Merced County, California

Year	Democrat	Republican	Others	Total
2024	40,190	43,955	2,247	86,392
2020	48,991	39,397	2,605	90,993
2016	37,317	28,725	5,085	71,127
2012	33,005	27,581	1,636	62,222
2008	34,031	28,704	1,316	64,051
2004	24,491	32,773	696	57,960

Year

Democrat

Republican

Others

Total

2024

40,190

43,955

2,247

86,392

2020

48,991

39,397

2,605

90,993

2016

37,317

28,725

5,085

71,127

2012

33,005

27,581

1,636

62,222

2008

34,031

28,704

1,316

64,051

2004

24,491

32,773

696

57,960

Measure	Merced County	California	United States
Median age	31.8	37.9	39.1
Age 18–24	11.3%	9.1%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	11.7%	15.6%	17.2%

Measure

Merced County

California

United States

Median age

31.8

37.9

39.1

Age 18–24

11.3%

9.1%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

11.7%

15.6%

17.2%

Measure	Merced County	California	United States
Median household income	$65,510	$99,122	$84,427
Poverty rate	19.1%	12.0%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	15.3%	36.6%	35.6%

Measure

Merced County

California

United States

Median household income

$65,510

$99,122

$84,427

Poverty rate

19.1%

12.0%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

15.3%

36.6%

35.6%

Measure	Merced County	California	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	52.7%	44.4%	22.3%
Spanish	44.2%	28.4%	13.6%
Other Indo-European	4.5%	3.4%	2.0%
Other Asian & Pacific Island	2.3%	2.0%	1.1%

Measure

Merced County

California

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

52.7%

44.4%

22.3%

Spanish

44.2%

28.4%

13.6%

Other Indo-European

4.5%

3.4%

2.0%

Other Asian & Pacific Island

2.3%

2.0%

1.1%

Measure	Merced County	California	United States
Catholic	33.9%	26.2%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	7.0%	9.0%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	54.9%	55.2%	51.5%

