Carlisle County, Kentucky
Precinct data
Results by precinct
6 precincts · 2,610 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -B101B101 | 78 | 644 | 5 | 727 | 10.7% | 88.6% | R+77.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -C102C102 | 94 | 337 | 3 | 434 | 21.7% | 77.6% | R+56.0 |
| Precinct -A101A101 | 67 | 329 | 5 | 401 | 16.7% | 82.0% | R+65.3 |
| Precinct -A102A102 | 78 | 299 | 2 | 379 | 20.6% | 78.9% | R+58.3 |
| Precinct -C101C101 | 56 | 293 | 4 | 353 | 15.9% | 83.0% | R+67.1 |
| Precinct -B102B102 | 35 | 280 | 1 | 316 | 11.1% | 88.6% | R+77.5 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +41.5% |
| 1896 | +59.1% |
| 1900 | +48.6% |
| 1904 | +47.3% |
| 1908 | +52.3% |
| 1912 | +55.5% |
| 1916 | +52.7% |
| 1920 | +58.1% |
| 1924 | +64.6% |
| 1928 | +43.4% |
| 1932 | +74.9% |
| 1936 | +66.5% |
| 1940 | +64.8% |
| 1944 | +60.4% |
| 1948 | +73.7% |
| 1952 | +48.0% |
| 1956 | +54.4% |
| 1960 | +28.8% |
| 1964 | +69.2% |
| 1968 | +27.3% |
| 1972 | −14.2% |
| 1976 | +63.1% |
| 1980 | +22.3% |
| 1984 | −1.2% |
| 1988 | +12.6% |
| 1992 | +21.2% |
| 1996 | +22.2% |
| 2000 | −9.9% |
| 2004 | −22.2% |
| 2008 | −31.3% |
| 2012 | −41.4% |
| 2016 | −63.9% |
| 2020 | −64.3% |
| 2024 | −68.0% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 17.7%377 | 82.3%1,750 | 2,127 |
| 2020 | R | 20.5%541 | 76.0%2,009 | 2,642 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Carlisle County, KY registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 71-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
3,859 registered voters · 2024
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+3 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −258 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $49,750 in average income, against $74,344 for residents who stayed — 33% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- McCracken County, KY37
- Graves County, KY33
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −36 |
| 2012 | −18 |
| 2013 | −66 |
| 2014 | −1 |
| 2015 | −112 |
| 2016 | −63 |
| 2017 | +20 |
| 2018 | −62 |
| 2019 | +17 |
| 2021 | −9 |
| 2022 | +7 |
| 2023 | +25 |
| 2024 | +37 |
| 2025 | +3 |
Carlisle County's 2024 presidential margin of R+68 points reflects a deep-rural western Kentucky electorate where a few hundred votes can produce some of the widest partisan spreads in the state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 74.9 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 68.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 68.0 points.
A population of 4,762, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,439 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Ballard County and Hancock County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Carlisle County, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/21039/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.