- Lead
- 742
- Total
- 2,931
- vs nation
- D+26.8
- Turnout
- 45.0%
Wilkinson County, MS
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 45.0% of 6,513 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,425
- Total
- 4,127
- vs nation
- D+30.1
- Turnout
- 61.1%
- Lead
- 1,539
- Total
- 4,218
- vs nation
- D+34.4
- Turnout
- 58.6%
- Lead
- 1,997
- Total
- 4,853
- vs nation
- D+37.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,974
- Total
- 5,139
- vs nation
- D+31.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,231
- Total
- 4,385
- vs nation
- D+30.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,128
- Total
- 4,098
- vs nation
- D+27.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,791
- Total
- 4,102
- vs nation
- D+35.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+25.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8,1622024 5-year
- Population density
- 12 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 678 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $35,3112024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 28.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 67.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+98.9 in 1908MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+86.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Macon County, GA · twin score 98.9
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 45.0%2,931 participants ÷ 6,513 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +25.6 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- -2.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 19.4%–23.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2,931 | 6,513 ± 34 | 45.0% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 2,395 | 6,751 ± 40 | 35.5% | Audited | A/A |
| 4,201 | 6,875 ± 27 | 61.1% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 2,832 | 7,059 ± 26 | 40.1% | Audited | A/A |
| 4,218 | 7,204 ± 30 | 58.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 4,853 | 7,539 | 64.4% | Derived | — | |
| 5,139 | 7,704 | 66.7% | Derived | — | |
| 4,385 | 7,869 extrapolated | 55.7% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Wilkinson County only. The complete district District 2 result is shown below for comparison.
Wilkinson County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
District District 2 result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 18 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
18 precincts · 2,931 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Centreville 3rd 3010Centreville 3rd 3010 | 353 | 288 | 10 | 651 | 54.2% | 44.2% | D+10.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Woodville 4th 4010Woodville 4th 4010 | 490 | 114 | 11 | 615 | 79.7% | 18.5% | D+61.1 |
| Precinct -Centreville 1st 1020Centreville 1st 1020 | 328 | 71 | 8 | 407 | 80.6% | 17.4% | D+63.1 |
| Precinct -Woodville 5th 5010Woodville 5th 5010 | 182 | 194 | 3 | 379 | 48.0% | 51.2% | R+3.2 |
| Precinct -Longmire 5020Longmire 5020 | 122 | 197 | 1 | 320 | 38.1% | 61.6% | R+23.4 |
| Precinct -Woodville 1010Woodville 1010 | 170 | 100 | 2 | 272 | 62.5% | 36.8% | D+25.7 |
| Precinct -Fort Adams 2020Fort Adams 2020 | 97 | 50 | 2 | 149 | 65.1% | 33.6% | D+31.5 |
| Precinct -Cold Springs 4020Cold Springs 4020 | 75 | 60 | 2 | 137 | 54.7% | 43.8% | D+10.9 |
| Precinct -Woodville 2nd 2010Woodville 2nd 2010 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Centreville First District Precinct28_28157102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Centreville Third District Precinct28_28157301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cold Springs Precinct28_28157402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fort Adams Precinct28_28157202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Longmire Precinct28_28157502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Woodville Fifth District Precinct28_28157501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Woodville First District Precinct28_28157101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Woodville Fourth District Precinct28_28157401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Woodville Second District Precinct28_28157201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Wilkinson County, MS · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1908
99.1%
530 votes · D+98.9
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · 98.9%
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
93.5%
1,473 votes · R+86.9
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 55.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
3,534votes
68.8% of the vote · D+38.4
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 3,412 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
1,722votes
39.3% of the vote · D+20.6
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 1,608 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+118.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+92.6 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +117.5 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+109.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+86.9 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1948 · +2.0 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Wilkinson County, MS. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 7,446 |
| 2018 | 7,096 |
| 2020 | 7,129 |
| 2022 | 7,054 |
| 2024 | 6,854 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−174 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,743 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $57,175 in average income, against $51,528 for residents who stayed — 11% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+11.1 on average — 14 points more Republican-leaning than Wilkinson County, MS itself (D+25.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- East Baton Rouge Parish, LA20D+11.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- East Baton Rouge Parish, LA43
- Amite County, MS21
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −292 |
| 2012 | −133 |
| 2013 | −128 |
| 2014 | −147 |
| 2015 | −81 |
| 2016 | −23 |
| 2017 | −145 |
| 2018 | −29 |
| 2019 | −116 |
| 2021 | −155 |
| 2022 | −72 |
| 2023 | −123 |
| 2024 | −125 |
| 2025 | −174 |
Wilkinson County, tucked into Mississippi's southwestern corner along the Louisiana border, is among the state's most reliably Democratic counties, driven by a majority African American population in a state that otherwise votes heavily Republican at the federal level.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 98.9 points in 1908 and a Republican high of 86.9 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 9.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.3 points.
A population of 8,162, a 28% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $35,311 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Macon County and Hale County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Wilkinson County, Mississippi. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/28157/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.