Measure

Merced County

California

United States

Catholic

33.9%

26.2%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

7.0%

9.0%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

54.9%

55.2%

51.5%

Precinct data

Results by precinct

577 precincts · 85,690 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Merced County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -2511725117	667	672	29	1,368	48.8%	49.1%	R+0.4
Precinct -3110631106	522	501	23	1,046	49.9%	47.9%	D+2.0
Precinct -4722447224	230	720	22	972	23.7%	74.1%	R+50.4
Precinct -2513225132	479	416	35	930	51.5%	44.7%	D+6.8
Precinct -5413554135	420	468	20	908	46.3%	51.5%	R+5.3
Precinct -2511625116	574	290	31	895	64.1%	32.4%	D+31.7
Precinct -5413754137	272	579	22	873	31.2%	66.3%	R+35.2
Precinct -4719747197	414	390	24	828	50.0%	47.1%	D+2.9
Precinct -4510545105	488	300	31	819	59.6%	36.6%	D+23.0
Precinct -3111031110	348	447	20	815	42.7%	54.8%	R+12.1
Precinct -3111731117	350	443	20	813	43.1%	54.5%	R+11.4
Precinct -4713147131	404	376	28	808	50.0%	46.5%	D+3.5
Precinct -5413954139	378	399	27	804	47.0%	49.6%	R+2.6
Precinct -3712837128	262	509	19	790	33.2%	64.4%	R+31.3
Precinct -3710537105	405	358	20	783	51.7%	45.7%	D+6.0
Precinct -4722247222	159	593	14	766	20.8%	77.4%	R+56.7
Precinct -2512925129	375	357	23	755	49.7%	47.3%	D+2.4
Precinct -4720047200	341	382	24	747	45.6%	51.1%	R+5.5
Precinct -3510635106	451	264	26	741	60.9%	35.6%	D+25.2
Precinct -5410754107	448	268	17	733	61.1%	36.6%	D+24.6
Precinct -3510535105	376	313	23	712	52.8%	44.0%	D+8.8
Precinct -2512825128	378	303	26	707	53.5%	42.9%	D+10.6
Precinct -1310713107	444	241	13	698	63.6%	34.5%	D+29.1
Precinct -5412154121	371	307	19	697	53.2%	44.0%	D+9.2
Precinct -3712537125	182	499	7	688	26.5%	72.5%	R+46.1
Precinct -2511825118	341	317	12	670	50.9%	47.3%	D+3.6
Precinct -5412754127	382	247	20	649	58.9%	38.1%	D+20.8
Precinct -3712737127	182	460	6	648	28.1%	71.0%	R+42.9
Precinct -3110831108	317	310	18	645	49.1%	48.1%	D+1.1
Precinct -3510235102	329	279	20	628	52.4%	44.4%	D+8.0
Precinct -1310513105	314	278	21	613	51.2%	45.4%	D+5.9
Precinct -2515325153	357	237	19	613	58.2%	38.7%	D+19.6
Precinct -4713847138	342	254	14	610	56.1%	41.6%	D+14.4
Precinct -3111531115	316	260	20	596	53.0%	43.6%	D+9.4
Precinct -5410354103	336	235	17	588	57.1%	40.0%	D+17.2
Precinct -4210342103	258	318	11	587	44.0%	54.2%	R+10.2
Precinct -4713947139	292	273	15	580	50.3%	47.1%	D+3.3
Precinct -4510445104	293	260	25	578	50.7%	45.0%	D+5.7
Precinct -4722347223	137	433	6	576	23.8%	75.2%	R+51.4
Precinct -1311113111	298	263	12	573	52.0%	45.9%	D+6.1
Precinct -2510325103	276	277	14	567	48.7%	48.9%	R+0.2
Precinct -2511125111	266	280	21	567	46.9%	49.4%	R+2.5
Precinct -2512425124	291	246	22	559	52.1%	44.0%	D+8.1
Precinct -4722047220	101	440	8	549	18.4%	80.1%	R+61.7
Precinct -3112331123	208	318	13	539	38.6%	59.0%	R+20.4
Precinct -2513925139	269	250	13	532	50.6%	47.0%	D+3.6
Precinct -3110731107	226	291	8	525	43.0%	55.4%	R+12.4
Precinct -2513625136	263	242	9	514	51.2%	47.1%	D+4.1
Precinct -5412954129	263	228	10	501	52.5%	45.5%	D+7.0
Precinct -3111431114	264	223	11	498	53.0%	44.8%	D+8.2
Precinct -1511215112	300	184	13	497	60.4%	37.0%	D+23.3
Precinct -3112131121	179	307	11	497	36.0%	61.8%	R+25.8
Precinct -5412854128	301	187	7	495	60.8%	37.8%	D+23.0
Precinct -1310413104	218	255	17	490	44.5%	52.0%	R+7.6
Precinct -5610156101	185	293	11	489	37.8%	59.9%	R+22.1
Precinct -5413454134	223	251	14	488	45.7%	51.4%	R+5.7
Precinct -1310313103	215	259	11	485	44.3%	53.4%	R+9.1
Precinct -4210742107	222	253	4	479	46.3%	52.8%	R+6.5
Precinct -1718817188	271	197	10	478	56.7%	41.2%	D+15.5
Precinct -1510215102	268	196	13	477	56.2%	41.1%	D+15.1
Precinct -2710127101	423	45	8	476	88.9%	9.5%	D+79.4
Precinct -2510225102	221	237	14	472	46.8%	50.2%	R+3.4
Precinct -3110331103	188	274	9	471	39.9%	58.2%	R+18.3
Precinct -4210942109	193	263	13	469	41.2%	56.1%	R+14.9
Precinct -5414254142	227	222	16	465	48.8%	47.7%	D+1.1
Precinct -2510425104	255	197	10	462	55.2%	42.6%	D+12.6
Precinct -2711827118	219	223	19	461	47.5%	48.4%	R+0.9
Precinct -3110531105	194	256	7	457	42.5%	56.0%	R+13.6
Precinct -2710827108	207	237	10	454	45.6%	52.2%	R+6.6
Precinct -5411954119	263	178	12	453	58.1%	39.3%	D+18.8
Precinct -1310913109	241	200	9	450	53.6%	44.4%	D+9.1
Precinct -3112231122	184	256	10	450	40.9%	56.9%	R+16.0
Precinct -4510345103	216	205	20	441	49.0%	46.5%	D+2.5
Precinct -1511915119	254	170	14	438	58.0%	38.8%	D+19.2
Precinct -5411554115	262	162	14	438	59.8%	37.0%	D+22.8
Precinct -3510135101	220	201	16	437	50.3%	46.0%	D+4.3
Precinct -3710437104	235	192	9	436	53.9%	44.0%	D+9.9
Precinct -5412354123	223	185	27	435	51.3%	42.5%	D+8.7
Precinct -2512125121	189	230	11	430	44.0%	53.5%	R+9.5
Precinct -2514525145	206	206	16	428	48.1%	48.1%	Even
Precinct -1511815118	252	163	12	427	59.0%	38.2%	D+20.8
Precinct -4719847198	212	190	20	422	50.2%	45.0%	D+5.2
Precinct -5411054110	243	156	21	420	57.9%	37.1%	D+20.7
Precinct -2514025140	215	193	10	418	51.4%	46.2%	D+5.3
Precinct -2513025130	198	197	18	413	47.9%	47.7%	D+0.2
Precinct -5411754117	232	174	7	413	56.2%	42.1%	D+14.0
Precinct -1510615106	261	141	10	412	63.3%	34.2%	D+29.1
Precinct -5414054140	190	212	7	409	46.5%	51.8%	R+5.4
Precinct -2512525125	181	214	10	405	44.7%	52.8%	R+8.1
Precinct -3111631116	151	246	8	405	37.3%	60.7%	R+23.5
Precinct -2510125101	227	167	9	403	56.3%	41.4%	D+14.9
Precinct -2512625126	191	202	7	400	47.8%	50.5%	R+2.8
Precinct -2711927119	131	257	11	399	32.8%	64.4%	R+31.6
Precinct -5610956109	235	146	15	396	59.3%	36.9%	D+22.5
Precinct -3110931109	194	184	11	389	49.9%	47.3%	D+2.6
Precinct -1718917189	250	127	11	388	64.4%	32.7%	D+31.7
Precinct -1510715107	257	111	12	380	67.6%	29.2%	D+38.4
Precinct -4722647226	67	302	5	374	17.9%	80.7%	R+62.8
Precinct -5410154101	206	158	6	370	55.7%	42.7%	D+13.0
Precinct -2512025120	157	198	13	368	42.7%	53.8%	R+11.1
Precinct -3111131111	149	208	10	367	40.6%	56.7%	R+16.1
Precinct -5410954109	218	141	8	367	59.4%	38.4%	D+21.0
Precinct -3111831118	177	179	4	360	49.2%	49.7%	R+0.6
Precinct -4711647116	102	237	11	350	29.1%	67.7%	R+38.6
Precinct -2513725137	153	182	3	338	45.3%	53.8%	R+8.6
Precinct -4723147231	91	240	5	336	27.1%	71.4%	R+44.3
Precinct -5413654136	165	158	13	336	49.1%	47.0%	D+2.1
Precinct -5611156111	162	167	7	336	48.2%	49.7%	R+1.5
Precinct -1310213102	202	129	3	334	60.5%	38.6%	D+21.9
Precinct -5413354133	156	170	7	333	46.8%	51.1%	R+4.2
Precinct -5410254102	169	154	8	331	51.1%	46.5%	D+4.5
Precinct -5411654116	178	132	18	328	54.3%	40.2%	D+14.0
Precinct -3111931119	138	172	5	315	43.8%	54.6%	R+10.8
Precinct -2513825138	204	94	13	311	65.6%	30.2%	D+35.4
Precinct -2511225112	156	143	10	309	50.5%	46.3%	D+4.2
Precinct -2710727107	132	167	9	308	42.9%	54.2%	R+11.4
Precinct -5412054120	162	125	13	300	54.0%	41.7%	D+12.3
Precinct -4719947199	150	134	1	285	52.6%	47.0%	D+5.6
Precinct -2514325143	154	119	10	283	54.4%	42.0%	D+12.4
Precinct -3510335103	168	93	12	273	61.5%	34.1%	D+27.5
Precinct -1511515115	120	131	15	266	45.1%	49.2%	R+4.1
Precinct -5412454124	116	143	7	266	43.6%	53.8%	R+10.2
Precinct -3110431104	97	160	7	264	36.7%	60.6%	R+23.9
Precinct -3112031120	109	151	4	264	41.3%	57.2%	R+15.9
Precinct -2515125151	135	115	9	259	52.1%	44.4%	D+7.7
Precinct -1310813108	133	114	11	258	51.6%	44.2%	D+7.4
Precinct -1511315113	165	78	8	251	65.7%	31.1%	D+34.7
Precinct -4719347193	99	144	7	250	39.6%	57.6%	R+18.0
Precinct -2514225142	124	117	8	249	49.8%	47.0%	D+2.8
Precinct -5411254112	146	92	5	243	60.1%	37.9%	D+22.2
Precinct -2511925119	119	109	10	238	50.0%	45.8%	D+4.2
Precinct -2513325133	119	104	5	228	52.2%	45.6%	D+6.6
Precinct -2514125141	126	90	10	226	55.8%	39.8%	D+15.9
Precinct -5714257142	49	172	4	225	21.8%	76.4%	R+54.7
Precinct -2512225122	126	92	3	221	57.0%	41.6%	D+15.4
Precinct -4718847188	103	108	8	219	47.0%	49.3%	R+2.3
Precinct -1717917179	51	155	2	208	24.5%	74.5%	R+50.0
Precinct -3510435104	98	102	6	206	47.6%	49.5%	R+1.9
Precinct -1510415104	122	73	8	203	60.1%	36.0%	D+24.1
Precinct -3710637106	81	110	11	202	40.1%	54.5%	R+14.4
Precinct -1710517105	95	97	5	197	48.2%	49.2%	R+1.0
Precinct -4720147201	96	96	5	197	48.7%	48.7%	Even
Precinct -4715047150	36	157	3	196	18.4%	80.1%	R+61.7
Precinct -2511425114	87	99	8	194	44.8%	51.0%	R+6.2
Precinct -2513525135	121	61	7	189	64.0%	32.3%	D+31.7
Precinct -5411354113	109	65	10	184	59.2%	35.3%	D+23.9
Precinct -2511525115	70	108	3	181	38.7%	59.7%	R+21.0
Precinct -2513125131	121	59	1	181	66.9%	32.6%	D+34.3
Precinct -2514725147	99	72	10	181	54.7%	39.8%	D+14.9
Precinct -5711557115	35	140	6	181	19.3%	77.3%	R+58.0
Precinct -1510115101	130	46	4	180	72.2%	25.6%	D+46.7
Precinct -1510315103	89	82	7	178	50.0%	46.1%	D+3.9
Precinct -4721747217	49	123	6	178	27.5%	69.1%	R+41.6
Precinct -5610756107	77	99	1	177	43.5%	55.9%	R+12.4
Precinct -1311013110	76	92	6	174	43.7%	52.9%	R+9.2
Precinct -1713317133	57	112	4	173	32.9%	64.7%	R+31.8
Precinct -4710747107	57	111	3	171	33.3%	64.9%	R+31.6
Precinct -2511325113	77	92	1	170	45.3%	54.1%	R+8.8
Precinct -4710647106	28	137	5	170	16.5%	80.6%	R+64.1
Precinct -5410654106	94	71	5	170	55.3%	41.8%	D+13.5
Precinct -2710627106	42	121	4	167	25.1%	72.5%	R+47.3
Precinct -3110231102	70	96	1	167	41.9%	57.5%	R+15.6
Precinct -2514425144	95	63	8	166	57.2%	38.0%	D+19.3
Precinct -3711537115	30	133	2	165	18.2%	80.6%	R+62.4
Precinct -1716717167	55	106	3	164	33.5%	64.6%	R+31.1
Precinct -4710347103	44	117	0	161	27.3%	72.7%	R+45.3
Precinct -2711227112	55	99	5	159	34.6%	62.3%	R+27.7
Precinct -4210642106	70	84	4	158	44.3%	53.2%	R+8.9
Precinct -3710237102	62	94	1	157	39.5%	59.9%	R+20.4
Precinct -5410554105	85	66	3	154	55.2%	42.9%	D+12.3
Precinct -1512115121	100	48	5	153	65.4%	31.4%	D+34.0
Precinct -4711047110	31	111	7	149	20.8%	74.5%	R+53.7
Precinct -5714057140	36	106	4	146	24.7%	72.6%	R+47.9
Precinct -5714757147	35	102	5	142	24.6%	71.8%	R+47.2
Precinct -4723447234	29	111	1	141	20.6%	78.7%	R+58.2
Precinct -2711527115	50	81	8	139	36.0%	58.3%	R+22.3
Precinct -3711237112	31	105	3	139	22.3%	75.5%	R+53.2
Precinct -3712937129	46	91	1	138	33.3%	65.9%	R+32.6
Precinct -5413054130	77	57	3	137	56.2%	41.6%	D+14.6
Precinct -1511115111	92	40	1	133	69.2%	30.1%	D+39.1
Precinct -4719047190	51	80	2	133	38.3%	60.2%	R+21.8
Precinct -1510815108	84	45	2	131	64.1%	34.4%	D+29.8
Precinct -3711637116	30	99	0	129	23.3%	76.7%	R+53.5
Precinct -5714657146	87	35	7	129	67.4%	27.1%	D+40.3
Precinct -2510625106	69	56	2	127	54.3%	44.1%	D+10.2
Precinct -2514625146	59	61	3	123	48.0%	49.6%	R+1.6
Precinct -4717047170	46	76	1	123	37.4%	61.8%	R+24.4
Precinct -5715257152	72	42	9	123	58.5%	34.1%	D+24.4
Precinct -1710617106	77	43	2	122	63.1%	35.2%	D+27.9
Precinct -1310613106	46	73	1	120	38.3%	60.8%	R+22.5
Precinct -1710717107	63	56	1	120	52.5%	46.7%	D+5.8
Precinct -4714447144	33	83	4	120	27.5%	69.2%	R+41.7
Precinct -4719247192	48	72	0	120	40.0%	60.0%	R+20.0
Precinct -5712457124	34	84	0	118	28.8%	71.2%	R+42.4
Precinct -3711037110	51	60	6	117	43.6%	51.3%	R+7.7
Precinct -1720417204	66	47	2	115	57.4%	40.9%	D+16.5
Precinct -2512725127	68	44	3	115	59.1%	38.3%	D+20.9
Precinct -4710547105	27	84	3	114	23.7%	73.7%	R+50.0
Precinct -5710257102	36	78	0	114	31.6%	68.4%	R+36.8
Precinct -1718217182	21	90	0	111	18.9%	81.1%	R+62.2
Precinct -5611056110	49	60	2	111	44.1%	54.1%	R+9.9
Precinct -1720317203	55	51	4	110	50.0%	46.4%	D+3.6
Precinct -4713547135	38	69	2	109	34.9%	63.3%	R+28.4
Precinct -4716147161	36	71	2	109	33.0%	65.1%	R+32.1
Precinct -1710317103	34	74	0	108	31.5%	68.5%	R+37.0
Precinct -1720517205	62	45	1	108	57.4%	41.7%	D+15.7
Precinct -4714247142	63	44	0	107	58.9%	41.1%	D+17.8
Precinct -4722547225	24	79	3	106	22.6%	74.5%	R+51.9
Precinct -1720217202	41	58	3	102	40.2%	56.9%	R+16.7
Precinct -3710937109	47	51	2	100	47.0%	51.0%	R+4.0
Precinct -1716117161	15	83	1	99	15.2%	83.8%	R+68.7
Precinct -4210542105	44	53	2	99	44.4%	53.5%	R+9.1
Precinct -2710427104	31	65	1	97	32.0%	67.0%	R+35.1
Precinct -5711757117	20	75	2	97	20.6%	77.3%	R+56.7
Precinct -4711847118	26	64	4	94	27.7%	68.1%	R+40.4
Precinct -5713757137	22	70	1	93	23.7%	75.3%	R+51.6
Precinct -2711127111	33	58	1	92	35.9%	63.0%	R+27.2
Precinct -2515025150	44	42	5	91	48.4%	46.2%	D+2.2
Precinct -5710157101	44	45	1	90	48.9%	50.0%	R+1.1
Precinct -3713637136	28	57	4	89	31.5%	64.0%	R+32.6
Precinct -1719517195	23	62	3	88	26.1%	70.5%	R+44.3
Precinct -4714047140	27	59	2	88	30.7%	67.0%	R+36.4
Precinct -5413254132	43	43	2	88	48.9%	48.9%	Even
Precinct -2513425134	43	42	2	87	49.4%	48.3%	D+1.1
Precinct -4717947179	42	41	4	87	48.3%	47.1%	D+1.1
Precinct -5712957129	35	51	1	87	40.2%	58.6%	R+18.4
Precinct -1719117191	25	61	0	86	29.1%	70.9%	R+41.9
Precinct -4710147101	22	58	1	81	27.2%	71.6%	R+44.4
Precinct -4715447154	25	51	4	80	31.3%	63.7%	R+32.5
Precinct -2514825148	51	27	0	78	65.4%	34.6%	D+30.8
Precinct -4211442114	40	34	4	78	51.3%	43.6%	D+7.7
Precinct -2512325123	41	33	3	77	53.2%	42.9%	D+10.4
Precinct -1511615116	37	36	0	73	50.7%	49.3%	D+1.4
Precinct -1511715117	52	18	1	71	73.2%	25.4%	D+47.9
Precinct -1715717157	13	56	2	71	18.3%	78.9%	R+60.6
Precinct -4721647216	18	51	2	71	25.4%	71.8%	R+46.5
Precinct -2515425154	32	35	3	70	45.7%	50.0%	R+4.3
Precinct -3712437124	17	53	0	70	24.3%	75.7%	R+51.4
Precinct -4717147171	30	40	0	70	42.9%	57.1%	R+14.3
Precinct -4723847238	16	53	1	70	22.9%	75.7%	R+52.9
Precinct -4713047130	33	33	1	67	49.3%	49.3%	Even
Precinct -4712547125	29	34	3	66	43.9%	51.5%	R+7.6
Precinct -3710837108	31	33	1	65	47.7%	50.8%	R+3.1
Precinct -1714517145	30	32	2	64	46.9%	50.0%	R+3.1
Precinct -1510915109	42	17	4	63	66.7%	27.0%	D+39.7
Precinct -3713037130	26	36	0	62	41.9%	58.1%	R+16.1
Precinct -1719617196	8	52	1	61	13.1%	85.2%	R+72.1
Precinct -4713447134	12	46	3	61	19.7%	75.4%	R+55.7
Precinct -3710337103	26	31	2	59	44.1%	52.5%	R+8.5
Precinct -4712647126	26	33	0	59	44.1%	55.9%	R+11.9
Precinct -3711437114	19	39	0	58	32.8%	67.2%	R+34.5
Precinct -4717847178	19	39	0	58	32.8%	67.2%	R+34.5
Precinct -5611756117	16	41	1	58	27.6%	70.7%	R+43.1
Precinct -4714647146	12	45	0	57	21.1%	78.9%	R+57.9
Precinct -1711117111	14	41	1	56	25.0%	73.2%	R+48.2
Precinct -2711327113	21	35	0	56	37.5%	62.5%	R+25.0
Precinct -1718317183	4	51	0	55	7.3%	92.7%	R+85.5
Precinct -4716047160	16	36	2	54	29.6%	66.7%	R+37.0
Precinct -1717617176	35	18	0	53	66.0%	34.0%	D+32.1
Precinct -3710737107	21	30	2	53	39.6%	56.6%	R+17.0
Precinct -4712347123	31	21	1	53	58.5%	39.6%	D+18.9
Precinct -5410454104	26	27	0	53	49.1%	50.9%	R+1.9
Precinct -1717117171	38	12	2	52	73.1%	23.1%	D+50.0
Precinct -4710947109	18	31	3	52	34.6%	59.6%	R+25.0
Precinct -4716647166	11	39	2	52	21.2%	75.0%	R+53.8
Precinct -4724247242	17	30	3	50	34.0%	60.0%	R+26.0
Precinct -2711427114	17	30	2	49	34.7%	61.2%	R+26.5
Precinct -4720447204	22	27	0	49	44.9%	55.1%	R+10.2
Precinct -4725047250	6	43	0	49	12.2%	87.8%	R+75.5
Precinct -5411154111	29	16	4	49	59.2%	32.7%	D+26.5
Precinct -1511015110	20	27	1	48	41.7%	56.3%	R+14.6
Precinct -1713717137	34	14	0	48	70.8%	29.2%	D+41.7
Precinct -2710927109	23	24	0	47	48.9%	51.1%	R+2.1
Precinct -5715657156	29	15	2	46	63.0%	32.6%	D+30.4
Precinct -4723947239	8	37	0	45	17.8%	82.2%	R+64.4
Precinct -1710117101	14	28	1	43	32.6%	65.1%	R+32.6
Precinct -4720947209	9	34	0	43	20.9%	79.1%	R+58.1
Precinct -1717317173	30	12	0	42	71.4%	28.6%	D+42.9
Precinct -2510825108	21	18	1	40	52.5%	45.0%	D+7.5
Precinct -4712947129	8	31	1	40	20.0%	77.5%	R+57.5
Precinct -4714147141	10	28	2	40	25.0%	70.0%	R+45.0
Precinct -2712027120	22	17	0	39	56.4%	43.6%	D+12.8
Precinct -3710137101	17	22	0	39	43.6%	56.4%	R+12.8
Precinct -4718347183	9	30	0	39	23.1%	76.9%	R+53.8
Precinct -1715217152	1	37	0	38	2.6%	97.4%	R+94.7
Precinct -3711837118	15	21	1	37	40.5%	56.8%	R+16.2
Precinct -3713237132	5	32	0	37	13.5%	86.5%	R+73.0
Precinct -3713337133	12	24	1	37	32.4%	64.9%	R+32.4
Precinct -4712447124	6	30	1	37	16.2%	81.1%	R+64.9
Precinct -4718447184	9	26	2	37	24.3%	70.3%	R+45.9
Precinct -1718717187	9	27	0	36	25.0%	75.0%	R+50.0
Precinct -1716017160	10	24	1	35	28.6%	68.6%	R+40.0
Precinct -4716747167	10	23	1	34	29.4%	67.6%	R+38.2
Precinct -5611456114	9	22	3	34	26.5%	64.7%	R+38.2
Precinct -1716417164	7	26	0	33	21.2%	78.8%	R+57.6
Precinct -1716617166	13	19	1	33	39.4%	57.6%	R+18.2
Precinct -2515525155	27	3	3	33	81.8%	9.1%	D+72.7
Precinct -4723747237	3	30	0	33	9.1%	90.9%	R+81.8
Precinct -4711747117	11	20	1	32	34.4%	62.5%	R+28.1
Precinct -1719317193	8	23	0	31	25.8%	74.2%	R+48.4
Precinct -3713537135	7	24	0	31	22.6%	77.4%	R+54.8
