Magoffin County, Kentucky
Precinct data
Results by precinct
14 precincts · 5,274 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -A104A104 | 113 | 473 | 7 | 593 | 19.1% | 79.8% | R+60.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -B101B101 | 130 | 432 | 7 | 569 | 22.8% | 75.9% | R+53.1 |
| Precinct -A102A102 | 82 | 388 | 9 | 479 | 17.1% | 81.0% | R+63.9 |
| Precinct -B102B102 | 73 | 375 | 11 | 459 | 15.9% | 81.7% | R+65.8 |
| Precinct -A101A101 | 112 | 342 | 3 | 457 | 24.5% | 74.8% | R+50.3 |
| Precinct -C105C105 | 55 | 366 | 5 | 426 | 12.9% | 85.9% | R+73.0 |
| Precinct -C104C104 | 50 | 292 | 7 | 349 | 14.3% | 83.7% | R+69.3 |
| Precinct -C101C101 | 55 | 261 | 4 | 320 | 17.2% | 81.6% | R+64.4 |
| Precinct -C103C103 | 52 | 262 | 5 | 319 | 16.3% | 82.1% | R+65.8 |
| Precinct -C102C102 | 38 | 265 | 6 | 309 | 12.3% | 85.8% | R+73.5 |
| Precinct -B104B104 | 47 | 242 | 4 | 293 | 16.0% | 82.6% | R+66.6 |
| Precinct -A103A103 | 34 | 239 | 6 | 279 | 12.2% | 85.7% | R+73.5 |
| Precinct -B105B105 | 48 | 173 | 3 | 224 | 21.4% | 77.2% | R+55.8 |
| Precinct -B103B103 | 20 | 178 | 0 | 198 | 10.1% | 89.9% | R+79.8 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −11.6% |
| 1896 | −15.8% |
| 1900 | −16.0% |
| 1904 | −16.7% |
| 1908 | −23.9% |
| 1912 | −4.9% |
| 1916 | −3.4% |
| 1920 | −26.8% |
| 1924 | −11.0% |
| 1928 | −21.9% |
| 1932 | +1.1% |
| 1936 | −0.4% |
| 1940 | +2.6% |
| 1944 | −2.5% |
| 1948 | +9.0% |
| 1952 | +3.5% |
| 1956 | −4.0% |
| 1960 | −5.1% |
| 1964 | +30.4% |
| 1968 | −1.0% |
| 1972 | −5.1% |
| 1976 | +15.4% |
| 1980 | +13.6% |
| 1984 | +11.3% |
| 1988 | +14.5% |
| 1992 | +22.2% |
| 1996 | +20.1% |
| 2000 | −3.3% |
| 2004 | +0.1% |
| 2008 | −7.1% |
| 2012 | −39.9% |
| 2016 | −51.8% |
| 2020 | −54.3% |
| 2024 | −64.1% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 30.2%1,472 | 69.8%3,404 | 4,876 |
| 2020 | R | 25.7%1,392 | 71.1%3,857 | 5,426 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Magoffin County, KY registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 75-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
9,449 registered voters · 2024
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−14 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,328 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $33,978 in average income, against $50,236 for residents who stayed — 32% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+64.5 on average — about the same lean as Magoffin County, KY (R+64.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Floyd County, KY26R+59.2
- Johnson County, KY22R+70.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Johnson County, KY27
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −102 |
| 2012 | −179 |
| 2013 | −134 |
| 2014 | −2 |
| 2015 | −172 |
| 2016 | −125 |
| 2017 | −136 |
| 2018 | −159 |
| 2019 | −121 |
| 2021 | −68 |
| 2022 | −60 |
| 2023 | −48 |
| 2024 | −8 |
| 2025 | −14 |
Tucked in the eastern Kentucky coalfields, Magoffin County recorded an R+64.1 presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the region's sharp partisan realignment over the past two decades as coal-economy pressures reshaped voter allegiances.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 64.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 9.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 64.1 points.
A population of 11,348, a 97% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $33,080 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Morgan County and Dickenson County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Magoffin County, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/21153/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.