Graves County, Kentucky
Precinct data
Results by precinct
11 precincts · 16,678 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -C110C110 | 467 | 2,409 | 26 | 2,902 | 16.1% | 83.0% | R+66.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -A101A101 | 363 | 2,368 | 28 | 2,759 | 13.2% | 85.8% | R+72.7 |
| Precinct -C108C108 | 400 | 2,196 | 25 | 2,621 | 15.3% | 83.8% | R+68.5 |
| Precinct -A103A103 | 397 | 1,884 | 35 | 2,316 | 17.1% | 81.3% | R+64.2 |
| Precinct -B103B103 | 623 | 1,135 | 35 | 1,793 | 34.7% | 63.3% | R+28.6 |
| Precinct -B105B105 | 345 | 776 | 19 | 1,140 | 30.3% | 68.1% | R+37.8 |
| Precinct -A107A107 | 134 | 829 | 9 | 972 | 13.8% | 85.3% | R+71.5 |
| Precinct -C102C102 | 134 | 760 | 6 | 900 | 14.9% | 84.4% | R+69.6 |
| Precinct -B110B110 | 122 | 533 | 9 | 664 | 18.4% | 80.3% | R+61.9 |
| Precinct -B111B111 | 94 | 406 | 1 | 501 | 18.8% | 81.0% | R+62.3 |
| Precinct -B109B109 | 26 | 82 | 2 | 110 | 23.6% | 74.5% | R+50.9 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +34.3% |
| 1896 | +47.4% |
| 1900 | +38.5% |
| 1904 | +49.1% |
| 1908 | +46.2% |
| 1912 | +52.6% |
| 1916 | +44.9% |
| 1920 | +46.2% |
| 1924 | +50.8% |
| 1928 | +31.8% |
| 1932 | +68.5% |
| 1936 | +68.1% |
| 1940 | +64.2% |
| 1944 | +57.5% |
| 1948 | +70.5% |
| 1952 | +53.2% |
| 1956 | +46.2% |
| 1960 | +22.6% |
| 1964 | +61.1% |
| 1968 | +15.3% |
| 1972 | −23.7% |
| 1976 | +46.6% |
| 1980 | +3.2% |
| 1984 | −3.7% |
| 1988 | +6.5% |
| 1992 | +17.5% |
| 1996 | +13.5% |
| 2000 | −12.3% |
| 2004 | −22.8% |
| 2008 | −26.1% |
| 2012 | −39.7% |
| 2016 | −56.4% |
| 2020 | −56.7% |
| 2024 | −61.6% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 21.3%2,575 | 78.7%9,514 | 12,093 |
| 2020 | R | 23.2%3,938 | 72.7%12,334 | 16,962 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 59 points more Democratic.
26,614 registered voters · 2024
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+257 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −374 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $45,351 in average income, against $67,843 for residents who stayed — 33% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+44.5 on average — 17 points more Democratic-leaning than Graves County, KY itself (R+61.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- McCracken County, KY134R+34.9
- Calloway County, KY92R+37.9
- Marshall County, KY54R+56.7
- Carlisle County, KY33R+68.0
- Hickman County, KY27R+61.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- McCracken County, KY153
- Calloway County, KY115
- Marshall County, KY82
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +189 |
| 2012 | −124 |
| 2013 | −213 |
| 2014 | +97 |
| 2015 | −417 |
| 2016 | −134 |
| 2017 | −134 |
| 2018 | +2 |
| 2019 | −144 |
| 2021 | +210 |
| 2022 | −45 |
| 2023 | −16 |
| 2024 | +98 |
| 2025 | +257 |
Graves County, anchored by Mayfield in the western Jackson Purchase region, recorded an R+61.6 presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the most lopsided rural counties in a state that has shifted sharply away from competitive presidential contests over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 70.5 points in 1948 and a Republican high of 61.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 61.6 points.
A population of 36,630, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $50,772 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Logan County and Hancock County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Graves County, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/21083/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.