Precinct -1712617126	11	19	0	30	36.7%	63.3%	R+26.7
Precinct -4721947219	8	22	0	30	26.7%	73.3%	R+46.7
Precinct -5715357153	15	15	0	30	50.0%	50.0%	Even
Precinct -4715147151	14	15	0	29	48.3%	51.7%	R+3.4
Precinct -4716447164	14	12	3	29	48.3%	41.4%	D+6.9
Precinct -5710857108	9	20	0	29	31.0%	69.0%	R+37.9
Precinct -1510515105	12	14	2	28	42.9%	50.0%	R+7.1
Precinct -2515225152	13	12	3	28	46.4%	42.9%	D+3.6
Precinct -2510725107	13	14	0	27	48.1%	51.9%	R+3.7
Precinct -4717347173	9	16	2	27	33.3%	59.3%	R+25.9
Precinct -5412254122	9	17	1	27	33.3%	63.0%	R+29.6
Precinct -1714117141	9	17	0	26	34.6%	65.4%	R+30.8
Precinct -1719917199	3	22	1	26	11.5%	84.6%	R+73.1
Precinct -4722747227	4	21	0	25	16.0%	84.0%	R+68.0
Precinct -5710557105	7	15	3	25	28.0%	60.0%	R+32.0
Precinct -2511025110	13	11	0	24	54.2%	45.8%	D+8.3
Precinct -2710227102	6	18	0	24	25.0%	75.0%	R+50.0
Precinct -3711337113	4	20	0	24	16.7%	83.3%	R+66.7
Precinct -5714357143	2	22	0	24	8.3%	91.7%	R+83.3
Precinct -1712817128	8	15	0	23	34.8%	65.2%	R+30.4
Precinct -5716057160	8	15	0	23	34.8%	65.2%	R+30.4
Precinct -1713617136	3	19	0	22	13.6%	86.4%	R+72.7
Precinct -1720917209	2	19	1	22	9.1%	86.4%	R+77.3
Precinct -4710447104	6	16	0	22	27.3%	72.7%	R+45.5
Precinct -4720347203	2	19	1	22	9.1%	86.4%	R+77.3
Precinct -4724847248	2	20	0	22	9.1%	90.9%	R+81.8
Precinct -1712717127	5	15	1	21	23.8%	71.4%	R+47.6
Precinct -1714317143	14	6	1	21	66.7%	28.6%	D+38.1
Precinct -1715617156	1	20	0	21	4.8%	95.2%	R+90.5
Precinct -1716217162	4	17	0	21	19.0%	81.0%	R+61.9
Precinct -1717817178	9	12	0	21	42.9%	57.1%	R+14.3
Precinct -3713437134	8	13	0	21	38.1%	61.9%	R+23.8
Precinct -4721547215	5	16	0	21	23.8%	76.2%	R+52.4
Precinct -4724547245	6	14	1	21	28.6%	66.7%	R+38.1
Precinct -1715417154	2	18	0	20	10.0%	90.0%	R+80.0
Precinct -4713747137	7	13	0	20	35.0%	65.0%	R+30.0
Precinct -4725147251	5	12	3	20	25.0%	60.0%	R+35.0
Precinct -5713857138	3	17	0	20	15.0%	85.0%	R+70.0
Precinct -1719017190	9	10	0	19	47.4%	52.6%	R+5.3
Precinct -4211542115	4	12	3	19	21.1%	63.2%	R+42.1
Precinct -4713347133	9	9	1	19	47.4%	47.4%	Even
Precinct -4715547155	5	14	0	19	26.3%	73.7%	R+47.4
Precinct -4722847228	9	10	0	19	47.4%	52.6%	R+5.3
Precinct -5711157111	6	13	0	19	31.6%	68.4%	R+36.8
Precinct -1712317123	11	7	0	18	61.1%	38.9%	D+22.2
Precinct -1714217142	13	5	0	18	72.2%	27.8%	D+44.4
Precinct -1716317163	5	13	0	18	27.8%	72.2%	R+44.4
Precinct -1716517165	3	15	0	18	16.7%	83.3%	R+66.7
Precinct -5712657126	7	11	0	18	38.9%	61.1%	R+22.2
Precinct -5715557155	11	7	0	18	61.1%	38.9%	D+22.2
Precinct -1311313113	6	11	0	17	35.3%	64.7%	R+29.4
Precinct -1717517175	13	4	0	17	76.5%	23.5%	D+52.9
Precinct -4211042110	5	12	0	17	29.4%	70.6%	R+41.2
Precinct -4712147121	6	11	0	17	35.3%	64.7%	R+29.4
Precinct -4712247122	5	11	1	17	29.4%	64.7%	R+35.3
Precinct -4714747147	7	9	0	16	43.8%	56.3%	R+12.5
Precinct -4722147221	3	13	0	16	18.8%	81.3%	R+62.5
Precinct -5611856118	4	12	0	16	25.0%	75.0%	R+50.0
Precinct -2711727117	5	10	0	15	33.3%	66.7%	R+33.3
Precinct -4510245102	12	3	0	15	80.0%	20.0%	D+60.0
Precinct -4711447114	9	6	0	15	60.0%	40.0%	D+20.0
Precinct -5610856108	9	5	1	15	60.0%	33.3%	D+26.7
Precinct -5712557125	4	11	0	15	26.7%	73.3%	R+46.7
Precinct -1713517135	8	6	0	14	57.1%	42.9%	D+14.3
Precinct -1716917169	3	11	0	14	21.4%	78.6%	R+57.1
Precinct -1721217212	0	14	0	14	0.0%	100.0%	R+100.0
Precinct -2711627116	9	5	0	14	64.3%	35.7%	D+28.6
Precinct -4210242102	2	12	0	14	14.3%	85.7%	R+71.4
Precinct -4710247102	1	12	1	14	7.1%	85.7%	R+78.6
Precinct -4715247152	4	9	1	14	28.6%	64.3%	R+35.7
Precinct -4715347153	4	9	1	14	28.6%	64.3%	R+35.7
Precinct -4715847158	8	6	0	14	57.1%	42.9%	D+14.3
Precinct -4716347163	2	12	0	14	14.3%	85.7%	R+71.4
Precinct -4720247202	1	13	0	14	7.1%	92.9%	R+85.7
Precinct -3711737117	3	10	0	13	23.1%	76.9%	R+53.8
Precinct -4722947229	5	8	0	13	38.5%	61.5%	R+23.1
Precinct -4724347243	4	9	0	13	30.8%	69.2%	R+38.5
Precinct -1712017120	5	7	0	12	41.7%	58.3%	R+16.7
Precinct -1719217192	2	10	0	12	16.7%	83.3%	R+66.7
Precinct -1720117201	2	10	0	12	16.7%	83.3%	R+66.7
Precinct -4713647136	8	4	0	12	66.7%	33.3%	D+33.3
Precinct -4715947159	3	8	1	12	25.0%	66.7%	R+41.7
Precinct -4716947169	0	12	0	12	0.0%	100.0%	R+100.0
Precinct -5413854138	5	6	1	12	41.7%	50.0%	R+8.3
Precinct -5716157161	2	10	0	12	16.7%	83.3%	R+66.7
Precinct -5716557165	2	9	1	12	16.7%	75.0%	R+58.3
Precinct -1311213112	7	4	0	11	63.6%	36.4%	D+27.3
Precinct -1710817108	2	7	2	11	18.2%	63.6%	R+45.5
Precinct -1721017210	3	7	1	11	27.3%	63.6%	R+36.4
Precinct -3110131101	1	10	0	11	9.1%	90.9%	R+81.8
Precinct -4716847168	8	3	0	11	72.7%	27.3%	D+45.5
Precinct -1717017170	3	5	2	10	30.0%	50.0%	R+20.0
Precinct -1718117181	0	10	0	10	0.0%	100.0%	R+100.0
Precinct -1719417194	0	10	0	10	0.0%	100.0%	R+100.0
Precinct -4718147181	0	10	0	10	0.0%	100.0%	R+100.0
Precinct -4719647196	1	9	0	10	10.0%	90.0%	R+80.0
Precinct -4721847218	0	10	0	10	0.0%	100.0%	R+100.0
Precinct -5610456104	0	10	0	10	0.0%	100.0%	R+100.0
Precinct -5716857168	7	3	0	10	70.0%	30.0%	D+40.0
Precinct -1713817138	0	9	0	9	0.0%	100.0%	R+100.0
Precinct -1310113101	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1311413114	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1500315003	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1511415114	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1512015120	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1700217002	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1700517005	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1700717007	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1701217012	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1701817018	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1702517025	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1710217102	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1710417104	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1710917109	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1711017110	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1711217112	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1711317113	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1711517115	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1711617116	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1711717117	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1711817118	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1712117121	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1712217122	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1712417124	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1712517125	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1713017130	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1713117131	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1713217132	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1713917139	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1714017140	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1714417144	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1714717147	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1714817148	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1714917149	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1715017150	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1715117151	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1715517155	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1715817158	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1715917159	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1716817168	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1717417174	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1718017180	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1718417184	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1718517185	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1718617186	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1719717197	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1719817198	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1720017200	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1720617206	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1720717207	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1720817208	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -1721117211	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -2510925109	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -2514925149	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -2710327103	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -2711027110	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -3111231112	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -3111331113	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -3700237002	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -3711137111	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -3711937119	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -3712037120	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -3712137121	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -3712237122	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -3712337123	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -3713137131	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -3713737137	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -3713837138	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4210142101	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4210442104	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4210842108	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4211142111	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4211242112	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4211342113	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4211742117	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4211842118	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4711147111	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4711247112	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4711347113	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4712047120	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4712747127	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4713247132	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4714347143	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4714547145	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4714847148	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4714947149	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4715647156	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4715747157	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4716247162	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4716547165	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4717247172	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4717447174	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4717547175	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4717647176	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4717747177	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4718247182	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4718547185	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4718647186	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4718747187	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4718947189	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4719147191	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4719447194	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4720647206	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4720747207	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4720847208	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4721047210	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4721147211	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4721347213	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4721447214	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4723047230	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4723247232	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4723347233	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4723547235	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4723647236	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4724447244	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4724647246	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4724747247	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4724947249	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -4725247252	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5400154001	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5410854108	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5411454114	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5411854118	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5412554125	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5412654126	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5414154141	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5414354143	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5414454144	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5414554145	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5600556005	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5610256102	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5610356103	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5610656106	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5611256112	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5611656116	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5700657006	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5701257012	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5701357013	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5710357103	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5710457104	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5710657106	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5710757107	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5711057110	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5711257112	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5711457114	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5711857118	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5711957119	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5712057120	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5712157121	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5712257122	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5712757127	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5713057130	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5713157131	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5713257132	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5713457134	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5713557135	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5713657136	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5713957139	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5714157141	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5714457144	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5714557145	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5714857148	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5714957149	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5715057150	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5715157151	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5715757157	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5715857158	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5715957159	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5716257162	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5716357163	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5716457164	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5716657166	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5716757167	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5716957169	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5717157171	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even
Precinct -5717257172	0	0	0	0	—	—	Even

