Modoc County, California: Sunbelt Conservative county. In 2024, voted R+47%. Democratic peak: D+55 in 1912.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+47MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Sunbelt ConservativeAkashic typology
- Population
- 8,6002024 5-year
- Median household income
- $59,4552024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 78.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+55 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49 in 2000MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Custer County, ID · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Modoc CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Modoc County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | +21.5% |
| 1880 | +8.8% |
| 1884 | +11.7% |
| 1888 | +9.9% |
| 1892 | +16.6% |
| 1896 | +31.7% |
| 1900 | +8.6% |
| 1904 | −11.1% |
| 1908 | −3.7% |
| 1912 | +54.9% |
| 1916 | +21.6% |
| 1920 | −28.8% |
| 1924 | −21.4% |
| 1928 | −13.9% |
| 1932 | +41.4% |
| 1936 | +30.4% |
| 1940 | +23.7% |
| 1944 | +8.9% |
| 1948 | +4.0% |
| 1952 | −22.9% |
| 1956 | −6.8% |
| 1960 | −4.2% |
| 1964 | +17.5% |
| 1968 | −13.7% |
| 1972 | −22.8% |
| 1976 | −4.9% |
| 1980 | −38.3% |
| 1984 | −41.2% |
| 1988 | −27.4% |
| 1992 | −6.8% |
| 1996 | −21.3% |
| 2000 | −49.3% |
| 2004 | −46.7% |
| 2008 | −37.7% |
| 2012 | −41.5% |
| 2016 | −47.3% |
| 2020 | −44.9% |
| 2024 | −46.6% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 1,008 | 2,884 | 4,027 | ||
| R | 1,150 | 3,109 | 4,367 | ||
| R | 877 | 2,696 | 3,843 | ||
| R | 1,111 | 2,777 | 4,019 | ||
| R | 1,313 | 2,981 | 4,420 | ||
| R | 1,149 | 3,235 | 4,467 | ||
| R | 945 | 2,969 | 4,107 | ||
| R | 1,368 | 2,285 | 4,303 | ||
| R | 1,489 | 1,803 | 4,625 | ||
| R | 1,416 | 2,518 | 4,017 | ||
| R | 1,219 | 2,995 | 4,310 | ||
| R | 1,046 | 2,579 | 4,000 | ||
| R | 1,733 | 1,917 | 3,744 | ||
| R | 1,271 | 2,085 | 3,565 | ||
| R | 1,264 | 1,713 | 3,267 | ||
| D | 1,972 | 1,386 | 3,358 | ||
| R | 1,691 | 1,839 | 3,550 | ||
| R | 1,729 | 1,981 | 3,723 | ||
| R | 1,548 | 2,475 | 4,047 | ||
| D | 1,607 | 1,480 | 3,180 | ||
| D | 1,540 | 1,288 | 2,837 | ||
| D | 2,232 | 1,371 | 3,630 | ||
| D | 1,828 | 968 | 2,831 | ||
| D | 1,643 | 655 | 2,386 | ||
| R | 711 | 942 | 1,660 | ||
| R | 374 | 731 | 1,672 | ||
| R | 535 | 992 | 1,585 | ||
| D | 1,222 | 768 | 2,098 | ||
| D | 941 | 0 | 1,714 | ||
| R | 574 | 620 | 1,242 | ||
| R | 444 | 559 | 1,037 | ||
| D | 532 | 446 | 996 | ||
| D | 588 | 300 | 909 | ||
| D | 596 | 406 | 1,145 | ||
| D | 679 | 552 | 1,278 | ||
| D | 609 | 478 | 1,120 | ||
| D | 490 | 410 | 906 | ||
| D | 322 | 208 | 530 |
Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
18.6%
German
18.3%
Irish
10.7%
American
6.3%
Italian
4.1%
Scottish
2.6%
French
1.9%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 47.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$59,455
Modoc County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Modoc County$59,455
California$99,122
United States$80,734
Modoc County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
17.9%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1823.8%
Working age (18–64)16.4%
Seniors (65+)16.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
86.0%
speak English only
Spanish10.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.0%
Other Indo-European1.8%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 66.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Modoc's high-desert ranching economy and sparse population of under 10,000 produced a 46-point Republican presidential margin in 2024—the widest of any county in a state that voted heavily Democratic statewide.
The Republican margin here reached forty-nine points in 2000. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was forty-seven points.
A median household income of $59,455, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 8,600 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Custer County and Fremont County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Modoc County, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/06049/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in California
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Frequently asked questions
How did Modoc County, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Modoc County, California voted Republican by 46.6 points (R+47), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 4,027 votes cast, 1,008 went Democratic and 2,884 went Republican.
What is Modoc County, California's political typology?
Akashic places Modoc County, California in the "Sunbelt Conservative" typology — Affluent, predominantly white Sunbelt counties — reliably Republican. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 15 times, Republican 23 times, and other 0 times.
When did Modoc County, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Modoc County, California voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Modoc County, California?
Modoc County, California has a population of 8,600 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Modoc County, California?
Median household income in Modoc County, California is $59,455 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Modoc County, California?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Modoc County, California from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 23 went Republican. The county's typology — "Sunbelt Conservative" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.