Graves County, Kentucky: Evangelical Deep South county. In 2024, voted R+62%. Democratic peak: D+70 in 1948.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+62MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Evangelical Deep SouthAkashic typology
- Population
- 36,6302024 5-year
- Median household income
- $50,7722024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+70 in 1948MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+62 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Marshall County, KY · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Graves CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Graves County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +34.3% |
| 1896 | +47.4% |
| 1900 | +38.5% |
| 1904 | +49.1% |
| 1908 | +46.2% |
| 1912 | +52.6% |
| 1916 | +44.9% |
| 1920 | +46.2% |
| 1924 | +50.8% |
| 1928 | +31.8% |
| 1932 | +68.5% |
| 1936 | +68.1% |
| 1940 | +64.2% |
| 1944 | +57.5% |
| 1948 | +70.5% |
| 1952 | +53.2% |
| 1956 | +46.2% |
| 1960 | +22.6% |
| 1964 | +61.1% |
| 1968 | +15.3% |
| 1972 | −23.7% |
| 1976 | +46.6% |
| 1980 | +3.2% |
| 1984 | −3.7% |
| 1988 | +6.5% |
| 1992 | +17.5% |
| 1996 | +13.5% |
| 2000 | −12.3% |
| 2004 | −22.8% |
| 2008 | −26.1% |
| 2012 | −39.7% |
| 2016 | −56.4% |
| 2020 | −56.7% |
| 2024 | −61.6% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 3,105 | 13,378 | 16,678 | ||
| R | 3,560 | 13,206 | 17,019 | ||
| R | 3,308 | 12,671 | 16,606 | ||
| R | 4,547 | 10,699 | 15,503 | ||
| R | 5,843 | 10,056 | 16,155 | ||
| R | 6,206 | 9,903 | 16,229 | ||
| R | 6,097 | 7,849 | 14,231 | ||
| D | 6,991 | 5,130 | 13,803 | ||
| D | 8,001 | 5,311 | 15,341 | ||
| D | 7,153 | 6,274 | 13,545 | ||
| R | 6,759 | 7,287 | 14,170 | ||
| D | 6,999 | 6,556 | 13,816 | ||
| D | 8,982 | 3,195 | 12,420 | ||
| R | 3,701 | 6,098 | 10,100 | ||
| D | 5,103 | 3,239 | 12,213 | ||
| D | 9,958 | 2,389 | 12,390 | ||
| D | 7,689 | 4,854 | 12,543 | ||
| D | 10,090 | 3,711 | 13,815 | ||
| D | 9,592 | 2,925 | 12,530 | ||
| D | 8,682 | 1,442 | 10,276 | ||
| D | 8,057 | 2,172 | 10,238 | ||
| D | 9,786 | 2,122 | 11,935 | ||
| D | 9,231 | 1,692 | 11,065 | ||
| D | 9,888 | 1,825 | 11,764 | ||
| D | 6,237 | 3,223 | 9,484 | ||
| D | 7,266 | 2,279 | 9,813 | ||
| D | 9,018 | 3,241 | 12,500 | ||
| D | 5,197 | 1,930 | 7,275 | ||
| D | 3,838 | 862 | 5,657 | ||
| D | 4,952 | 1,744 | 6,943 | ||
| D | 4,935 | 1,615 | 6,758 | ||
| D | 4,759 | 2,073 | 6,968 | ||
| D | 4,699 | 1,628 | 6,474 | ||
| D | 2,563 | 1,028 | 4,479 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
17.4%
American
16.1%
Irish
8.0%
German
6.3%
Italian
1.4%
Scottish
1.2%
Polish
0.7%
African American
3.4%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$50,772
Graves County ranks in the bottom 25% of US counties.
Graves County$50,772
Kentucky$63,726
United States$80,734
Graves County ranks in the bottom 25% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
19.9%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1826.5%
Working age (18–64)18.2%
Seniors (65+)13.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.9%
speak English only
Spanish4.9%
Other Indo-European1.1%
Other languages0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 27.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Graves County, anchored by Mayfield in the western Jackson Purchase region, recorded an R+61.6 presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the most lopsided rural counties in a state that has shifted sharply away from competitive presidential contests over the past two decades.
The Republican margin here reached its widest at sixty-two points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved five points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was sixty-two points.
A median household income of $50,772, a 20% poverty rate, and a 86% non-Hispanic-white share describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Marshall County and Barbour County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Graves County, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/21083/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More evangelical deep south counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Graves County, Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, Graves County, Kentucky voted Republican by 61.6 points (R+62), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 16,678 votes cast, 3,105 went Democratic and 13,378 went Republican.
What is Graves County, Kentucky's political typology?
Akashic places Graves County, Kentucky in the "Evangelical Deep South" typology — Deeply Republican, heavily Baptist counties of the Deep South. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 25 times, Republican 9 times, and other 0 times.
When did Graves County, Kentucky last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Graves County, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Graves County, Kentucky?
Graves County, Kentucky has a population of 36,630 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Graves County, Kentucky?
Median household income in Graves County, Kentucky is $50,772 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Graves County, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Graves County, Kentucky from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 25 went Democratic and 9 went Republican. The county's typology — "Evangelical Deep South" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.