Seminole County, Florida: Diversifying Metro county. In 2024, voted R+4%. Republican peak: R+62 in 1972.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+4MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Diversifying MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 481,4702024 5-year
- Median household income
- $85,7612024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 59.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 23.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+55 in 1916MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Virginia Beach city, VA · similarity 0.98
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | No data |
| 1916 | +55.3% |
| 1920 | +30.2% |
| 1924 | +36.1% |
| 1928 | −19.8% |
| 1932 | +38.6% |
| 1936 | +48.4% |
| 1940 | +39.4% |
| 1944 | +37.0% |
| 1948 | +11.9% |
| 1952 | −20.0% |
| 1956 | −30.3% |
| 1960 | −29.3% |
| 1964 | −5.0% |
| 1968 | −19.4% |
| 1972 | −61.8% |
| 1976 | −15.1% |
| 1980 | −37.3% |
| 1984 | −51.9% |
| 1988 | −45.1% |
| 1992 | −18.2% |
| 1996 | −12.8% |
| 2000 | −12.0% |
| 2004 | −16.8% |
| 2008 | −2.8% |
| 2012 | −6.5% |
| 2016 | −1.6% |
| 2020 | +2.8% |
| 2024 | −3.6% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 120,647 | 129,704 | 253,616 | ||
| D | 132,528 | 125,241 | 260,815 | ||
| R | 105,914 | 109,443 | 224,896 | ||
| R | 96,445 | 109,943 | 208,620 | ||
| R | 99,335 | 105,070 | 205,895 | ||
| R | 76,971 | 108,172 | 186,195 | ||
| R | 59,227 | 75,790 | 137,805 | ||
| R | 45,058 | 59,797 | 114,904 | ||
| R | 35,660 | 57,101 | 117,560 | ||
| R | 22,635 | 60,401 | 83,658 | ||
| R | 17,795 | 56,244 | 74,092 | ||
| R | 17,443 | 39,989 | 60,439 | ||
| R | 19,609 | 26,655 | 46,813 | ||
| R | 6,503 | 27,658 | 34,212 | ||
| R | 6,120 | 10,821 | 24,216 | ||
| R | 9,125 | 10,078 | 19,203 | ||
| R | 4,891 | 8,936 | 13,827 | ||
| R | 3,125 | 5,841 | 8,966 | ||
| R | 3,120 | 4,683 | 7,803 | ||
| D | 2,261 | 1,665 | 5,007 | ||
| D | 2,940 | 1,352 | 4,292 | ||
| D | 3,150 | 1,369 | 4,519 | ||
| D | 2,580 | 897 | 3,477 | ||
| D | 2,142 | 948 | 3,090 | ||
| R | 1,187 | 1,788 | 3,036 | ||
| D | 945 | 372 | 1,586 | ||
| D | 1,485 | 767 | 2,376 | ||
| D | 706 | 155 | 996 | ||
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Demographics
Seminole County, anchored by Sanford and a dense ring of Orlando exurbs, has trended toward competitive margins over the past decade as college-educated suburban voters have reshaped its electorate.
The Democratic margin here reached fifty-five points in 1916. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved six points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was four points.
A population of 481,470, a 59% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $85,761 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Virginia Beach city and Morris County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Seminole County, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/12117/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
