Carroll County, Kentucky
Precinct data
Results by precinct
3 precincts · 4,025 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -C103C103 | 344 | 1,186 | 16 | 1,546 | 22.3% | 76.7% | R+54.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -A101A101 | 345 | 969 | 22 | 1,336 | 25.8% | 72.5% | R+46.7 |
| Precinct -B102B102 | 274 | 859 | 10 | 1,143 | 24.0% | 75.2% | R+51.2 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +47.1% |
| 1896 | +43.4% |
| 1900 | +41.0% |
| 1904 | +46.6% |
| 1908 | +45.9% |
| 1912 | +59.8% |
| 1916 | +52.9% |
| 1920 | +55.6% |
| 1924 | +26.3% |
| 1928 | +6.1% |
| 1932 | +59.4% |
| 1936 | +54.2% |
| 1940 | +56.6% |
| 1944 | +55.6% |
| 1948 | +59.4% |
| 1952 | +43.7% |
| 1956 | +31.3% |
| 1960 | +32.4% |
| 1964 | +67.7% |
| 1968 | +28.5% |
| 1972 | +3.1% |
| 1976 | +46.3% |
| 1980 | +31.6% |
| 1984 | −7.6% |
| 1988 | +5.8% |
| 1992 | +28.6% |
| 1996 | +16.0% |
| 2000 | −6.2% |
| 2004 | −12.5% |
| 2008 | −8.2% |
| 2012 | −10.1% |
| 2016 | −38.4% |
| 2020 | −44.4% |
| 2024 | −51.0% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 30.8%886 | 69.2%1,992 | 2,878 |
| 2020 | R | 31.6%1,299 | 62.2%2,560 | 4,115 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Carroll County, KY registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 71-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
7,913 registered voters · 2024
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+5 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −269 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $43,529 in average income, against $64,391 for residents who stayed — 32% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+59.3 on average — 8.4 points more Republican-leaning than Carroll County, KY itself (R+51.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Gallatin County, KY36R+59.9
- Trimble County, KY27R+55.5
- Owen County, KY24R+62.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Trimble County, KY35
- Owen County, KY27
- Gallatin County, KY26
- Jefferson County, IN23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +102 |
| 2012 | −176 |
| 2013 | −68 |
| 2014 | −123 |
| 2015 | −71 |
| 2016 | −76 |
| 2017 | +70 |
| 2018 | −21 |
| 2019 | −98 |
| 2021 | +26 |
| 2022 | +59 |
| 2023 | +22 |
| 2024 | +80 |
| 2025 | +5 |
Carroll County sits along the Ohio River northwest of Louisville with roughly 10,000 residents. Once more competitive, it has shifted decisively in presidential races over the past decade, posting R+51 in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 67.7 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 51.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 51.0 points.
A population of 10,954, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,466 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Scott County and Gallatin County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Carroll County, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/21041/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.