Montgomery County, MD · similarity 1.00
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | −17.2% |
| 1880 | −12.6% |
| 1884 | −14.3% |
| 1888 | −12.4% |
| 1892 | −9.5% |
| 1896 | −13.9% |
| 1900 | −16.2% |
| 1904 | −34.8% |
| 1908 | −31.6% |
| 1912 | +39.4% |
| 1916 | +2.8% |
| 1920 | −39.2% |
| 1924 | −48.0% |
| 1928 | −22.0% |
| 1932 | +21.6% |
| 1936 | +45.6% |
| 1940 | +24.5% |
| 1944 | +28.1% |
| 1948 | +14.6% |
| 1952 | +1.2% |
| 1956 | −2.2% |
| 1960 | +6.0% |
| 1964 | +27.0% |
| 1968 | +1.9% |
| 1972 | −10.6% |
| 1976 | −1.1% |
| 1980 | −12.8% |
| 1984 | −9.9% |
| 1988 | +3.2% |
| 1992 | +21.4% |
| 1996 | +20.6% |
| 2000 | +21.7% |
| 2004 | +25.8% |
| 2008 | +37.6% |
| 2012 | +35.1% |
| 2016 | +43.0% |
| 2020 | +45.3% |
| 2024 | +37.9% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 356,008 | 155,308 | 528,904 | ||
| D | 416,386 | 152,877 | 581,316 | ||
| D | 319,287 | 115,956 | 473,014 | ||
| D | 290,824 | 136,517 | 439,145 | ||
| D | 306,983 | 136,436 | 453,244 | ||
| D | 257,254 | 150,608 | 413,028 | ||
| D | 224,338 | 141,373 | 381,478 | ||
| D | 196,512 | 123,954 | 352,602 | ||
| D | 194,960 | 112,965 | 382,823 | ||
| D | 169,411 | 158,652 | 331,511 | ||
| R | 140,994 | 172,331 | 316,318 | ||
| R | 107,398 | 144,112 | 287,545 | ||
| R | 123,742 | 126,598 | 256,534 | ||
| R | 111,718 | 139,044 | 256,884 | ||
| D | 101,668 | 97,486 | 218,917 | ||
| D | 113,071 | 65,011 | 178,245 | ||
| D | 93,622 | 82,922 | 177,123 | ||
| R | 71,733 | 74,971 | 147,051 | ||
| D | 69,060 | 67,453 | 137,281 | ||
| D | 50,277 | 36,958 | 91,376 | ||
| D | 47,831 | 26,816 | 74,785 | ||
| D | 30,900 | 18,627 | 50,040 | ||
| D | 26,007 | 9,604 | 35,975 | ||
| D | 17,218 | 10,907 | 29,214 | ||
| R | 8,573 | 13,495 | 22,349 | ||
| R | 1,114 | 9,061 | 16,573 | ||
| R | 3,483 | 9,041 | 14,182 | ||
| D | 6,092 | 5,731 | 13,011 | ||
| O | 3,290 | 0 | 8,350 | ||
| R | 1,599 | 3,336 | 5,504 | ||
| R | 1,257 | 2,833 | 4,529 | ||
| R | 1,549 | 2,165 | 3,797 | ||
| R | 1,381 | 1,834 | 3,269 | ||
| R | 1,332 | 1,631 | 3,149 | ||
| R | 1,177 | 1,518 | 2,758 | ||
| R | 1,114 | 1,496 | 2,678 | ||
| R | 1,010 | 1,302 | 2,312 | ||
| R | 837 | 1,184 | 2,021 |
Demographics
Once a bellwether of white working-class suburban politics, Contra Costa has shifted decisively leftward over three decades as the population diversified and Bay Area commuter culture extended eastward into its inland cities.
Contra Costa County has leaned Democratic in recent presidential elections, reaching a Democratic margin of forty-six points in 1936. Between 2020 and 2024 it moved seven points toward the Republican candidate — part of the sharpest rightward shift recorded among any group of places in the country.
Its demographics describe the shift: a 41% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $127,229, and a population of 1,165,012. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Montgomery County and Santa Clara County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Contra Costa County, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/06013/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