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1876–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1876	+18.1%
1880	+17.5%
1884	+8.1%
1888	+11.1%
1892	+10.8%
1896	+25.7%
1900	+13.8%
1904	−5.5%
1908	−0.3%
1912	+46.8%
1916	+9.6%
1920	−35.0%
1924	−42.4%
1928	−21.7%
1932	+39.9%
1936	+47.2%
1940	+26.2%
1944	+16.9%
1948	+12.3%
1952	−6.3%
1956	+7.8%
1960	+12.9%
1964	+37.6%
1968	+10.1%
1972	−11.7%
1976	+5.6%
1980	−5.8%
1984	−18.8%
1988	−3.8%
1992	+4.4%
1996	+2.0%
2000	−6.7%
2004	−14.3%
2008	+8.3%
2012	+8.7%
2016	+12.1%
2020	+10.5%
2024	−4.4%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	46.5%Harris40,190	50.9%Trump43,955	1.4%Kennedy1,184 +4	R+4.4	R+14.9	R+2.9	86,392
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican50.9%43,955 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic46.5%40,190 Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent1.4%1,184 Jill SteinIndependent0.5%421 Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.4%352 Chase OliverLibertarian0.3%265 OtherAll other candidates0.0%25
2020	D	53.8%Biden48,991	43.3%Trump39,397	1.0%Jorgensen941	D+10.5	R+1.5	D+6.1	90,993
2016	D	52.5%Clinton37,317	40.4%Trump28,725	3.4%Johnson2,410	D+12.1	D+3.4	D+10.0	71,127
2012	D	53.0%Obama33,005	44.3%Romney27,581	0.8%Johnson516	D+8.7	D+0.4	D+4.9	62,222
2008	D	53.1%Obama34,031	44.8%McCain28,704	2.1%	D+8.3	D+22.6	D+1.0	64,051
2004	R	42.3%Kerry24,491	56.5%Bush32,773	1.2%	R+14.3	R+7.6	R+11.8	57,960
2000	R	45.1%Gore22,726	51.8%Bush26,102	2.3%Nader1,166	R+6.7	R+8.7	R+7.2	50,418
1996	D	46.4%Clinton21,786	44.4%Dole20,847	7.3%Perot3,427	D+2.0	R+2.4	R+6.5	46,938
1992	D	40.9%Clinton20,133	36.5%Bush17,981	22.1%Perot10,914	D+4.4	D+8.2	R+1.2	49,284
1988	R	47.4%Dukakis20,105	51.2%Bush21,717	1.4%	R+3.8	D+15.0	D+3.9	42,414
1984	R	40.0%Mondale17,012	58.8%Reagan24,997	1.1%	R+18.8	R+13.0	R+0.6	42,477
1980	R	42.9%Carter15,886	48.8%Reagan18,043	8.3%	R+5.8	R+11.4	D+3.9	36,996
1976	D	51.7%Carter16,637	46.1%Ford14,842	2.3%	D+5.6	D+17.3	D+3.5	32,208
1972	R	42.6%McGovern13,914	54.3%Nixon17,737	3.1%	R+11.7	R+21.8	D+11.4	32,648
1968	D	51.0%Humphrey14,453	40.9%Nixon11,595	8.1%	D+10.1	R+27.5	D+10.8	28,349
1964	D	68.7%Johnson19,431	31.2%Goldwater8,814	0.1%	D+37.6	D+24.7	D+15.0	28,269
1960	D	56.2%Kennedy15,545	43.4%Nixon11,990	0.4%	D+12.9	D+5.1	D+12.7	27,646
1956	D	53.8%Stevenson13,366	46.0%Eisenhower11,430	0.2%	D+7.8	D+14.1	D+23.2	24,852
1952	R	46.4%Stevenson11,316	52.7%Eisenhower12,865	0.9%	R+6.3	R+18.7	D+4.4	24,395
1948	D	54.9%Truman9,959	42.6%Dewey7,721	2.4%	D+12.3	R+4.6	D+7.9	18,124
1944	D	58.3%Roosevelt9,192	41.3%Dewey6,518	0.4%	D+16.9	R+9.3	D+9.5	15,779
1940	D	62.6%Roosevelt10,501	36.4%Willkie6,101	1.1%	D+26.2	R+21.0	D+16.3	16,784
1936	D	72.7%Roosevelt9,208	25.5%Landon3,230	1.8%	D+47.2	D+7.3	D+22.9	12,668
1932	D	67.1%Roosevelt7,202	27.2%Hoover2,920	5.7%	D+39.9	D+61.6	D+22.1	10,734
1928	R	38.5%Smith2,970	60.2%Hoover4,644	1.3%	R+21.7	D+20.7	R+4.2	7,718
1924	R	10.5%Davis710	52.9%Coolidge3,573	34.1%La Follette2,301	R+42.4	R+7.4	R+17.2	6,749
1920	R	28.0%Cox1,537	63.0%Harding3,457	9.0%	R+35.0	R+44.6	R+8.8	5,488
1916	D	50.4%Wilson2,637	40.7%Hughes2,132	8.9%	D+9.6	R+37.1	D+6.5	5,236
1912	O	46.8%Wilson1,978	0.0%Taft0	53.2%	Roosevelt +6.4	D+47.1	D+27.2	4,228
1908	R	44.3%Bryan1,100	44.6%Taft1,107	11.1%	R+0.3	D+5.2	D+9.3	2,483
1904	R	43.6%Parker863	49.1%Roosevelt972	7.4%	R+5.5	R+19.3	D+14.2	1,981
1900	D	55.4%Bryan1,081	41.6%McKinley811	3.0%	D+13.8	R+11.9	D+21.4	1,950
1896	D	62.0%Bryan1,117	36.2%McKinley653	1.8%	D+25.7	D+14.9	D+31.8	1,802
1892	D	50.5%Cleveland995	39.7%Harrison782	9.9%	D+10.8	R+0.3	D+9.1	1,972
1888	D	54.1%Cleveland972	43.0%Harrison773	2.8%	D+11.1	D+3.0	—	1,796
1884	D	53.6%Cleveland953	45.5%Blaine809	1.0%	D+8.1	R+9.4	—	1,779
1880	D	58.6%Hancock736	41.1%Garfield516	0.3%	D+17.5	R+0.5	—	1,256
1876	D	59.0%Tilden804	41.0%Hayes558	0.0%	D+18.1	—	—	1,362

