Monroe County, Florida: Florida Surge county. In 2024, voted R+18%. Democratic peak: D+91 in 1892.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+18MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Florida SurgeAkashic typology
- Population
- 81,8602024 5-year
- Median household income
- $87,7382024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 69.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 24.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+91 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Chickasaw County, MS · similarity 0.95
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | −1.0% |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +91.0% |
| 1896 | +9.2% |
| 1900 | +43.9% |
| 1904 | +35.4% |
| 1908 | +34.6% |
| 1912 | +33.2% |
| 1916 | +26.9% |
| 1920 | +26.8% |
| 1924 | +46.5% |
| 1928 | +24.5% |
| 1932 | +78.8% |
| 1936 | +80.5% |
| 1940 | +79.7% |
| 1944 | +74.6% |
| 1948 | +71.3% |
| 1952 | +25.3% |
| 1956 | +12.9% |
| 1960 | +34.2% |
| 1964 | +29.7% |
| 1968 | +3.0% |
| 1972 | −44.6% |
| 1976 | +14.4% |
| 1980 | −17.1% |
| 1984 | −35.5% |
| 1988 | −21.9% |
| 1992 | +1.9% |
| 1996 | +9.8% |
| 2000 | +1.3% |
| 2004 | +0.5% |
| 2008 | +4.9% |
| 2012 | +0.4% |
| 2016 | −6.9% |
| 2020 | −7.9% |
| 2024 | −18.4% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 17,923 | 26,063 | 44,316 | ||
| R | 21,881 | 25,693 | 48,029 | ||
| R | 18,971 | 21,904 | 42,478 | ||
| D | 19,404 | 19,234 | 39,057 | ||
| D | 20,907 | 18,933 | 40,272 | ||
| D | 19,654 | 19,467 | 39,535 | ||
| D | 16,487 | 16,063 | 33,895 | ||
| D | 15,251 | 12,076 | 32,544 | ||
| D | 10,450 | 9,898 | 28,789 | ||
| R | 10,157 | 15,928 | 26,405 | ||
| R | 7,774 | 16,332 | 24,115 | ||
| R | 7,920 | 11,644 | 21,806 | ||
| D | 11,079 | 8,232 | 19,757 | ||
| R | 4,469 | 11,688 | 16,193 | ||
| D | 5,534 | 5,094 | 14,899 | ||
| D | 8,936 | 4,842 | 13,778 | ||
| D | 6,972 | 3,416 | 10,388 | ||
| D | 4,327 | 3,337 | 7,664 | ||
| D | 4,941 | 2,943 | 7,884 | ||
| D | 3,759 | 548 | 4,503 | ||
| D | 3,882 | 566 | 4,448 | ||
| D | 4,102 | 463 | 4,565 | ||
| D | 2,605 | 282 | 2,887 | ||
| D | 2,838 | 336 | 3,174 | ||
| D | 1,899 | 1,142 | 3,092 | ||
| D | 835 | 262 | 1,232 | ||
| D | 979 | 510 | 1,747 | ||
| D | 730 | 345 | 1,431 | ||
| D | 1,023 | 414 | 1,836 | ||
| D | 630 | 227 | 1,166 | ||
| D | 680 | 287 | 1,111 | ||
| D | 747 | 252 | 1,127 | ||
| D | 452 | 369 | 906 | ||
| D | 767 | 0 | 843 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| R | 888 | 906 | 1,794 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Monroe County, anchored by the Florida Keys, shifted to an R+18.3 margin in 2024—a striking result for a tourism-driven coastal enclave where transient workers and retirees share a narrow string of barrier islands.
The Democratic margin here once reached ninety-one points in 1892. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved ten points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was eighteen points.
A population of 81,860, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $87,738 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chickasaw County and Macomb County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Monroe County, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/12087/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
