Idaho
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −44.2% |
| 1896 | +56.8% |
| 1900 | +3.8% |
| 1904 | −40.4% |
| 1908 | −16.9% |
| 1912 | +1.1% |
| 1916 | +10.9% |
| 1920 | −31.3% |
| 1924 | −30.8% |
| 1928 | −29.3% |
| 1932 | +20.4% |
| 1936 | +29.8% |
| 1940 | +9.1% |
| 1944 | +3.5% |
| 1948 | +2.7% |
| 1952 | −31.0% |
| 1956 | −22.4% |
| 1960 | −7.6% |
| 1964 | +1.8% |
| 1968 | −26.1% |
| 1972 | −38.2% |
| 1976 | −22.8% |
| 1980 | −41.3% |
| 1984 | −46.0% |
| 1988 | −26.1% |
| 1992 | −13.6% |
| 1996 | −18.5% |
| 2000 | −39.5% |
| 2004 | −38.1% |
| 2008 | −25.4% |
| 2012 | −31.9% |
| 2016 | −31.8% |
| 2020 | −30.8% |
| 2024 | −36.5% |
On the ballot
Incumbent Brad Little (R) won the May 19 primary (~59%) for a third term; Democrat Terri Pickens won her primary (~61%). Notable independent: retired Idaho Supreme Court Justice John Stegner is a confirmed general-election candidate (strong fundraising). Minor general-election candidates also include a Libertarian, an independent, and a Constitution Party candidate.
Primary held May 19, 2026. Incumbent Jim Risch (R) is seeking a fourth term and won the GOP nomination (~67.3%). David Roth (D, 2022 nominee) won the Democratic primary (~61.9%). Matt Loesby is the Libertarian nominee. Independents Todd Achilles (former Democratic state representative) and Natalie Fleming qualified for the Nov 3 general-election ballot via petition.
U.S. House
| Year | Seats won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R 2 | 28.0% | 66.5% | 873,704 | |
| R 2 | 31.0% | 67.7% | 583,628 | |
| R 2 | 30.1% | 66.1% | 849,909 | |
| R 2 | 34.8% | 61.8% | 595,724 |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 9.9 points more Republican.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 846,433 | 103,501 | 433,305 | 299,092 | 10,535 |
| 2020 | 1,010,991 | 141,842 | 532,049 | 322,983 | 14,117 |
| 2022 | 1,006,180 | 130,637 | 580,188 | 279,957 | 15,398 |
| 2024 | 1,069,711 | 136,278 | 632,320 | 284,608 | 16,505 |
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+19,915 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +244,498 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +528 |
| 2012 | −718 |
| 2013 | +3,543 |
| 2014 | +8,482 |
| 2015 | +6,763 |
| 2016 | +18,541 |
| 2017 | +25,007 |
| 2018 | +24,020 |
| 2019 | +27,360 |
| 2021 | +52,350 |
| 2022 | +28,019 |
| 2023 | +14,713 |
| 2024 | +15,975 |
| 2025 | +19,915 |
Two recreation counties — Sun Valley’s Blaine and the Tetons’ Teton — are the whole of the Democratic map in a state Trump carried by 36.5 points.
- Reddest and widening
- R+30.8 (2020) → R+36.5 (2024) — moving away from competitive as the nation shifted ~6 pts to Trump · MIT Election Lab
- The Latter-day Saint east
- Franklin R+77.6, Bear Lake R+77.1, Oneida R+75.9 — the deepest Republican ground, along the Utah line · MIT Election Lab 2024
- 2nd-largest LDS share
- 22.1% Latter-day Saints — 2nd of 50, behind only Utah; 50.2% claim no affiliation · 2020 U.S. Religion Census
- The whole Democratic map
- Only Blaine (Sun Valley, D+31.7) and Teton (D+6.8) of 44 counties — both recreation, not agriculture · MIT Election Lab 2024
- Boise the least-red big county
- Ada County (Boise, ~⅓ of the vote) R+10.3; Latah (U. of Idaho, Moscow) R+8.0 — nearest of all, still Republican · MIT Election Lab 2024
- Two races in 2026
- Gov. Little (R) vs Pickens (D) and ind. Stegner; Sen. Risch (R) vs Roth (D) — May 19 primary · Akashic 2026 forecast
The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Idaho. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/ID/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.