Bear Lake County, Idaho: Stable Rural Right county. In 2024, voted R+77%. Republican peak: R+77 in 2012.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+77MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Stable Rural RightAkashic typology
- Population
- 6,6502024 5-year
- Median household income
- $75,2602024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 95.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+55 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+77 in 2012MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Sterling County, TX · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Bear Lake CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Bear Lake County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −33.9% |
| 1896 | +54.7% |
| 1900 | +0.7% |
| 1904 | −33.1% |
| 1908 | −21.8% |
| 1912 | −14.2% |
| 1916 | +11.9% |
| 1920 | −23.3% |
| 1924 | −24.6% |
| 1928 | −22.2% |
| 1932 | −1.8% |
| 1936 | +19.3% |
| 1940 | +7.0% |
| 1944 | +3.6% |
| 1948 | +2.3% |
| 1952 | −28.7% |
| 1956 | −28.3% |
| 1960 | −11.3% |
| 1964 | +13.7% |
| 1968 | −26.1% |
| 1972 | −47.0% |
| 1976 | −36.1% |
| 1980 | −68.2% |
| 1984 | −69.8% |
| 1988 | −40.8% |
| 1992 | −30.0% |
| 1996 | −27.7% |
| 2000 | −61.4% |
| 2004 | −66.2% |
| 2008 | −63.7% |
| 2012 | −77.5% |
| 2016 | −66.5% |
| 2020 | −77.3% |
| 2024 | −77.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 346 | 2,908 | 3,325 | ||
| R | 350 | 2,914 | 3,315 | ||
| R | 255 | 2,203 | 2,928 | ||
| R | 302 | 2,489 | 2,822 | ||
| R | 502 | 2,377 | 2,943 | ||
| R | 494 | 2,506 | 3,040 | ||
| R | 517 | 2,296 | 2,899 | ||
| R | 805 | 1,583 | 2,808 | ||
| R | 562 | 1,419 | 2,854 | ||
| R | 867 | 2,084 | 2,980 | ||
| R | 481 | 2,760 | 3,267 | ||
| R | 508 | 2,941 | 3,567 | ||
| R | 960 | 2,094 | 3,144 | ||
| R | 716 | 2,213 | 3,185 | ||
| R | 1,058 | 1,866 | 3,101 | ||
| D | 1,857 | 1,409 | 3,266 | ||
| R | 1,563 | 1,963 | 3,526 | ||
| R | 1,218 | 2,181 | 3,399 | ||
| R | 1,274 | 2,300 | 3,574 | ||
| D | 1,664 | 1,590 | 3,280 | ||
| D | 1,732 | 1,613 | 3,347 | ||
| D | 2,026 | 1,761 | 3,787 | ||
| D | 2,078 | 1,404 | 3,486 | ||
| R | 1,721 | 1,785 | 3,509 | ||
| R | 1,146 | 1,802 | 2,955 | ||
| R | 881 | 1,611 | 2,973 | ||
| R | 1,138 | 1,831 | 2,969 | ||
| D | 1,566 | 1,229 | 2,829 | ||
| R | 916 | 1,271 | 2,494 | ||
| R | 933 | 1,460 | 2,416 | ||
| R | 769 | 1,538 | 2,321 | ||
| D | 1,077 | 1,061 | 2,166 | ||
| D | 851 | 249 | 1,101 | ||
| O | 0 | 114 | 336 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
37.4%
German
9.4%
Irish
5.0%
American
4.6%
Scottish
2.5%
Italian
1.8%
Polish
0.9%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$75,260
Bear Lake County ranks in the top 25% of US counties.
Bear Lake County$75,260
Idaho$77,800
United States$80,734
Bear Lake County ranks in the top 25% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
7.0%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 186.1%
Working age (18–64)7.0%
Seniors (65+)10.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
96.4%
speak English only
Spanish2.1%
Other Indo-European1.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 9.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Bear Lake's 2024 presidential margin of R+77.3 ranks among the widest in Idaho, reflecting a rural, majority-LDS population concentrated near the Utah border whose voting patterns closely mirror neighboring Cache and Rich counties across the state line.
The Republican margin here reached seventy-seven points in 2012. The 2024 margin was seventy-seven points.
A population of 6,650, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,260 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sterling County and Caribou County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Bear Lake County, Idaho. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/16007/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More stable rural right counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Bear Lake County, Idaho vote in 2024?
In 2024, Bear Lake County, Idaho voted Republican by 77.1 points (R+77), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,325 votes cast, 346 went Democratic and 2,908 went Republican.
What is Bear Lake County, Idaho's political typology?
Akashic places Bear Lake County, Idaho in the "Stable Rural Right" typology — Mountain, Plains, and rural Republican counties already near their ceiling, with little further room to swing. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 8 times, Republican 25 times, and other 1 times.
When did Bear Lake County, Idaho last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Bear Lake County, Idaho voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Bear Lake County, Idaho?
Bear Lake County, Idaho has a population of 6,650 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bear Lake County, Idaho?
Median household income in Bear Lake County, Idaho is $75,260 — below the national median of $80,734. The Idaho state median is $77,800.
What is the political history of Bear Lake County, Idaho?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Bear Lake County, Idaho from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 25 went Republican. The county's typology — "Stable Rural Right" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.