Flagler County, Florida
Precinct data
Results by precinct
21 precincts · 80,217 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -501501 | 2,566 | 4,764 | 72 | 7,402 | 34.7% | 64.4% | R+29.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -506506 | 2,783 | 4,102 | 65 | 6,950 | 40.0% | 59.0% | R+19.0 |
| Precinct -401401 | 1,667 | 3,593 | 64 | 5,324 | 31.3% | 67.5% | R+36.2 |
| Precinct -513513 | 1,670 | 3,075 | 53 | 4,798 | 34.8% | 64.1% | R+29.3 |
| Precinct -505505 | 1,679 | 2,738 | 33 | 4,450 | 37.7% | 61.5% | R+23.8 |
| Precinct -509509 | 1,650 | 2,739 | 48 | 4,437 | 37.2% | 61.7% | R+24.5 |
| Precinct -511511 | 1,414 | 2,725 | 39 | 4,178 | 33.8% | 65.2% | R+31.4 |
| Precinct -510510 | 1,350 | 2,352 | 28 | 3,730 | 36.2% | 63.1% | R+26.9 |
| Precinct -507507 | 1,467 | 2,197 | 52 | 3,716 | 39.5% | 59.1% | R+19.6 |
| Precinct -508508 | 1,468 | 2,169 | 34 | 3,671 | 40.0% | 59.1% | R+19.1 |
| Precinct -201201 | 1,166 | 2,369 | 30 | 3,565 | 32.7% | 66.5% | R+33.7 |
| Precinct -512512 | 1,176 | 2,317 | 25 | 3,518 | 33.4% | 65.9% | R+32.4 |
| Precinct -103103 | 1,025 | 2,379 | 35 | 3,439 | 29.8% | 69.2% | R+39.4 |
| Precinct -502502 | 1,223 | 2,021 | 42 | 3,286 | 37.2% | 61.5% | R+24.3 |
| Precinct -504504 | 1,254 | 1,698 | 28 | 2,980 | 42.1% | 57.0% | R+14.9 |
| Precinct -503503 | 1,223 | 1,699 | 30 | 2,952 | 41.4% | 57.6% | R+16.1 |
| Precinct -515515 | 885 | 1,899 | 22 | 2,806 | 31.5% | 67.7% | R+36.1 |
| Precinct -514514 | 970 | 1,656 | 23 | 2,649 | 36.6% | 62.5% | R+25.9 |
| Precinct -101101 | 776 | 1,585 | 8 | 2,369 | 32.8% | 66.9% | R+34.1 |
| Precinct -102102 | 351 | 1,845 | 18 | 2,214 | 15.9% | 83.3% | R+67.5 |
| Precinct -202202 | 668 | 1,092 | 23 | 1,783 | 37.5% | 61.2% | R+23.8 |
Presidential margin, 1920–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1920 | +35.3% |
| 1924 | +34.1% |
| 1928 | −19.0% |
| 1932 | +67.0% |
| 1936 | +65.4% |
| 1940 | +60.5% |
| 1944 | +55.7% |
| 1948 | −0.2% |
| 1952 | −2.6% |
| 1956 | +16.2% |
| 1960 | +37.3% |
| 1964 | +13.4% |
| 1968 | +13.6% |
| 1972 | −48.2% |
| 1976 | +24.4% |
| 1980 | −7.0% |
| 1984 | −24.2% |
| 1988 | −21.0% |
| 1992 | +2.7% |
| 1996 | +6.7% |
| 2000 | +4.7% |
| 2004 | −2.7% |
| 2008 | +1.6% |
| 2012 | −7.4% |
| 2016 | −20.6% |
| 2020 | −20.8% |
| 2024 | −28.2% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 3.7 points more Democratic.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 78,769 | 24,551 | 31,939 | 21,937 | 342 |
| 2018 | 83,203 | 25,687 | 34,260 | 22,675 | 581 |
| 2019 | 85,828 | 26,227 | 35,866 | 22,926 | 809 |
| 2020 | 92,869 | 28,291 | 40,582 | 22,719 | 1,277 |
| 2021 | 92,799 | 27,065 | 40,873 | 23,353 | 1,508 |
| 2023 | 90,793 | 23,583 | 43,581 | 21,396 | 2,233 |
| 2024 | 98,766 | 24,373 | 48,563 | 22,355 | 3,475 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+4,860 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +48,586 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $91,922 in average income, against $84,719 for residents who stayed — 9% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+9.2 on average — 19 points more Democratic-leaning than Flagler County, FL itself (R+28.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Volusia County, FL956R+21.8
- St. Johns County, FL373R+31.3
- Duval County, FL250R+1.5
- Orange County, FL139D+13.6
- Broward County, FL138D+17.0
- Palm Beach County, FL109D+0.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Volusia County, FL828
- St. Johns County, FL339
- Duval County, FL220
- Putnam County, FL118
- Orange County, FL97
- Brevard County, FL61
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +1,417 |
| 2012 | +1,039 |
| 2013 | +1,642 |
| 2014 | +2,322 |
| 2015 | +2,747 |
| 2016 | +3,274 |
| 2017 | +2,906 |
| 2018 | +2,491 |
| 2019 | +3,537 |
| 2021 | +6,218 |
| 2022 | +6,171 |
| 2023 | +5,050 |
| 2024 | +4,912 |
| 2025 | +4,860 |
Flagler's population nearly doubled between 2000 and 2020, driven largely by retirees settling in planned communities like Palm Coast. That demographic influx has accompanied a consistent rightward trend in presidential margins, reaching R+28.2 in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 67.0 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 48.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 7.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 28.2 points.
A population of 126,528, a 72% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,363 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sarasota County and Charlotte County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Flagler County, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/12035/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.