Carlisle County, Kentucky: Appalachian Realigners county. In 2024, voted R+68%. Democratic peak: D+75 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+68MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Appalachian RealignersAkashic typology
- Population
- 4,7622024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,4392024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+75 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+68 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Johnston County, OK · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Carlisle CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Carlisle County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +41.5% |
| 1896 | +59.1% |
| 1900 | +48.6% |
| 1904 | +47.3% |
| 1908 | +52.3% |
| 1912 | +55.5% |
| 1916 | +52.7% |
| 1920 | +58.1% |
| 1924 | +64.6% |
| 1928 | +43.4% |
| 1932 | +74.9% |
| 1936 | +66.5% |
| 1940 | +64.8% |
| 1944 | +60.4% |
| 1948 | +73.7% |
| 1952 | +48.0% |
| 1956 | +54.4% |
| 1960 | +28.8% |
| 1964 | +69.2% |
| 1968 | +27.3% |
| 1972 | −14.2% |
| 1976 | +63.1% |
| 1980 | +22.3% |
| 1984 | −1.2% |
| 1988 | +12.6% |
| 1992 | +21.2% |
| 1996 | +22.2% |
| 2000 | −9.9% |
| 2004 | −22.2% |
| 2008 | −31.3% |
| 2012 | −41.4% |
| 2016 | −63.9% |
| 2020 | −64.3% |
| 2024 | −68.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 408 | 2,182 | 2,610 | ||
| R | 463 | 2,159 | 2,638 | ||
| R | 432 | 2,094 | 2,601 | ||
| R | 750 | 1,835 | 2,619 | ||
| R | 879 | 1,699 | 2,617 | ||
| R | 1,102 | 1,734 | 2,845 | ||
| R | 1,149 | 1,405 | 2,593 | ||
| D | 1,355 | 816 | 2,427 | ||
| D | 1,383 | 844 | 2,545 | ||
| D | 1,428 | 1,104 | 2,564 | ||
| R | 1,277 | 1,308 | 2,608 | ||
| D | 1,542 | 975 | 2,545 | ||
| D | 1,985 | 435 | 2,456 | ||
| R | 872 | 1,169 | 2,097 | ||
| D | 1,144 | 479 | 2,438 | ||
| D | 1,565 | 282 | 1,853 | ||
| D | 1,770 | 978 | 2,748 | ||
| D | 2,063 | 608 | 2,676 | ||
| D | 1,867 | 656 | 2,524 | ||
| D | 1,899 | 279 | 2,199 | ||
| D | 2,057 | 505 | 2,568 | ||
| D | 2,366 | 500 | 2,878 | ||
| D | 2,150 | 420 | 2,600 | ||
| D | 2,840 | 402 | 3,253 | ||
| D | 1,994 | 787 | 2,783 | ||
| D | 2,250 | 467 | 2,758 | ||
| D | 2,688 | 688 | 3,442 | ||
| D | 1,646 | 494 | 2,185 | ||
| D | 1,409 | 331 | 1,942 | ||
| D | 1,625 | 482 | 2,184 | ||
| D | 1,428 | 468 | 2,031 | ||
| D | 1,587 | 533 | 2,168 | ||
| D | 1,624 | 390 | 2,088 | ||
| D | 811 | 223 | 1,418 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
27.4%
German
8.8%
American
8.2%
Irish
6.5%
Italian
1.4%
French
1.4%
Scottish
0.8%
African American
1.2%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 43.8 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$62,439
Carlisle County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Carlisle County$62,439
Kentucky$63,726
United States$80,734
Carlisle County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
15.1%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1823.5%
Working age (18–64)12.5%
Seniors (65+)12.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
98.0%
speak English only
Spanish1.7%
Other Indo-European0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 34.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Carlisle County's 2024 presidential margin of R+68 points reflects a deep-rural western Kentucky electorate where a few hundred votes can produce some of the widest partisan spreads in the state.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin peaked at seventy-five points in 1932 and narrowed across the late twentieth century. The 2000 election carried the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by ten points. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved four points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was sixty-eight points.
The economic context is severe: a median household income of $62,439 — among the lowest at this geographic scale — and a 15% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Johnston County and Marshall County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Carlisle County, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/21039/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More appalachian realigners counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Carlisle County, Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, Carlisle County, Kentucky voted Republican by 68.0 points (R+68), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,610 votes cast, 408 went Democratic and 2,182 went Republican.
What is Carlisle County, Kentucky's political typology?
Akashic places Carlisle County, Kentucky in the "Appalachian Realigners" typology — Lower-income counties of Greater Appalachia — a long, deep arc from Democratic to Republican. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 25 times, Republican 9 times, and other 0 times.
When did Carlisle County, Kentucky last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Carlisle County, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Carlisle County, Kentucky?
Carlisle County, Kentucky has a population of 4,762 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Carlisle County, Kentucky?
Median household income in Carlisle County, Kentucky is $62,439 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Carlisle County, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Carlisle County, Kentucky from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 25 went Democratic and 9 went Republican. The county's typology — "Appalachian Realigners" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.