Congressional elections · 2 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	48.6%78,299	51.4%82,834	161,133
2018	D	100.0%51,644	0.0%0	51,644

voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

Party registration · 2024D+11.3

Presidential vote · 2024R+4.4

Merced County, CA registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 16-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.

130,472 registered voters · 2024 · up from 124,827 in 2022

Democratic41.0%Republican29.7%Unaffiliated21.8%Other7.4%

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

−1,310 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net +90 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $51,206 in average income, against $61,841 for residents who stayed — 17% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean D+12.8 on average — 17 points more Democratic-leaning than Merced County, CA itself (R+4.4).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Stanislaus County, CA972R+11.0
Santa Clara County, CA674D+40.0
Fresno County, CA228R+4.4
San Joaquin County, CA215R+0.9
Alameda County, CA178D+53.6
Madera County, CA172R+20.8

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Stanislaus County, CA1,110
Santa Clara County, CA426
Fresno County, CA351
Sacramento County, CA232
Madera County, CA221
San Joaquin County, CA213

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Merced County, CA in Merced County, CA: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−338
2012	−1,127
2013	−1,508
2014	−286
2015	−705
2016	−1,317
2017	+1,012
2018	+1,046
2019	+1,381
2021	+3,329
2022	+1,459
2023	−656
2024	−890
2025	−1,310

Merced shifted to the Republican column by 4.4 points in 2024, a notable move for a majority-Hispanic agricultural county in California's Central Valley where dairy farming and field crops define the local economy.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 47.2 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 42.4 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 14.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.4 points.

A population of 290,201, a 23% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,510 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Stanislaus County and San Bernardino County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Stanislaus County

California

97.1twin score

elasticity% Latino2016 margin≠ % Catholic

San Bernardino County

California

94.9twin score

% Latino% White2016–2020 trajectory≠ population scale

Fresno County

California

94.7twin score

% Latino% White2016–2020 trajectory≠ % Asian

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Merced County, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/06047/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Cities & towns in Merced County

California at the ballot boxAll elections →

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Frequently asked questions

How did Merced County, California vote in 2024?

In 2024, Merced County, California voted Republican by 4.4 points (R+4.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 86,392 votes cast, 40,190 went Democratic and 43,955 went Republican.

When did Merced County, California last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Merced County, California voted Democratic was 2020.

How many people live in Merced County, California?

Merced County, California has a population of 290,201 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Merced County, California?

Median household income in Merced County, California is $65,510 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.

What is the political history of Merced County, California?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Merced County, California from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.

Year	Democrat	Republican	Others	Total
2024	40,190	43,955	2,247	86,392
2020	48,991	39,397	2,605	90,993
2016	37,317	28,725	5,085	71,127
2012	33,005	27,581	1,636	62,222
2008	34,031	28,704	1,316	64,051
2004	24,491	32,773	696	57,960

Year

Democrat

Republican

Others

Total

2024

40,190

43,955

2,247

86,392

2020

48,991

39,397

2,605

90,993

2016

37,317

28,725

5,085

71,127

2012

33,005

27,581

1,636

62,222

2008

34,031

28,704

1,316

64,051

2004

24,491

32,773

696

57,960

Measure	Merced County	California	United States
Median age	31.8	37.9	39.1
Age 18–24	11.3%	9.1%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	11.7%	15.6%	17.2%

Measure

Merced County

California

United States

Median age

31.8

37.9

39.1

Age 18–24

11.3%

9.1%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

11.7%

15.6%

17.2%

Measure	Merced County	California	United States
Median household income	$65,510	$99,122	$84,427
Poverty rate	19.1%	12.0%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	15.3%	36.6%	35.6%

Measure

Merced County

California

United States

Median household income

$65,510

$99,122

$84,427

Poverty rate

19.1%

12.0%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

15.3%

36.6%

35.6%

Measure	Merced County	California	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	52.7%	44.4%	22.3%
Spanish	44.2%	28.4%	13.6%
Other Indo-European	4.5%	3.4%	2.0%
Other Asian & Pacific Island	2.3%	2.0%	1.1%

Measure

Merced County

California

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

52.7%

44.4%

22.3%

Spanish

44.2%

28.4%

13.6%

Other Indo-European

4.5%

3.4%

2.0%

Other Asian & Pacific Island

2.3%

2.0%

1.1%

Measure	Merced County	California	United States
Catholic	33.9%	26.2%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	7.0%	9.0%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	54.9%	55.2%	51.5%

