Lincoln County, Idaho
Precinct data
Results by precinct
5 precincts · 1,902 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -0303 | 263 | 638 | 30 | 931 | 28.2% | 68.5% | R+40.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -0101 | 97 | 430 | 9 | 536 | 18.1% | 80.2% | R+62.1 |
| Precinct -0404 | 28 | 342 | 5 | 375 | 7.5% | 91.2% | R+83.7 |
| Precinct -0505 | 4 | 56 | 0 | 60 | 6.7% | 93.3% | R+86.7 |
| Precinct -0606 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −36.6% |
| 1896 | +60.8% |
| 1900 | −2.7% |
| 1904 | −42.2% |
| 1908 | −20.9% |
| 1912 | +6.9% |
| 1916 | −1.6% |
| 1920 | −27.7% |
| 1924 | −42.3% |
| 1928 | −41.3% |
| 1932 | +11.2% |
| 1936 | +8.7% |
| 1940 | −6.5% |
| 1944 | −8.7% |
| 1948 | −6.4% |
| 1952 | −42.2% |
| 1956 | −23.7% |
| 1960 | −10.7% |
| 1964 | −22.2% |
| 1968 | −40.3% |
| 1972 | −53.6% |
| 1976 | −18.7% |
| 1980 | −44.4% |
| 1984 | −51.1% |
| 1988 | −22.6% |
| 1992 | −8.4% |
| 1996 | −17.0% |
| 2000 | −38.9% |
| 2004 | −49.1% |
| 2008 | −36.7% |
| 2012 | −40.4% |
| 2016 | −47.1% |
| 2020 | −54.4% |
| 2024 | −56.0% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 16.8%442 | 74.4%1,956 | 2,628 |
| 2020 | R | 24.3%470 | 71.0%1,371 | 1,931 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 7.1 points more Republican.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 2,106 | 162 | 1,313 | 608 | 23 |
| 2020 | 2,321 | 196 | 1,585 | 522 | 18 |
| 2022 | 2,229 | 173 | 1,551 | 486 | 19 |
| 2024 | 2,359 | 185 | 1,674 | 480 | 20 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−49 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −93 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $54,171 in average income, against $60,499 for residents who stayed — 10% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+5.5 on average — 51 points more Democratic-leaning than Lincoln County, ID itself (R+56.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Blaine County, ID28D+31.7
- Twin Falls County, ID24R+48.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Twin Falls County, ID43
- Jerome County, ID20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −118 |
| 2012 | +69 |
| 2013 | −3 |
| 2014 | −25 |
| 2015 | −75 |
| 2016 | −69 |
| 2017 | +4 |
| 2018 | −29 |
| 2019 | −78 |
| 2021 | +133 |
| 2022 | +60 |
| 2023 | +31 |
| 2024 | +56 |
| 2025 | −49 |
With just over 4,000 residents spread across the Snake River Plain, Lincoln County has delivered Republican presidential margins above 50 points in recent cycles, reflecting the lightly populated agricultural interior's consistent rightward lean.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 60.8 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 56.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 56.0 points.
A population of 5,358, a 62% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,453 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Jerome County and Owyhee County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Lincoln County, Idaho. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/16063/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.