Magoffin County, Kentucky: Appalachian Realigners county. In 2024, voted R+64%. Republican peak: R+64 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+64MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Appalachian RealignersAkashic typology
- Population
- 11,3482024 5-year
- Median household income
- $33,0802024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 97.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 0.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+30 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Nicholas County, WV · similarity 0.99
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −11.6% |
| 1896 | −15.8% |
| 1900 | −16.0% |
| 1904 | −16.7% |
| 1908 | −23.9% |
| 1912 | −4.9% |
| 1916 | −3.4% |
| 1920 | −26.8% |
| 1924 | −11.0% |
| 1928 | −21.9% |
| 1932 | +1.1% |
| 1936 | −0.4% |
| 1940 | +2.6% |
| 1944 | −2.5% |
| 1948 | +9.0% |
| 1952 | +3.5% |
| 1956 | −4.0% |
| 1960 | −5.1% |
| 1964 | +30.4% |
| 1968 | −1.0% |
| 1972 | −5.1% |
| 1976 | +15.4% |
| 1980 | +13.6% |
| 1984 | +11.3% |
| 1988 | +14.5% |
| 1992 | +22.2% |
| 1996 | +20.1% |
| 2000 | −3.3% |
| 2004 | +0.1% |
| 2008 | −7.1% |
| 2012 | −39.9% |
| 2016 | −51.8% |
| 2020 | −54.3% |
| 2024 | −64.0% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 909 | 4,288 | 5,282 | ||
| R | 1,214 | 4,174 | 5,447 | ||
| R | 1,172 | 3,824 | 5,116 | ||
| R | 1,433 | 3,391 | 4,906 | ||
| R | 2,105 | 2,434 | 4,651 | ||
| D | 2,843 | 2,836 | 5,718 | ||
| R | 2,603 | 2,785 | 5,453 | ||
| D | 2,249 | 1,434 | 4,045 | ||
| D | 3,261 | 1,992 | 5,711 | ||
| D | 2,895 | 2,158 | 5,080 | ||
| D | 2,942 | 2,343 | 5,298 | ||
| D | 2,986 | 2,265 | 5,297 | ||
| D | 2,451 | 1,793 | 4,263 | ||
| R | 2,024 | 2,243 | 4,281 | ||
| R | 1,927 | 1,967 | 4,123 | ||
| D | 2,498 | 1,327 | 3,853 | ||
| R | 2,471 | 2,736 | 5,207 | ||
| R | 2,162 | 2,343 | 4,509 | ||
| D | 2,243 | 2,093 | 4,342 | ||
| D | 2,253 | 1,882 | 4,135 | ||
| R | 2,031 | 2,135 | 4,166 | ||
| D | 2,812 | 2,668 | 5,481 | ||
| R | 2,554 | 2,577 | 5,137 | ||
| D | 2,721 | 2,661 | 5,395 | ||
| R | 1,806 | 2,816 | 4,622 | ||
| R | 1,757 | 2,196 | 3,975 | ||
| R | 1,352 | 2,347 | 3,715 | ||
| R | 1,433 | 1,535 | 2,996 | ||
| R | 891 | 1,004 | 2,308 | ||
| R | 1,005 | 1,645 | 2,683 | ||
| R | 1,000 | 1,404 | 2,419 | ||
| R | 955 | 1,321 | 2,281 | ||
| R | 833 | 1,148 | 1,998 | ||
| R | 660 | 844 | 1,587 | ||
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Demographics
Tucked in the eastern Kentucky coalfields, Magoffin County recorded an R+64.1 presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the region's sharp partisan realignment over the past two decades as coal-economy pressures reshaped voter allegiances.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin peaked at thirty points in 1964 and narrowed across the late twentieth century. The 2008 election carried the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by seven points. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved ten points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was sixty-four points.
The economic context is severe: a median household income of $33,080 — among the lowest at this geographic scale — and a 38% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Nicholas County and Russell County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Magoffin County, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/21153/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