Measure

Merced County

California

United States

Catholic

33.9%

26.2%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

7.0%

9.0%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

54.9%

55.2%

51.5%

Merced County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -2511725117

667

672

1,368

48.8%

49.1%

R+0.4

Precinct -3110631106

522

501

1,046

49.9%

47.9%

D+2.0

Precinct -4722447224

230

720

972

23.7%

74.1%

R+50.4

Precinct -2513225132

479

416

930

51.5%

44.7%

D+6.8

Precinct -5413554135

420

468

908

46.3%

51.5%

R+5.3

Precinct -2511625116

574

290

895

64.1%

32.4%

D+31.7

Precinct -5413754137

272

579

873

31.2%

66.3%

R+35.2

Precinct -4719747197

414

390

828

50.0%

47.1%

D+2.9

Precinct -4510545105

488

300

819

59.6%

36.6%

D+23.0

Precinct -3111031110

348

447

815

42.7%

54.8%

R+12.1

Precinct -3111731117

350

443

813

43.1%

54.5%

R+11.4

Precinct -4713147131

404

376

808

50.0%

46.5%

D+3.5

Precinct -5413954139

378

399

804

47.0%

49.6%

R+2.6

Precinct -3712837128

262

509

790

33.2%

64.4%

R+31.3

Precinct -3710537105

405

358

783

51.7%

45.7%

D+6.0

Precinct -4722247222

159

593

766

20.8%

77.4%

R+56.7

Precinct -2512925129

375

357

755

49.7%

47.3%

D+2.4

Precinct -4720047200

341

382

747

45.6%

51.1%

R+5.5

Precinct -3510635106

451

264

741

60.9%

35.6%

D+25.2

Precinct -5410754107

448

268

733

61.1%

36.6%

D+24.6

Precinct -3510535105

376

313

712

52.8%

44.0%

D+8.8

Precinct -2512825128

378

303

707

53.5%

42.9%

D+10.6

Precinct -1310713107

444

241

698

63.6%

34.5%

D+29.1

Precinct -5412154121

371

307

697

53.2%

44.0%

D+9.2

Precinct -3712537125

182

499

688

26.5%

72.5%

R+46.1

Precinct -2511825118

341

317

670

50.9%

47.3%

D+3.6

Precinct -5412754127

382

247

649

58.9%

38.1%

D+20.8

Precinct -3712737127

182

460

648

28.1%

71.0%

R+42.9

Precinct -3110831108

317

310

645

49.1%

48.1%

D+1.1

Precinct -3510235102

329

279

628

52.4%

44.4%

D+8.0

Precinct -1310513105

314

278

613

51.2%

45.4%

D+5.9

Precinct -2515325153

357

237

613

58.2%

38.7%

D+19.6

Precinct -4713847138

342

254

610

56.1%

41.6%

D+14.4

Precinct -3111531115

316

260

596

53.0%

43.6%

D+9.4

Precinct -5410354103

336

235

588

57.1%

40.0%

D+17.2

Precinct -4210342103

258

318

587

44.0%

54.2%

R+10.2

Precinct -4713947139

292

273

580

50.3%

47.1%

D+3.3

Precinct -4510445104

293

260

578

50.7%

45.0%

D+5.7

Precinct -4722347223

137

433

576

23.8%

75.2%

R+51.4

Precinct -1311113111

298

263

573

52.0%

45.9%

D+6.1

Precinct -2510325103

276

277

567

48.7%

48.9%

R+0.2

Precinct -2511125111

266

280

567

46.9%

49.4%

R+2.5

Precinct -2512425124

291

246

559

52.1%

44.0%

D+8.1

Precinct -4722047220

101

440

549

18.4%

80.1%

R+61.7

Precinct -3112331123

208

318

539

38.6%

59.0%

R+20.4

Precinct -2513925139

269

250

532

50.6%

47.0%

D+3.6

Precinct -3110731107

226

291

525

43.0%

55.4%

R+12.4

Precinct -2513625136

263

242

514

51.2%

47.1%

D+4.1

Precinct -5412954129

263

228

501

52.5%

45.5%

D+7.0

Precinct -3111431114

264

223

498

53.0%

44.8%

D+8.2

Precinct -1511215112

300

184

497

60.4%

37.0%

D+23.3

Precinct -3112131121

179

307

497

36.0%

61.8%

R+25.8

Precinct -5412854128

301

187

495

60.8%

37.8%

D+23.0

Precinct -1310413104

218

255

490

44.5%

52.0%

R+7.6

Precinct -5610156101

185

293

489

37.8%

59.9%

R+22.1

Precinct -5413454134

223

251

488

45.7%

51.4%

R+5.7

Precinct -1310313103

215

259

485

44.3%

53.4%

R+9.1

Precinct -4210742107

222

253

479

46.3%

52.8%

R+6.5

Precinct -1718817188

271

197

478

56.7%

41.2%

D+15.5

Precinct -1510215102

268

196

477

56.2%

41.1%

D+15.1

Precinct -2710127101

423

476

88.9%

9.5%

D+79.4

Precinct -2510225102

221

237

472

46.8%

50.2%

R+3.4

Precinct -3110331103

188

274

471

39.9%

58.2%

R+18.3

Precinct -4210942109

193

263

469

41.2%

56.1%

R+14.9

Precinct -5414254142

227

222

465

48.8%

47.7%

D+1.1

Precinct -2510425104

255

197

462

55.2%

42.6%

D+12.6

Precinct -2711827118

219

223

461

47.5%

48.4%

R+0.9

Precinct -3110531105

194

256

457

42.5%

56.0%

R+13.6

Precinct -2710827108

207

237

454

45.6%

52.2%

R+6.6

Precinct -5411954119

263

178

453

58.1%

39.3%

D+18.8

Precinct -1310913109

241

200

450

53.6%

44.4%

D+9.1

Precinct -3112231122

184

256

450

40.9%

56.9%

R+16.0

Precinct -4510345103

216

205

441

49.0%

46.5%

D+2.5

Precinct -1511915119

254

170

438

58.0%

38.8%

D+19.2

Precinct -5411554115

262

162

438

59.8%

37.0%

D+22.8

Precinct -3510135101

220

201

437

50.3%

46.0%

D+4.3

Precinct -3710437104

235

192

436

53.9%

44.0%

D+9.9

Precinct -5412354123

223

185

435

51.3%

42.5%

D+8.7

Precinct -2512125121

189

230

430

44.0%

53.5%

R+9.5

Precinct -2514525145

206

428

48.1%

Even

Precinct -1511815118

252

163

427

59.0%

38.2%

D+20.8

Precinct -4719847198

212

190

422

50.2%

45.0%

D+5.2

Precinct -5411054110

243

156

420

57.9%

37.1%

D+20.7

Precinct -2514025140

215

193

418

51.4%

46.2%

D+5.3

Precinct -2513025130

198

197

413

47.9%

47.7%

D+0.2

Precinct -5411754117

232

174

413

56.2%

42.1%

D+14.0

Precinct -1510615106

261

141

412

63.3%

34.2%

D+29.1

Precinct -5414054140

190

212

409

46.5%

51.8%

R+5.4

Precinct -2512525125

181

214

405

44.7%

52.8%

R+8.1

Precinct -3111631116

151

246

405

37.3%

60.7%

R+23.5

Precinct -2510125101

227

167

403

56.3%

41.4%

D+14.9

Precinct -2512625126

191

202

400

47.8%

50.5%

R+2.8

Precinct -2711927119

131

257

399

32.8%

64.4%

R+31.6

Precinct -5610956109

235

146

396

59.3%

36.9%

D+22.5

Precinct -3110931109

194

184

389

49.9%

47.3%

D+2.6

Precinct -1718917189

250

127

388

64.4%

32.7%

D+31.7

Precinct -1510715107

257

111

380

67.6%

29.2%

D+38.4

Precinct -4722647226

302

374

17.9%

80.7%

R+62.8

Precinct -5410154101

206

158

370

55.7%

42.7%

D+13.0

Precinct -2512025120

157

198

368

42.7%

53.8%

R+11.1

Precinct -3111131111

149

208

367

40.6%

56.7%

R+16.1

Precinct -5410954109

218

141

367

59.4%

38.4%

D+21.0

Precinct -3111831118

177

179

360

49.2%

49.7%

R+0.6

Precinct -4711647116

102

237

350

29.1%

67.7%

R+38.6

Precinct -2513725137

153

182

338

45.3%

53.8%

R+8.6

Precinct -4723147231

240

336

27.1%

71.4%

R+44.3

Precinct -5413654136

165

158

336

49.1%

47.0%

D+2.1

Precinct -5611156111

162

167

336

48.2%

49.7%

R+1.5

Precinct -1310213102

202

129

334

60.5%

38.6%

D+21.9

Precinct -5413354133

156

170

333

46.8%

51.1%

R+4.2

Precinct -5410254102

169

154

331

51.1%

46.5%

D+4.5

Precinct -5411654116

178

132

328

54.3%

40.2%

D+14.0

Precinct -3111931119

138

172

315

43.8%

54.6%

R+10.8

Precinct -2513825138

204

311

65.6%

30.2%

D+35.4

Precinct -2511225112

156

143

309

50.5%

46.3%

D+4.2

Precinct -2710727107

132

167

308

42.9%

54.2%

R+11.4

Precinct -5412054120

162

125

300

54.0%

41.7%

D+12.3

Precinct -4719947199

150

134

285

52.6%

47.0%

D+5.6

Precinct -2514325143

154

119

283

54.4%

42.0%

D+12.4

Precinct -3510335103

168

273

61.5%

34.1%

D+27.5

Precinct -1511515115

120

131

266

45.1%

49.2%

R+4.1

Precinct -5412454124

116

143

266

43.6%

53.8%

R+10.2

Precinct -3110431104

160

264

36.7%

60.6%

R+23.9

Precinct -3112031120

109

151

264

41.3%

57.2%

R+15.9

Precinct -2515125151

135

115

259

52.1%

44.4%

D+7.7

Precinct -1310813108

133

114

258

51.6%

44.2%

D+7.4

Precinct -1511315113

165

251

65.7%

31.1%

D+34.7

Precinct -4719347193

144

250

39.6%

57.6%

R+18.0

Precinct -2514225142

124

117

249

49.8%

47.0%

D+2.8

Precinct -5411254112

146

243

60.1%

37.9%

D+22.2

Precinct -2511925119

119

109

238

50.0%

45.8%

D+4.2

Precinct -2513325133

119

104

228

52.2%

45.6%

D+6.6

Precinct -2514125141

126

226

55.8%

39.8%

D+15.9

Precinct -5714257142

172

225

21.8%

76.4%

R+54.7

Precinct -2512225122

126

221

57.0%

41.6%

D+15.4

Precinct -4718847188

103

108

219

47.0%

49.3%

R+2.3

Precinct -1717917179

155

208

24.5%

74.5%

R+50.0

Precinct -3510435104

102

206

47.6%

49.5%

R+1.9

Precinct -1510415104

122

203

60.1%

36.0%

D+24.1

Precinct -3710637106

110

202

40.1%

54.5%

R+14.4

Precinct -1710517105

197

48.2%

49.2%

R+1.0

Precinct -4720147201

197

48.7%

Even

Precinct -4715047150

157

196

18.4%

80.1%

R+61.7

Precinct -2511425114

194

44.8%

51.0%

R+6.2

Precinct -2513525135

121

189

64.0%

32.3%

D+31.7

Precinct -5411354113

109

184

59.2%

35.3%

D+23.9

Precinct -2511525115

108

181

38.7%

59.7%

R+21.0

Precinct -2513125131

121

181

66.9%

32.6%

D+34.3

Precinct -2514725147

181

54.7%

39.8%

D+14.9

Precinct -5711557115

140

181

19.3%

77.3%

R+58.0

Precinct -1510115101

130

180

72.2%

25.6%

D+46.7

Precinct -1510315103

178

50.0%

46.1%

D+3.9

Precinct -4721747217

123

178

27.5%

69.1%

R+41.6

Precinct -5610756107

177

43.5%

55.9%

R+12.4

Precinct -1311013110

174

43.7%

52.9%

R+9.2

Precinct -1713317133

112

173

32.9%

64.7%

R+31.8

Precinct -4710747107

111

171

33.3%

64.9%

R+31.6

Precinct -2511325113

170

45.3%

54.1%

R+8.8

Precinct -4710647106

137

170

16.5%

80.6%

R+64.1

Precinct -5410654106

170

55.3%

41.8%

D+13.5

Precinct -2710627106

121

167

25.1%

72.5%

R+47.3

Precinct -3110231102

167

41.9%

57.5%

R+15.6

Precinct -2514425144

166

57.2%

38.0%

D+19.3

Precinct -3711537115

133

165

18.2%

80.6%

R+62.4

Precinct -1716717167

106

164

33.5%

64.6%

R+31.1

Precinct -4710347103

117

161

27.3%

72.7%

R+45.3

Precinct -2711227112

159

34.6%

62.3%

R+27.7

Precinct -4210642106

158

44.3%

53.2%

R+8.9

Precinct -3710237102

157

39.5%

59.9%

R+20.4

Precinct -5410554105

154

55.2%

42.9%

D+12.3

Precinct -1512115121

100

153

65.4%

31.4%

D+34.0

Precinct -4711047110

111

149

20.8%

74.5%

R+53.7

Precinct -5714057140

106

146

24.7%

72.6%

R+47.9

Precinct -5714757147

102

142

24.6%

71.8%

R+47.2

Precinct -4723447234

111

141

20.6%

78.7%

R+58.2

Precinct -2711527115

139

36.0%

58.3%

R+22.3

Precinct -3711237112

105

139

22.3%

75.5%

R+53.2

Precinct -3712937129

138

33.3%

65.9%

R+32.6

Precinct -5413054130

137

56.2%

41.6%

D+14.6

Precinct -1511115111

133

69.2%

30.1%

D+39.1

Precinct -4719047190

133

38.3%

60.2%

