Monroe County, Florida
Precinct data
Results by precinct
33 precincts · 44,502 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -1111 | 898 | 1,222 | 20 | 2,140 | 42.0% | 57.1% | R+15.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -0505 | 1,256 | 797 | 30 | 2,083 | 60.3% | 38.3% | D+22.0 |
| Precinct -2929 | 619 | 1,408 | 24 | 2,051 | 30.2% | 68.6% | R+38.5 |
| Precinct -1515 | 587 | 1,325 | 27 | 1,939 | 30.3% | 68.3% | R+38.1 |
| Precinct -2626 | 610 | 1,260 | 18 | 1,888 | 32.3% | 66.7% | R+34.4 |
| Precinct -3232 | 614 | 1,116 | 19 | 1,749 | 35.1% | 63.8% | R+28.7 |
| Precinct -1212 | 586 | 1,059 | 27 | 1,672 | 35.0% | 63.3% | R+28.3 |
| Precinct -1919 | 604 | 993 | 15 | 1,612 | 37.5% | 61.6% | R+24.1 |
| Precinct -1616 | 510 | 1,058 | 23 | 1,591 | 32.1% | 66.5% | R+34.4 |
| Precinct -0909 | 725 | 724 | 20 | 1,469 | 49.4% | 49.3% | D+0.1 |
| Precinct -1313 | 570 | 822 | 14 | 1,406 | 40.5% | 58.5% | R+17.9 |
| Precinct -0202 | 689 | 696 | 13 | 1,398 | 49.3% | 49.8% | R+0.5 |
| Precinct -1414 | 422 | 924 | 11 | 1,357 | 31.1% | 68.1% | R+37.0 |
| Precinct -2525 | 438 | 902 | 12 | 1,352 | 32.4% | 66.7% | R+34.3 |
| Precinct -2424 | 417 | 897 | 13 | 1,327 | 31.4% | 67.6% | R+36.2 |
| Precinct -1010 | 718 | 562 | 16 | 1,296 | 55.4% | 43.4% | D+12.0 |
| Precinct -0808 | 737 | 532 | 19 | 1,288 | 57.2% | 41.3% | D+15.9 |
| Precinct -2727 | 443 | 812 | 17 | 1,272 | 34.8% | 63.8% | R+29.0 |
| Precinct -3333 | 354 | 880 | 12 | 1,246 | 28.4% | 70.6% | R+42.2 |
| Precinct -0606 | 822 | 389 | 21 | 1,232 | 66.7% | 31.6% | D+35.1 |
| Precinct -1717 | 431 | 770 | 15 | 1,216 | 35.4% | 63.3% | R+27.9 |
| Precinct -3030 | 448 | 751 | 9 | 1,208 | 37.1% | 62.2% | R+25.1 |
| Precinct -2828 | 432 | 752 | 15 | 1,199 | 36.0% | 62.7% | R+26.7 |
| Precinct -3131 | 422 | 739 | 5 | 1,166 | 36.2% | 63.4% | R+27.2 |
| Precinct -0101 | 520 | 624 | 12 | 1,156 | 45.0% | 54.0% | R+9.0 |
| Precinct -2323 | 337 | 744 | 16 | 1,097 | 30.7% | 67.8% | R+37.1 |
| Precinct -0303 | 571 | 431 | 15 | 1,017 | 56.1% | 42.4% | D+13.8 |
| Precinct -2020 | 301 | 668 | 12 | 981 | 30.7% | 68.1% | R+37.4 |
| Precinct -0707 | 522 | 428 | 12 | 962 | 54.3% | 44.5% | D+9.8 |
| Precinct -1818 | 297 | 590 | 7 | 894 | 33.2% | 66.0% | R+32.8 |
| Precinct -2121 | 280 | 587 | 4 | 871 | 32.1% | 67.4% | R+35.2 |
| Precinct -0404 | 583 | 197 | 9 | 789 | 73.9% | 25.0% | D+48.9 |
| Precinct -2222 | 170 | 405 | 3 | 578 | 29.4% | 70.1% | R+40.7 |
Presidential margin, 1884–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1884 | −1.0% |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +91.0% |
| 1896 | +9.2% |
| 1900 | +43.9% |
| 1904 | +35.4% |
| 1908 | +34.6% |
| 1912 | +33.2% |
| 1916 | +26.9% |
| 1920 | +26.8% |
| 1924 | +46.5% |
| 1928 | +24.5% |
| 1932 | +78.8% |
| 1936 | +80.5% |
| 1940 | +79.7% |
| 1944 | +74.6% |
| 1948 | +71.3% |
| 1952 | +25.3% |
| 1956 | +12.9% |
| 1960 | +34.2% |
| 1964 | +29.7% |
| 1968 | +3.0% |
| 1972 | −44.6% |
| 1976 | +14.4% |
| 1980 | −17.1% |
| 1984 | −35.5% |
| 1988 | −21.9% |
| 1992 | +1.9% |
| 1996 | +9.8% |
| 2000 | +1.3% |
| 2004 | +0.5% |
| 2008 | +4.9% |
| 2012 | +0.4% |
| 2016 | −6.9% |
| 2020 | −7.9% |
| 2024 | −18.3% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 1.9 points.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 55,452 | 17,797 | 21,520 | 15,692 | 443 |
| 2018 | 53,818 | 17,511 | 21,169 | 14,468 | 670 |
| 2019 | 53,462 | 17,413 | 21,213 | 13,988 | 848 |
| 2020 | 58,134 | 18,927 | 23,972 | 14,073 | 1,162 |
| 2021 | 57,945 | 18,165 | 23,901 | 14,610 | 1,269 |
| 2023 | 51,706 | 14,961 | 23,281 | 12,064 | 1,400 |
| 2024 | 52,945 | 15,017 | 23,703 | 12,419 | 1,806 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−1,931 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −8,586 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $171,960 in average income, against $172,907 for residents who stayed — 1% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+3.9 on average — 14 points more Democratic-leaning than Monroe County, FL itself (R+18.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Miami-Dade County, FL423R+11.4
- Broward County, FL169D+17.0
- Palm Beach County, FL104D+0.8
- Lee County, FL61R+28.4
- Orange County, FL50D+13.6
- Pinellas County, FL43R+5.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Miami-Dade County, FL337
- Broward County, FL136
- Palm Beach County, FL123
- Lee County, FL98
- Orange County, FL80
- Pinellas County, FL70
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +411 |
| 2012 | +165 |
| 2013 | +764 |
| 2014 | +8 |
| 2015 | −10 |
| 2016 | −183 |
| 2017 | −790 |
| 2018 | −1,991 |
| 2019 | −750 |
| 2021 | −592 |
| 2022 | −749 |
| 2023 | −1,504 |
| 2024 | −1,434 |
| 2025 | −1,931 |
Monroe County, anchored by the Florida Keys, shifted to an R+18.3 margin in 2024—a striking result for a tourism-driven coastal enclave where transient workers and retirees share a narrow string of barrier islands.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 91.0 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 44.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 10.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.3 points.
A population of 81,860, a 64% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $87,738 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Santa Fe County and Taos County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Monroe County, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/12087/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.