Marion County, Kentucky
Precinct data
Results by precinct
5 precincts · 9,102 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -H101H101 | 488 | 1,512 | 23 | 2,023 | 24.1% | 74.7% | R+50.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -E101E101 | 503 | 1,339 | 22 | 1,864 | 27.0% | 71.8% | R+44.8 |
| Precinct -A101A101 | 417 | 1,378 | 21 | 1,816 | 23.0% | 75.9% | R+52.9 |
| Precinct -D101D101 | 512 | 1,241 | 26 | 1,779 | 28.8% | 69.8% | R+41.0 |
| Precinct -C101C101 | 593 | 1,003 | 24 | 1,620 | 36.6% | 61.9% | R+25.3 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +19.5% |
| 1896 | +8.5% |
| 1900 | +16.2% |
| 1904 | +21.6% |
| 1908 | +22.5% |
| 1912 | +33.3% |
| 1916 | +19.2% |
| 1920 | +22.0% |
| 1924 | +21.1% |
| 1928 | +18.2% |
| 1932 | +47.4% |
| 1936 | +38.1% |
| 1940 | +32.7% |
| 1944 | +28.2% |
| 1948 | +43.5% |
| 1952 | +16.5% |
| 1956 | −0.3% |
| 1960 | +32.2% |
| 1964 | +59.7% |
| 1968 | +16.6% |
| 1972 | −0.4% |
| 1976 | +33.8% |
| 1980 | +24.9% |
| 1984 | −7.6% |
| 1988 | +11.5% |
| 1992 | +20.7% |
| 1996 | +15.9% |
| 2000 | −7.8% |
| 2004 | −6.9% |
| 2008 | −3.2% |
| 2012 | −5.2% |
| 2016 | −30.1% |
| 2020 | −38.0% |
| 2024 | −43.5% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 35.8%2,112 | 64.1%3,782 | 5,896 |
| 2020 | R | 35.4%3,144 | 59.3%5,274 | 8,892 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Marion County, KY registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 67-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
13,875 registered voters · 2024
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+60 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −570 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $53,161 in average income, against $62,740 for residents who stayed — 15% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+32.1 on average — 11 points more Democratic-leaning than Marion County, KY itself (R+43.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Washington County, KY56R+50.3
- Taylor County, KY51R+56.7
- Nelson County, KY47R+41.7
- Jefferson County, KY31D+16.5
- Fayette County, KY24D+18.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Taylor County, KY71
- Nelson County, KY53
- Washington County, KY49
- Jefferson County, KY33
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +64 |
| 2012 | −122 |
| 2013 | −38 |
| 2014 | −913 |
| 2015 | +62 |
| 2016 | −100 |
| 2017 | +125 |
| 2018 | +31 |
| 2019 | −88 |
| 2021 | +184 |
| 2022 | +50 |
| 2023 | +108 |
| 2024 | +7 |
| 2025 | +60 |
Marion County's R+43.5 margin in 2024 reflects a broader realignment across rural Kentucky, where small agricultural communities have shifted decisively toward Republican presidential candidates over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 59.7 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 43.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 43.5 points.
A population of 19,749, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,627 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bath County and Elliott County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Marion County, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/21155/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.