R+21.8

Precinct -1510815108

131

64.1%

34.4%

D+29.8

Precinct -3711637116

129

23.3%

76.7%

R+53.5

Precinct -5714657146

129

67.4%

27.1%

D+40.3

Precinct -2510625106

127

54.3%

44.1%

D+10.2

Precinct -2514625146

123

48.0%

49.6%

R+1.6

Precinct -4717047170

123

37.4%

61.8%

R+24.4

Precinct -5715257152

123

58.5%

34.1%

D+24.4

Precinct -1710617106

122

63.1%

35.2%

D+27.9

Precinct -1310613106

120

38.3%

60.8%

R+22.5

Precinct -1710717107

120

52.5%

46.7%

D+5.8

Precinct -4714447144

120

27.5%

69.2%

R+41.7

Precinct -4719247192

120

40.0%

60.0%

R+20.0

Precinct -5712457124

118

28.8%

71.2%

R+42.4

Precinct -3711037110

117

43.6%

51.3%

R+7.7

Precinct -1720417204

115

57.4%

40.9%

D+16.5

Precinct -2512725127

115

59.1%

38.3%

D+20.9

Precinct -4710547105

114

23.7%

73.7%

R+50.0

Precinct -5710257102

114

31.6%

68.4%

R+36.8

Precinct -1718217182

111

18.9%

81.1%

R+62.2

Precinct -5611056110

111

44.1%

54.1%

R+9.9

Precinct -1720317203

110

50.0%

46.4%

D+3.6

Precinct -4713547135

109

34.9%

63.3%

R+28.4

Precinct -4716147161

109

33.0%

65.1%

R+32.1

Precinct -1710317103

108

31.5%

68.5%

R+37.0

Precinct -1720517205

108

57.4%

41.7%

D+15.7

Precinct -4714247142

107

58.9%

41.1%

D+17.8

Precinct -4722547225

106

22.6%

74.5%

R+51.9

Precinct -1720217202

102

40.2%

56.9%

R+16.7

Precinct -3710937109

100

47.0%

51.0%

R+4.0

Precinct -1716117161

15.2%

83.8%

R+68.7

Precinct -4210542105

44.4%

53.5%

R+9.1

Precinct -2710427104

32.0%

67.0%

R+35.1

Precinct -5711757117

20.6%

77.3%

R+56.7

Precinct -4711847118

27.7%

68.1%

R+40.4

Precinct -5713757137

23.7%

75.3%

R+51.6

Precinct -2711127111

35.9%

63.0%

R+27.2

Precinct -2515025150

48.4%

46.2%

D+2.2

Precinct -5710157101

48.9%

50.0%

R+1.1

Precinct -3713637136

31.5%

64.0%

R+32.6

Precinct -1719517195

26.1%

70.5%

R+44.3

Precinct -4714047140

30.7%

67.0%

R+36.4

Precinct -5413254132

48.9%

Even

Precinct -2513425134

49.4%

48.3%

D+1.1

Precinct -4717947179

48.3%

47.1%

D+1.1

Precinct -5712957129

40.2%

58.6%

R+18.4

Precinct -1719117191

29.1%

70.9%

R+41.9

Precinct -4710147101

27.2%

71.6%

R+44.4

Precinct -4715447154

31.3%

63.7%

R+32.5

Precinct -2514825148

65.4%

34.6%

D+30.8

Precinct -4211442114

51.3%

43.6%

D+7.7

Precinct -2512325123

53.2%

42.9%

D+10.4

Precinct -1511615116

50.7%

49.3%

D+1.4

Precinct -1511715117

73.2%

25.4%

D+47.9

Precinct -1715717157

18.3%

78.9%

R+60.6

Precinct -4721647216

25.4%

71.8%

R+46.5

Precinct -2515425154

45.7%

50.0%

R+4.3

Precinct -3712437124

24.3%

75.7%

R+51.4

Precinct -4717147171

42.9%

57.1%

R+14.3

Precinct -4723847238

22.9%

75.7%

R+52.9

Precinct -4713047130

49.3%

Even

Precinct -4712547125

43.9%

51.5%

R+7.6

Precinct -3710837108

47.7%

50.8%

R+3.1

Precinct -1714517145

46.9%

50.0%

R+3.1

Precinct -1510915109

66.7%

27.0%

D+39.7

Precinct -3713037130

41.9%

58.1%

R+16.1

Precinct -1719617196

13.1%

85.2%

R+72.1

Precinct -4713447134

19.7%

75.4%

R+55.7

Precinct -3710337103

44.1%

52.5%

R+8.5

Precinct -4712647126

44.1%

55.9%

R+11.9

Precinct -3711437114

32.8%

67.2%

R+34.5

Precinct -4717847178

32.8%

67.2%

R+34.5

Precinct -5611756117

27.6%

70.7%

R+43.1

Precinct -4714647146

21.1%

78.9%

R+57.9

Precinct -1711117111

25.0%

73.2%

R+48.2

Precinct -2711327113

37.5%

62.5%

R+25.0

Precinct -1718317183

7.3%

92.7%

R+85.5

Precinct -4716047160

29.6%

66.7%

R+37.0

Precinct -1717617176

66.0%

34.0%

D+32.1

Precinct -3710737107

39.6%

56.6%

R+17.0

Precinct -4712347123

58.5%

39.6%

D+18.9

Precinct -5410454104

49.1%

50.9%

R+1.9

Precinct -1717117171

73.1%

23.1%

D+50.0

Precinct -4710947109

34.6%

59.6%

R+25.0

Precinct -4716647166

21.2%

75.0%

R+53.8

Precinct -4724247242

34.0%

60.0%

R+26.0

Precinct -2711427114

34.7%

61.2%

R+26.5

Precinct -4720447204

44.9%

55.1%

R+10.2

Precinct -4725047250

12.2%

87.8%

R+75.5

Precinct -5411154111

59.2%

32.7%

D+26.5

Precinct -1511015110

41.7%

56.3%

R+14.6

Precinct -1713717137

70.8%

29.2%

D+41.7

Precinct -2710927109

48.9%

51.1%

R+2.1

Precinct -5715657156

63.0%

32.6%

D+30.4

Precinct -4723947239

17.8%

82.2%

R+64.4

Precinct -1710117101

32.6%

65.1%

R+32.6

Precinct -4720947209

20.9%

79.1%

R+58.1

Precinct -1717317173

71.4%

28.6%

D+42.9

Precinct -2510825108

52.5%

45.0%

D+7.5

Precinct -4712947129

20.0%

77.5%

R+57.5

Precinct -4714147141

25.0%

70.0%

R+45.0

Precinct -2712027120

56.4%

43.6%

D+12.8

Precinct -3710137101

43.6%

56.4%

R+12.8

Precinct -4718347183

23.1%

76.9%

R+53.8

Precinct -1715217152

2.6%

97.4%

R+94.7

Precinct -3711837118

40.5%

56.8%

R+16.2

Precinct -3713237132

13.5%

86.5%

R+73.0

Precinct -3713337133

32.4%

64.9%

R+32.4

Precinct -4712447124

16.2%

81.1%

R+64.9

Precinct -4718447184

24.3%

70.3%

R+45.9

Precinct -1718717187

25.0%

75.0%

R+50.0

Precinct -1716017160

28.6%

68.6%

R+40.0

Precinct -4716747167

29.4%

67.6%

R+38.2

Precinct -5611456114

26.5%

64.7%

R+38.2

Precinct -1716417164

21.2%

78.8%

R+57.6

Precinct -1716617166

39.4%

57.6%

R+18.2

Precinct -2515525155

81.8%

9.1%

D+72.7

Precinct -4723747237

9.1%

90.9%

R+81.8

Precinct -4711747117

34.4%

62.5%

R+28.1

Precinct -1719317193

25.8%

74.2%

R+48.4

Precinct -3713537135

22.6%

77.4%

R+54.8

Precinct -1712617126

36.7%

63.3%

R+26.7

Precinct -4721947219

26.7%

73.3%

R+46.7

Precinct -5715357153

50.0%

Even

Precinct -4715147151

48.3%

51.7%

R+3.4

Precinct -4716447164

48.3%

41.4%

D+6.9

Precinct -5710857108

31.0%

69.0%

R+37.9

Precinct -1510515105

42.9%

50.0%

R+7.1

Precinct -2515225152

46.4%

42.9%

D+3.6

Precinct -2510725107

48.1%

51.9%

R+3.7

Precinct -4717347173

33.3%

59.3%

R+25.9

Precinct -5412254122

33.3%

63.0%

R+29.6

Precinct -1714117141

34.6%

65.4%

R+30.8

Precinct -1719917199

11.5%

84.6%

R+73.1

Precinct -4722747227

16.0%

84.0%

R+68.0

Precinct -5710557105

28.0%

60.0%

R+32.0

Precinct -2511025110

54.2%

45.8%

D+8.3

Precinct -2710227102

25.0%

75.0%

R+50.0

Precinct -3711337113

16.7%

83.3%

R+66.7

Precinct -5714357143

8.3%

91.7%

R+83.3

Precinct -1712817128

34.8%

65.2%

R+30.4

Precinct -5716057160

34.8%

65.2%

R+30.4

Precinct -1713617136

13.6%

86.4%

R+72.7

Precinct -1720917209

9.1%

86.4%

R+77.3

Precinct -4710447104

27.3%

72.7%

R+45.5

Precinct -4720347203

9.1%

86.4%

R+77.3

Precinct -4724847248

9.1%

90.9%

R+81.8

Precinct -1712717127

23.8%

71.4%

R+47.6

Precinct -1714317143

66.7%

28.6%

D+38.1

Precinct -1715617156

4.8%

95.2%

R+90.5

Precinct -1716217162

19.0%

81.0%

R+61.9

Precinct -1717817178

42.9%

57.1%

R+14.3

Precinct -3713437134

38.1%

61.9%

R+23.8

Precinct -4721547215

23.8%

76.2%

R+52.4

Precinct -4724547245

28.6%

66.7%

R+38.1

Precinct -1715417154

10.0%

90.0%

R+80.0

Precinct -4713747137

35.0%

65.0%

R+30.0

Precinct -4725147251

25.0%

60.0%

R+35.0

Precinct -5713857138

15.0%

85.0%

R+70.0

Precinct -1719017190

47.4%

52.6%

R+5.3

Precinct -4211542115

21.1%

63.2%

R+42.1

Precinct -4713347133

47.4%

Even

Precinct -4715547155

26.3%

73.7%

R+47.4

Precinct -4722847228

47.4%

52.6%

R+5.3

Precinct -5711157111

31.6%

68.4%

R+36.8

Precinct -1712317123

61.1%

38.9%

D+22.2

Precinct -1714217142

72.2%

27.8%

D+44.4

Precinct -1716317163

27.8%

72.2%

R+44.4

Precinct -1716517165

16.7%

83.3%

R+66.7

Precinct -5712657126

38.9%

61.1%

R+22.2

Precinct -5715557155

61.1%

38.9%

D+22.2

Precinct -1311313113

35.3%

64.7%

R+29.4

Precinct -1717517175

76.5%

23.5%

D+52.9

Precinct -4211042110

29.4%

70.6%

R+41.2

Precinct -4712147121

35.3%

64.7%

R+29.4

Precinct -4712247122

29.4%

64.7%

R+35.3

Precinct -4714747147

43.8%

56.3%

R+12.5

Precinct -4722147221

18.8%

81.3%

R+62.5

Precinct -5611856118

25.0%

75.0%

R+50.0

Precinct -2711727117

33.3%

66.7%

R+33.3

Precinct -4510245102

80.0%

20.0%

D+60.0

Precinct -4711447114

60.0%

40.0%

D+20.0

Precinct -5610856108

60.0%

33.3%

D+26.7

Precinct -5712557125

26.7%

73.3%

R+46.7

Precinct -1713517135

57.1%

42.9%

D+14.3

Precinct -1716917169

21.4%

78.6%

R+57.1

Precinct -1721217212

0.0%

100.0%

R+100.0

Precinct -2711627116

64.3%

35.7%

D+28.6

Precinct -4210242102

14.3%

85.7%

R+71.4

Precinct -4710247102

7.1%

85.7%

R+78.6

Precinct -4715247152

28.6%

64.3%

R+35.7

Precinct -4715347153

28.6%

64.3%

R+35.7

Precinct -4715847158

57.1%

42.9%

D+14.3

Precinct -4716347163

14.3%

85.7%

R+71.4

Precinct -4720247202

7.1%

92.9%

R+85.7

Precinct -3711737117

23.1%

76.9%

R+53.8

Precinct -4722947229

38.5%

61.5%

R+23.1

Precinct -4724347243

30.8%

69.2%

R+38.5

Precinct -1712017120

41.7%

58.3%

R+16.7

Precinct -1719217192

16.7%

83.3%

R+66.7

Precinct -1720117201

16.7%

83.3%

R+66.7

Precinct -4713647136

66.7%

33.3%

D+33.3

Precinct -4715947159

25.0%

66.7%

R+41.7

Precinct -4716947169

0.0%

100.0%

R+100.0

Precinct -5413854138

41.7%

50.0%

R+8.3

Precinct -5716157161

16.7%

83.3%

R+66.7

Precinct -5716557165

16.7%

75.0%

R+58.3

Precinct -1311213112

63.6%

36.4%

D+27.3

Precinct -1710817108

18.2%

63.6%

R+45.5

Precinct -1721017210

27.3%

63.6%

R+36.4

Precinct -3110131101

9.1%

90.9%

R+81.8

Precinct -4716847168

72.7%

27.3%

D+45.5

Precinct -1717017170

30.0%

50.0%

R+20.0

Precinct -1718117181

0.0%

100.0%

R+100.0

Precinct -1719417194

0.0%

100.0%

R+100.0

Precinct -4718147181

0.0%

100.0%

R+100.0

Precinct -4719647196

10.0%

90.0%

R+80.0

Precinct -4721847218

0.0%

100.0%

R+100.0

Precinct -5610456104

0.0%

100.0%

R+100.0

Precinct -5716857168

70.0%

30.0%

D+40.0

Precinct -1713817138

0.0%

100.0%

R+100.0

Precinct -1310113101

—

Even

Precinct -1311413114

—

Even

Precinct -1500315003

—

Even

Precinct -1511415114

—

Even

Precinct -1512015120

—

Even

Precinct -1700217002

—

Even

Precinct -1700517005

—

Even

Precinct -1700717007

—

Even

Precinct -1701217012

—

Even

Precinct -1701817018

—

Even

Precinct -1702517025

—

Even

Precinct -1710217102

—

Even

Precinct -1710417104

—

Even

Precinct -1710917109

—

Even

Precinct -1711017110

—

Even

Precinct -1711217112

—

Even

Precinct -1711317113

—

Even

Precinct -1711517115

—

Even

Precinct -1711617116

—

Even

Precinct -1711717117

—

Even

Precinct -1711817118

—

Even

Precinct -1712117121

—

Even

Precinct -1712217122

