Monterey County, California: New American county. In 2024, voted D+30%. Republican peak: R+50 in 1924.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+30MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- New AmericanAkashic typology
- Population
- 437,6132024 5-year
- Median household income
- $97,2302024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 36.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 61.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+46 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Shelby County, TN · similarity 1.00
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | −7.7% |
| 1880 | −2.2% |
| 1884 | −3.3% |
| 1888 | −0.2% |
| 1892 | −2.5% |
| 1896 | +6.6% |
| 1900 | −3.5% |
| 1904 | −25.0% |
| 1908 | −18.8% |
| 1912 | +46.3% |
| 1916 | +3.5% |
| 1920 | −42.8% |
| 1924 | −49.7% |
| 1928 | −27.0% |
| 1932 | +17.4% |
| 1936 | +23.4% |
| 1940 | +11.0% |
| 1944 | +7.8% |
| 1948 | −4.5% |
| 1952 | −24.5% |
| 1956 | −19.3% |
| 1960 | −12.8% |
| 1964 | +23.9% |
| 1968 | −8.1% |
| 1972 | −17.5% |
| 1976 | −5.0% |
| 1980 | −21.2% |
| 1984 | −15.4% |
| 1988 | −1.0% |
| 1992 | +15.8% |
| 1996 | +16.5% |
| 2000 | +20.3% |
| 2004 | +22.0% |
| 2008 | +38.3% |
| 2012 | +36.9% |
| 2016 | +40.6% |
| 2020 | +41.3% |
| 2024 | +29.9% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 93,060 | 49,226 | 146,754 | ||
| D | 113,953 | 46,299 | 163,923 | ||
| D | 89,088 | 34,895 | 133,408 | ||
| D | 82,920 | 37,390 | 123,518 | ||
| D | 88,453 | 38,797 | 129,783 | ||
| D | 75,241 | 47,838 | 124,653 | ||
| D | 67,618 | 43,761 | 117,534 | ||
| D | 57,700 | 39,794 | 108,558 | ||
| D | 54,861 | 36,461 | 116,689 | ||
| R | 48,998 | 50,022 | 100,381 | ||
| R | 40,733 | 55,710 | 97,470 | ||
| R | 29,086 | 47,452 | 86,794 | ||
| R | 36,849 | 40,896 | 80,153 | ||
| R | 32,545 | 47,004 | 82,408 | ||
| R | 28,261 | 33,670 | 67,124 | ||
| D | 40,093 | 24,579 | 64,844 | ||
| R | 25,805 | 33,428 | 59,413 | ||
| R | 19,932 | 29,514 | 49,573 | ||
| R | 17,411 | 28,786 | 46,451 | ||
| R | 15,704 | 17,233 | 34,063 | ||
| D | 14,342 | 12,246 | 26,728 | ||
| D | 14,758 | 11,810 | 26,833 | ||
| D | 12,267 | 7,565 | 20,067 | ||
| D | 8,942 | 6,200 | 15,750 | ||
| R | 4,138 | 7,228 | 11,452 | ||
| R | 886 | 4,744 | 7,768 | ||
| R | 1,771 | 4,817 | 7,109 | ||
| D | 3,878 | 3,599 | 8,032 | ||
| O | 3,392 | 0 | 7,332 | ||
| R | 1,616 | 2,486 | 4,635 | ||
| R | 1,415 | 2,453 | 4,146 | ||
| R | 1,825 | 1,964 | 3,920 | ||
| D | 2,149 | 1,878 | 4,099 | ||
| R | 1,606 | 1,709 | 4,103 | ||
| R | 1,866 | 1,875 | 3,862 | ||
| R | 1,381 | 1,476 | 2,910 | ||
| R | 1,205 | 1,260 | 2,502 | ||
| R | 1,012 | 1,182 | 2,197 |
Demographics
Monterey County's large Latino population—many tied to the Salinas Valley's $9 billion agriculture industry—anchors a Democratic margin that has held above 25 points in every presidential cycle since 2008.
Monterey County has leaned Democratic in recent presidential elections, reaching a Democratic margin of forty-six points in 1912. Between 2020 and 2024 it moved eleven points toward the Republican candidate — part of the sharpest rightward shift recorded among any group of places in the country.
Its demographics describe the shift: a 36% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $97,230, and a population of 437,613. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Shelby County and Santa Clara County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Monterey County, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/06053/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
