Bear Lake County, Idaho
Precinct data
Results by precinct
15 precincts · 3,321 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -0303 | 61 | 457 | 9 | 527 | 11.6% | 86.7% | R+75.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -0101 | 51 | 442 | 8 | 501 | 10.2% | 88.2% | R+78.0 |
| Precinct -0202 | 43 | 377 | 12 | 432 | 10.0% | 87.3% | R+77.3 |
| Precinct -0505 | 24 | 347 | 8 | 379 | 6.3% | 91.6% | R+85.2 |
| Precinct -1111 | 22 | 276 | 5 | 303 | 7.3% | 91.1% | R+83.8 |
| Precinct -1515 | 52 | 161 | 8 | 221 | 23.5% | 72.9% | R+49.3 |
| Precinct -0707 | 16 | 194 | 2 | 212 | 7.5% | 91.5% | R+84.0 |
| Precinct -1212 | 19 | 138 | 1 | 158 | 12.0% | 87.3% | R+75.3 |
| Precinct -1313 | 16 | 138 | 2 | 156 | 10.3% | 88.5% | R+78.2 |
| Precinct -1010 | 14 | 99 | 9 | 122 | 11.5% | 81.1% | R+69.7 |
| Precinct -0808 | 7 | 109 | 1 | 117 | 6.0% | 93.2% | R+87.2 |
| Precinct -0909 | 10 | 97 | 1 | 108 | 9.3% | 89.8% | R+80.6 |
| Precinct -0606 | 11 | 73 | 1 | 85 | 12.9% | 85.9% | R+72.9 |
| Precinct -1616 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -1717 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −33.9% |
| 1896 | +54.7% |
| 1900 | +0.7% |
| 1904 | −33.1% |
| 1908 | −21.8% |
| 1912 | −14.2% |
| 1916 | +11.9% |
| 1920 | −23.3% |
| 1924 | −24.6% |
| 1928 | −22.2% |
| 1932 | −1.8% |
| 1936 | +19.3% |
| 1940 | +7.0% |
| 1944 | +3.6% |
| 1948 | +2.3% |
| 1952 | −28.7% |
| 1956 | −28.3% |
| 1960 | −11.3% |
| 1964 | +13.7% |
| 1968 | −26.1% |
| 1972 | −47.0% |
| 1976 | −36.1% |
| 1980 | −68.2% |
| 1984 | −69.8% |
| 1988 | −40.8% |
| 1992 | −30.0% |
| 1996 | −27.7% |
| 2000 | −61.4% |
| 2004 | −66.2% |
| 2008 | −63.7% |
| 2012 | −77.5% |
| 2016 | −66.5% |
| 2020 | −77.3% |
| 2024 | −77.1% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 8.7%392 | 83.4%3,742 | 4,488 |
| 2020 | R | 10.8%355 | 84.6%2,791 | 3,301 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 0.1 points.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 3,331 | 113 | 2,590 | 604 | 24 |
| 2020 | 3,668 | 155 | 2,884 | 604 | 25 |
| 2022 | 3,609 | 138 | 2,945 | 497 | 29 |
| 2024 | 3,750 | 157 | 3,044 | 515 | 34 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+44 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +331 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $80,630 in average income, against $69,841 for residents who stayed — 15% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −16 |
| 2012 | −77 |
| 2013 | +30 |
| 2014 | −38 |
| 2015 | −65 |
| 2016 | +19 |
| 2017 | +63 |
| 2018 | −1 |
| 2019 | +65 |
| 2021 | +192 |
| 2022 | +147 |
| 2023 | +6 |
| 2024 | −38 |
| 2025 | +44 |
Bear Lake's 2024 presidential margin of R+77.3 ranks among the widest in Idaho, reflecting a rural, majority-LDS population concentrated near the Utah border whose voting patterns closely mirror neighboring Cache and Rich counties across the state line.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 54.7 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 77.5 points in 2012. The 2024 margin was 77.1 points.
A population of 6,650, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,260 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Caribou County and Oneida County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Bear Lake County, Idaho. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/16007/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.