—

Even

Precinct -1712417124

—

Even

Precinct -1712517125

—

Even

Precinct -1713017130

—

Even

Precinct -1713117131

—

Even

Precinct -1713217132

—

Even

Precinct -1713917139

—

Even

Precinct -1714017140

—

Even

Precinct -1714417144

—

Even

Precinct -1714717147

—

Even

Precinct -1714817148

—

Even

Precinct -1714917149

—

Even

Precinct -1715017150

—

Even

Precinct -1715117151

—

Even

Precinct -1715517155

—

Even

Precinct -1715817158

—

Even

Precinct -1715917159

—

Even

Precinct -1716817168

—

Even

Precinct -1717417174

—

Even

Precinct -1718017180

—

Even

Precinct -1718417184

—

Even

Precinct -1718517185

—

Even

Precinct -1718617186

—

Even

Precinct -1719717197

—

Even

Precinct -1719817198

—

Even

Precinct -1720017200

—

Even

Precinct -1720617206

—

Even

Precinct -1720717207

—

Even

Precinct -1720817208

—

Even

Precinct -1721117211

—

Even

Precinct -2510925109

—

Even

Precinct -2514925149

—

Even

Precinct -2710327103

—

Even

Precinct -2711027110

—

Even

Precinct -3111231112

—

Even

Precinct -3111331113

—

Even

Precinct -3700237002

—

Even

Precinct -3711137111

—

Even

Precinct -3711937119

—

Even

Precinct -3712037120

—

Even

Precinct -3712137121

—

Even

Precinct -3712237122

—

Even

Precinct -3712337123

—

Even

Precinct -3713137131

—

Even

Precinct -3713737137

—

Even

Precinct -3713837138

—

Even

Precinct -4210142101

—

Even

Precinct -4210442104

—

Even

Precinct -4210842108

—

Even

Precinct -4211142111

—

Even

Precinct -4211242112

—

Even

Precinct -4211342113

—

Even

Precinct -4211742117

—

Even

Precinct -4211842118

—

Even

Precinct -4711147111

—

Even

Precinct -4711247112

—

Even

Precinct -4711347113

—

Even

Precinct -4712047120

—

Even

Precinct -4712747127

—

Even

Precinct -4713247132

—

Even

Precinct -4714347143

—

Even

Precinct -4714547145

—

Even

Precinct -4714847148

—

Even

Precinct -4714947149

—

Even

Precinct -4715647156

—

Even

Precinct -4715747157

—

Even

Precinct -4716247162

—

Even

Precinct -4716547165

—

Even

Precinct -4717247172

—

Even

Precinct -4717447174

—

Even

Precinct -4717547175

—

Even

Precinct -4717647176

—

Even

Precinct -4717747177

—

Even

Precinct -4718247182

—

Even

Precinct -4718547185

—

Even

Precinct -4718647186

—

Even

Precinct -4718747187

—

Even

Precinct -4718947189

—

Even

Precinct -4719147191

—

Even

Precinct -4719447194

—

Even

Precinct -4720647206

—

Even

Precinct -4720747207

—

Even

Precinct -4720847208

—

Even

Precinct -4721047210

—

Even

Precinct -4721147211

—

Even

Precinct -4721347213

—

Even

Precinct -4721447214

—

Even

Precinct -4723047230

—

Even

Precinct -4723247232

—

Even

Precinct -4723347233

—

Even

Precinct -4723547235

—

Even

Precinct -4723647236

—

Even

Precinct -4724447244

—

Even

Precinct -4724647246

—

Even

Precinct -4724747247

—

Even

Precinct -4724947249

—

Even

Precinct -4725247252

—

Even

Precinct -5400154001

—

Even

Precinct -5410854108

—

Even

Precinct -5411454114

—

Even

Precinct -5411854118

—

Even

Precinct -5412554125

—

Even

Precinct -5412654126

—

Even

Precinct -5414154141

—

Even

Precinct -5414354143

—

Even

Precinct -5414454144

—

Even

Precinct -5414554145

—

Even

Precinct -5600556005

—

Even

Precinct -5610256102

—

Even

Precinct -5610356103

—

Even

Precinct -5610656106

—

Even

Precinct -5611256112

—

Even

Precinct -5611656116

—

Even

Precinct -5700657006

—

Even

Precinct -5701257012

—

Even

Precinct -5701357013

—

Even

Precinct -5710357103

—

Even

Precinct -5710457104

—

Even

Precinct -5710657106

—

Even

Precinct -5710757107

—

Even

Precinct -5711057110

—

Even

Precinct -5711257112

—

Even

Precinct -5711457114

—

Even

Precinct -5711857118

—

Even

Precinct -5711957119

—

Even

Precinct -5712057120

—

Even

Precinct -5712157121

—

Even

Precinct -5712257122

—

Even

Precinct -5712757127

—

Even

Precinct -5713057130

—

Even

Precinct -5713157131

—

Even

Precinct -5713257132

—

Even

Precinct -5713457134

—

Even

Precinct -5713557135

—

Even

Precinct -5713657136

—

Even

Precinct -5713957139

—

Even

Precinct -5714157141

—

Even

Precinct -5714457144

—

Even

Precinct -5714557145

—

Even

Precinct -5714857148

—

Even

Precinct -5714957149

—

Even

Precinct -5715057150

—

Even

Precinct -5715157151

—

Even

Precinct -5715757157

—

Even

Precinct -5715857158

—

Even

Precinct -5715957159

—

Even

Precinct -5716257162

—

Even

Precinct -5716357163

—

Even

Precinct -5716457164

—

Even

Precinct -5716657166

—

Even

Precinct -5716757167

—

Even

Precinct -5716957169

—

Even

Precinct -5717157171

—

Even

Precinct -5717257172

—

Even

Presidential margin, 1876–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1876	+18.1%
1880	+17.5%
1884	+8.1%
1888	+11.1%
1892	+10.8%
1896	+25.7%
1900	+13.8%
1904	−5.5%
1908	−0.3%
1912	+46.8%
1916	+9.6%
1920	−35.0%
1924	−42.4%
1928	−21.7%
1932	+39.9%
1936	+47.2%
1940	+26.2%
1944	+16.9%
1948	+12.3%
1952	−6.3%
1956	+7.8%
1960	+12.9%
1964	+37.6%
1968	+10.1%
1972	−11.7%
1976	+5.6%
1980	−5.8%
1984	−18.8%
1988	−3.8%
1992	+4.4%
1996	+2.0%
2000	−6.7%
2004	−14.3%
2008	+8.3%
2012	+8.7%
2016	+12.1%
2020	+10.5%
2024	−4.4%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

46.5%Harris40,190

50.9%Trump43,955

1.4%Kennedy1,184 +4

R+4.4

R+14.9

R+2.9

86,392

All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican50.9%43,955
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic46.5%40,190
Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent1.4%1,184
Jill SteinIndependent0.5%421
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.4%352
Chase OliverLibertarian0.3%265
OtherAll other candidates0.0%25

2020

53.8%Biden48,991

43.3%Trump39,397

1.0%Jorgensen941

D+10.5

R+1.5

D+6.1

90,993

2016

52.5%Clinton37,317

40.4%Trump28,725

3.4%Johnson2,410

D+12.1

D+3.4

D+10.0

71,127

2012

53.0%Obama33,005

44.3%Romney27,581

0.8%Johnson516

D+8.7

D+0.4

D+4.9

62,222

2008

53.1%Obama34,031

44.8%McCain28,704

2.1%

D+8.3

D+22.6

D+1.0

64,051

2004

42.3%Kerry24,491

56.5%Bush32,773

1.2%

R+14.3

R+7.6

R+11.8

57,960

2000

45.1%Gore22,726

51.8%Bush26,102

2.3%Nader1,166

R+6.7

R+8.7

R+7.2

50,418

1996

46.4%Clinton21,786

44.4%Dole20,847

7.3%Perot3,427

D+2.0

R+2.4

R+6.5

46,938

1992

40.9%Clinton20,133

36.5%Bush17,981

22.1%Perot10,914

D+4.4

D+8.2

R+1.2

49,284

1988

47.4%Dukakis20,105

51.2%Bush21,717

1.4%

R+3.8

D+15.0

D+3.9

42,414

1984

40.0%Mondale17,012

58.8%Reagan24,997

1.1%

R+18.8

R+13.0

R+0.6

42,477

1980

42.9%Carter15,886

48.8%Reagan18,043

8.3%

R+5.8

R+11.4

D+3.9

36,996

1976

51.7%Carter16,637

46.1%Ford14,842

2.3%

D+5.6

D+17.3

D+3.5

32,208

1972

42.6%McGovern13,914

54.3%Nixon17,737

3.1%

R+11.7

R+21.8

D+11.4

32,648

1968

51.0%Humphrey14,453

40.9%Nixon11,595

8.1%

D+10.1

R+27.5

D+10.8

28,349

1964

68.7%Johnson19,431

31.2%Goldwater8,814

0.1%

D+37.6

D+24.7

D+15.0

28,269

1960

56.2%Kennedy15,545

43.4%Nixon11,990

0.4%

D+12.9

D+5.1

D+12.7

27,646

1956

53.8%Stevenson13,366

46.0%Eisenhower11,430

0.2%

D+7.8

D+14.1

D+23.2

24,852

1952

46.4%Stevenson11,316

52.7%Eisenhower12,865

0.9%

R+6.3

R+18.7

D+4.4

24,395

1948

54.9%Truman9,959

42.6%Dewey7,721

2.4%

D+12.3

R+4.6

D+7.9

18,124

1944

58.3%Roosevelt9,192

41.3%Dewey6,518

0.4%

D+16.9

R+9.3

D+9.5

15,779

1940

62.6%Roosevelt10,501

36.4%Willkie6,101

1.1%

D+26.2

R+21.0

D+16.3

16,784

1936

72.7%Roosevelt9,208

25.5%Landon3,230

1.8%

D+47.2

D+7.3

D+22.9

12,668

1932

67.1%Roosevelt7,202

27.2%Hoover2,920

5.7%

D+39.9

D+61.6

D+22.1

10,734

1928

38.5%Smith2,970

60.2%Hoover4,644

1.3%

R+21.7

D+20.7

R+4.2

7,718

1924

10.5%Davis710

52.9%Coolidge3,573

34.1%La Follette2,301

R+42.4

R+7.4

R+17.2

6,749

1920

28.0%Cox1,537

63.0%Harding3,457

9.0%

R+35.0

R+44.6

R+8.8

5,488

1916

50.4%Wilson2,637

40.7%Hughes2,132

8.9%

D+9.6

R+37.1

D+6.5

5,236

1912

46.8%Wilson1,978

0.0%Taft0

53.2%

Roosevelt +6.4

D+47.1

D+27.2

4,228

1908

44.3%Bryan1,100

44.6%Taft1,107

11.1%

R+0.3

D+5.2

D+9.3

2,483

1904

43.6%Parker863

49.1%Roosevelt972

7.4%

R+5.5

R+19.3

D+14.2

1,981

1900

55.4%Bryan1,081

41.6%McKinley811

3.0%

D+13.8

R+11.9

D+21.4

1,950

1896

62.0%Bryan1,117

36.2%McKinley653

1.8%

D+25.7

D+14.9

D+31.8

1,802

1892

50.5%Cleveland995

39.7%Harrison782

9.9%

D+10.8

R+0.3

D+9.1

1,972

1888

54.1%Cleveland972

43.0%Harrison773

2.8%

D+11.1

D+3.0

—

1,796

1884

53.6%Cleveland953

45.5%Blaine809

1.0%

D+8.1

R+9.4

—

1,779

1880

58.6%Hancock736

41.1%Garfield516

0.3%

D+17.5

R+0.5

—

1,256

1876

59.0%Tilden804

41.0%Hayes558

0.0%

D+18.1

—

1,362

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

48.6%78,299

51.4%82,834

161,133

2018

100.0%51,644

0.0%0

51,644

Frequently asked questions

How did Merced County, California vote in 2024?

In 2024, Merced County, California voted Republican by 4.4 points (R+4.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 86,392 votes cast, 40,190 went Democratic and 43,955 went Republican.

When did Merced County, California last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Merced County, California voted Democratic was 2020.

How many people live in Merced County, California?

Merced County, California has a population of 290,201 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Merced County, California?

Median household income in Merced County, California is $65,510 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.

What is the political history of Merced County, California?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Merced County, California from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.

presidential margin

presidential returns

Who lives here

Communities and origins

Age and life stage

Household economy

Languages at home

Religious landscape

Results by precinct

Presidential margin, 1876–2024

U.S. Senate

Registered voters

Who moves in and out

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions

presidential margin

presidential returns

Who lives here

Communities and origins

Age and life stage

Household economy

Languages at home

Religious landscape

Results by precinct

Presidential margin, 1876–2024

U.S. Senate

Registered voters

Who moves in and out

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions