Flagler County, Florida: Florida Surge county. In 2024, voted R+28%. Democratic peak: D+67 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+28MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Florida SurgeAkashic typology
- Population
- 126,5282024 5-year
- Median household income
- $77,3632024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 74.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+67 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- St. Clair County, MI · similarity 0.98
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | No data |
| 1916 | No data |
| 1920 | +35.3% |
| 1924 | +34.1% |
| 1928 | −19.0% |
| 1932 | +67.0% |
| 1936 | +65.4% |
| 1940 | +60.5% |
| 1944 | +55.7% |
| 1948 | −0.2% |
| 1952 | −2.6% |
| 1956 | +16.2% |
| 1960 | +37.3% |
| 1964 | +13.4% |
| 1968 | +13.6% |
| 1972 | −48.2% |
| 1976 | +24.4% |
| 1980 | −7.0% |
| 1984 | −24.2% |
| 1988 | −21.0% |
| 1992 | +2.7% |
| 1996 | +6.7% |
| 2000 | +4.7% |
| 2004 | −2.7% |
| 2008 | +1.6% |
| 2012 | −7.4% |
| 2016 | −20.6% |
| 2020 | −20.8% |
| 2024 | −28.3% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 28,420 | 51,009 | 79,952 | ||
| R | 28,161 | 43,043 | 71,716 | ||
| R | 22,026 | 33,850 | 57,503 | ||
| R | 23,207 | 26,969 | 50,595 | ||
| D | 24,726 | 23,951 | 49,031 | ||
| R | 18,578 | 19,633 | 38,480 | ||
| D | 13,897 | 12,618 | 27,116 | ||
| D | 9,585 | 8,234 | 20,079 | ||
| D | 6,693 | 6,246 | 16,355 | ||
| R | 4,244 | 6,504 | 10,782 | ||
| R | 3,000 | 4,913 | 7,914 | ||
| R | 2,503 | 2,895 | 5,600 | ||
| D | 2,086 | 1,262 | 3,373 | ||
| R | 493 | 1,409 | 1,902 | ||
| O | 601 | 360 | 1,778 | ||
| D | 940 | 718 | 1,658 | ||
| D | 933 | 426 | 1,359 | ||
| D | 690 | 498 | 1,188 | ||
| R | 486 | 512 | 998 | ||
| O | 153 | 154 | 648 | ||
| D | 401 | 114 | 515 | ||
| D | 553 | 136 | 689 | ||
| D | 507 | 106 | 613 | ||
| D | 475 | 94 | 569 | ||
| R | 219 | 325 | 559 | ||
| D | 202 | 75 | 372 | ||
| D | 206 | 74 | 374 | ||
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Demographics
Flagler's population nearly doubled between 2000 and 2020, driven largely by retirees settling in planned communities like Palm Coast. That demographic influx has accompanied a consistent rightward trend in presidential margins, reaching R+28.2 in 2024.
The Democratic margin here once reached sixty-seven points in 1932. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved eight points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty-eight points.
A population of 126,528, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,363 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of St. Clair County and Clark County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Flagler County, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/12035/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
